Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - After the release of US CPI data, Asia IG opened firmly, and the market almost fully priced in a 25bps rate cut in Sep'25 and a high chance of another 25bps cut in Oct'25 [1] - CMBI expects USD/RMB may drop again in 4Q25 when US inflation might decline and China might launch additional fiscal stimulus; USD/RMB to reach 7.10 at end - 2025 [2] - Maintain buy on INDYIJ 8.75 05/07/29, considering its sufficient liquidity, disciplined capex, and strong technicals in the Indonesia oil & gas and mining sectors [13] - The PBOC will maintain easing liquidity condition, which is positive for Chinese stocks and commodities, and might cut RRR by 50bps and LPRs by 10bps in 4Q25 [17] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Trading Desk Comments - Asia IG opened firmly after US CPI data release. Newly issued WYNMAC 6.75 moved 0.7pt higher, and some bonds like MGMCHIs, MTRC perps, etc., had price changes. Chinese properties ROADKG 28 - 30s dropped 2.3 - 3.3pts [1] - SHIKON tightened 5bps in the morning, HK banks T2s tightened 3bps, Korea space was unchanged to 2bps tighter, and some floaters and perps had price movements [2] - There is demand from China - based investors for Japanese insurance hybrids and Yankee AT1s, and bonds in SEA and LGFV also had price changes [3] Marco News Recap - On Wednesday, S&P (+0.32%), Dow (+1.04%), and Nasdaq (+0.14%) were higher, and UST yield was lower with 2/5/10/30 yield at 3.67%/3.77%/4.24%/4.83% [6] Desk Analyst Comments - INDYIJ's 1H25 profit eroded due to lower ASP and softened market demand. Revenue declined 20.0% yoy to USD957mn, with coal ASP and sales volume decreasing. Operating profit and adj. EBITDA dropped 49.4% and 28.1% respectively [7] - Indika has been diversifying into non - coal businesses, but coal operations still drive performance. It incurred negative FCF in 1H25, and total debt/LTM EBITDA and net debt/LTM EBITDA weakened [9][10][11] - Indika has proactive liability management and smooth access to funding channels. The company is considered a candidate for early redemptions, and INDYIJ 8.75 05/07/29 is recommended as a good carry play [12][13] China Economy - Social financing extended recovery due to robust government bond issuance, but private - sector Renminbi loans slowed. The PBOC will maintain easing liquidity to stimulate credit demand [17] - The central bank might cut RRR by 50bps and LPRs by 10bps in 4Q25. US$/RMB may rise in Aug - Sep and drop in 4Q25, reaching 7.10 at end - 2025 [17] - Outstanding social financing edged up to 9% in July, SF flow expanded by 50.5% but fell short of expectation. Government and corporate bond issuances were strong, while RMB loans to the real economy dropped [18] - New RMB loans remained subdued, with growth of outstanding RMB loans edging down to 6.9% in July. Credit demand in household and corporate sectors was weak, and bill financing increased [19] Offshore Asia New Issues - New issues include Chengdu Sino French Ecological (USD100mn, 3yr, 6.8%) and Henan Water Conservancy Investment (USD500mn, 3yr, 4.3%) [22] - There is no offshore Asia new issues pipeline today [23] News and Market Color - There were 94 credit bonds issued onshore yesterday with an amount of RMB70bn, and 930 credit bonds issued month - to - date with a 9.5% yoy increase [24] - Various companies had news such as Adani solar arm sued, Adani Ports accepting tendered bonds, Azure Power seeking debt, etc. [24]