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Solid Transaction-Based Revenues to Drive HOOD's Q2 Earnings
ZACKSยท 2025-07-29 13:21
Core Insights - Robinhood Markets' transaction-based revenues are projected to be strong in Q2 2025, with expectations of a 55.5% increase year-over-year to $508.4 million [3][11] - The company is set to report its quarterly results, with earnings estimated at 31 cents per share, reflecting a 47.6% growth from the previous year [5][11] Trading Activity and Market Conditions - During Q2, trading volume and client activity remained robust, driven by market volatility from President Trump's tariff proposals and subsequent trade policy clarity [2] - Strong trading momentum was observed across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies, aided by new legislation favoring digital assets [2] Revenue Breakdown - The consensus estimate for options transaction revenues is $252.2 million, indicating a 38.6% increase [3] - Equity transaction revenues are expected to rise by 70.2% to $68.1 million, while cryptocurrencies transaction revenues are projected to jump 93.2% to $156.1 million [4] Earnings and Sales Expectations - The consensus estimate for sales in Q2 is $915.2 million, suggesting a 34.2% year-over-year increase [5] - Higher interest income is also anticipated due to relatively high interest rates during the quarter, contributing positively to overall performance [12] Competitive Landscape - Interactive Brokers reported adjusted earnings of $1.51 per share, exceeding estimates and showing a 15.9% year-over-year growth, driven by increased trading volume and commissions [8] - Charles Schwab's adjusted earnings of $1.14 per share also surpassed estimates, with a 56% year-over-year increase supported by strong asset management performance and a 22.5% rise in trading revenues [9] Stock Performance - Robinhood's shares have significantly outperformed the industry, soaring 186.6% year-to-date compared to the industry's growth of 23.6% [13]