U.S. interest rate cut
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What Today’s U.S. Jobs Data Tells Us About Gold, Silver Prices
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-11 15:23
Economic Performance - The U.S. economy added 130,000 non-farm payrolls in January, significantly higher than the revised figure of 48,000 in December and above forecasts of 55,000, marking the highest NFP figure since December 2024 [1] - Total U.S. non-farm employment growth for 2025 was revised down to +181,000 from +584,000, indicating average monthly job gains of just 15,000, well below the previously reported 49,000 [2] - The overall unemployment rate decreased to 4.3% in January from 4.4% in December [2] Market Reactions - Following the strong U.S. jobs report, gold and silver futures maintained their overnight gains, while U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index increased, and U.S. stock indexes rallied [3] - The likelihood of a March U.S. interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has dropped to less than 15%, with expectations shifting towards maintaining the current Fed funds range of 3.5%–3.75% [7] - Traders are now anticipating only two potential U.S. rate cuts later in the year instead of immediate action [7] Precious Metals Dynamics - The price action in gold and silver markets suggests that underlying supply and demand fundamentals, such as safe-haven demand, hoarding, and central bank buying of gold, are prevailing over expectations of fewer U.S. interest rate cuts amid a stronger economy [10]
Ahead of a Likely December Fed Rate Cut, Make This 1 Futures Trade
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-03 16:15
Core Viewpoint - March Euro currency futures are presenting a buying opportunity due to recent price strength and bullish technical indicators [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The daily bar chart indicates that March Euro currency futures are trending upwards and have formed a bullish double-bottom reversal pattern, suggesting a near-term market bottom [2]. - The MACD indicator is in a bullish posture, with the blue MACD line above the red trigger line, both trending upwards [2]. Fundamental Analysis - Lower U.S. interest rates are bearish for the U.S. dollar and bullish for the Euro currency, contributing to a better risk appetite in the market [3]. Price Levels - A move above the chart resistance at 1.1732 would empower bullish sentiment and create a buying opportunity, with an upside price objective of 1.2000 or higher [4]. - Technical support is identified at 1.1635, where a protective sell stop should be placed just below [4].