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Kratos Defense Stock Rises 35.3% in a Month: Here's How to Play
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 13:46
Core Insights - Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) shares have increased by 35.3% over the past month, significantly outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense Equipment industry's growth of 15.3% [1][8] - The strong interest in Kratos Defense's drone and defense technologies is driven by contract wins and the growing demand for unmanned, autonomous tactical systems [1] Stock Performance - Other defense equipment stocks, such as CurtissWright (CW) and AAR Corporation (AIR), have also seen increases, with shares gaining 8.1% and 19.1% respectively in the same timeframe [2] - Investors may consider adding KTOS stock to their portfolios due to its recent outperformance [3] Factors Driving Growth - Kratos Defense is a leading provider of unmanned aerial target drones for U.S. and allied militaries, benefiting from a strong reputation and proven technology [4] - The Valkyrie UAS has become a core platform in the U.S. Marine Corps' Collaborative Combat Aircraft program, enhancing cash flow visibility and investor confidence [5][8] - The company secured nearly $30 million in defense contracts, boosting near-term revenues and expanding its involvement in high-priority national security programs [10][8] - A new state-of-the-art 10,000 square foot facility for PT6A and PT6T engine overhaul has been opened, strengthening maintenance, repair, and overhaul capabilities [11][8] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KTOS' 2026 earnings per share (EPS) indicates a year-over-year increase of 38.43%, with sales expected to improve by 19.91% [13] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 29.17% [17] Valuation Metrics - KTOS stock's trailing 12-month return on invested capital (ROIC) lags behind the peer group average, indicating insufficient returns on investments [19] - The forward 12-month price/book (P/B) ratio for KTOS is 8.87X, which is a discount compared to the industry's average of 17.01X [21] Strategic Outlook - Kratos Defense is enhancing its growth outlook through leadership in unmanned systems, validation of its Valkyrie UAS, and expanding roles in defense, space, and aviation markets [24] - Recent contract wins and facility expansions support near-term revenue growth while reinforcing long-term competitiveness [24]