Core Viewpoint - Nomad Foods is a leading player in Europe's frozen food market, currently trading at a significantly discounted valuation despite strong cash flows and a high dividend yield [1][11][12]. Company Overview - Nomad Foods holds a 47% market share among its top 25 products, primarily in categories such as fish (33% of sales), vegetables (25%), meals, poultry, and ice cream [5][6]. - The company is recognized for its strong brand awareness and preference, ranking No. 1 in 12 of 15 markets across Europe [6]. Financial Performance - Nomad Foods generates stable cash flows and profitability due to the repeat-purchase nature of its products [7]. - Despite recent revenue growth stagnation, management anticipates a 15% annual growth in free cash flow (FCF) over the next three years, supported by reduced capital expenditures and efficiency improvements [9]. - The company has a debt load of $2.2 billion against a market capitalization of $1.8 billion, which is atypical but manageable due to consistent cash flows [9][10]. Valuation and Dividend - Nomad's market cap is currently lower than its net debt, primarily due to a 41% decline in share price from its one-year high, reflecting broader market trends affecting low-volatility stocks [11]. - The company is trading at a decade-long low valuation, with an all-time high dividend yield of 5.5% [12]. - The dividend payout is sustainable, utilizing only 43% of net income and 35% of FCF, indicating potential for future increases [14]. - Management has also reduced the share count by 6% annually over the last three years, enhancing shareholder value through both dividends and share repurchases [15]. Investment Opportunity - While not a growth stock, Nomad Foods presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its industry leadership, stable operations, consistent cash flow, and attractive shareholder returns at a historically low valuation [16].

Core Viewpoint - UPS shares have dropped over 50% from their 2022 high, but the stock is viewed as a strong long-term investment opportunity due to its high dividend yield and potential for recovery [1]. Group 1: Reasons for Stock Decline - UPS stock experienced significant growth of nearly 150% from March 2020 to January 2022 due to increased package delivery volumes during the COVID-19 pandemic [4]. - The post-pandemic period saw a slowdown in UPS' business, compounded by challenging negotiations with the Teamsters Union, which affected profits despite avoiding a strike [5]. - UPS announced plans to cut its Amazon shipment volume by over 50% by 2026, leading to further declines in stock price, as Amazon accounted for 11.8% of UPS' total revenue in 2024 [6]. Group 2: Recovery and Growth Potential - UPS reported a 4.2% year-over-year increase in earnings for Q1 2025, indicating recovery as the higher costs from the Teamsters Union contract were front-loaded [8]. - The company is restructuring its network to cut approximately $3.5 billion in costs this year while focusing on more profitable shipment areas such as healthcare, international, B2B, and SMB markets [9][10]. - Despite uncertainties from tariffs affecting shipment volumes from China, UPS anticipates that these will be offset by increased shipments from China to non-U.S. destinations and other international routes [11]. Group 3: Investment Rationale - The demand for package deliveries is expected to grow over the next decade, supported by UPS' extensive delivery network, which provides a competitive advantage [12]. - UPS offers a forward dividend yield of 6.58%, which is attractive for generating total returns, although there is a possibility of a dividend cut [13]. - The stock is currently trading at 14.6 times forward earnings, a historically low valuation for the company, making it an appealing investment opportunity [13].