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Should You Buy OFRM Stock After the Once Upon a Farm IPO?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-09 18:48
Company Overview - Once Upon a Farm (OFRM) is a public benefit organic food company focused on young children's nutrition, offering products like cold-pressed purees, frozen meals, and snacks made with high-quality organic ingredients and no added sugar [3][4] - The company was co-founded by actress Jennifer Garner and former Annie's CEO John Foraker, and it emphasizes social and environmental goals alongside profit [4][3] IPO Details - OFRM went public with an IPO price of $18, raising approximately $198 million and valuing the company around $724 million [4][5] - The stock opened at about $21, reflecting strong initial demand, and has since traded between $20 and $25 [2][4] Financial Performance - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, OFRM reported revenue of approximately $176.7 million, a 64% increase from $107.6 million the previous year [8] - In Q3 2025, sales reached $66 million, marking a 58% year-over-year increase, driven by expanded retail distribution and new product launches [9][8] - Despite the revenue growth, the company reported a net loss of $11.3 million in Q3, widening from about $7 million a year earlier, with a nine-month net loss of $39.8 million [10][8] Cash Flow and Debt - In Q3, OFRM had a free cash flow of approximately -$7.6 million and an operating cash burn of around -$6.1 million, with only about $7.4 million in cash on hand against roughly $148 million of long-term debt [11][10] - The IPO proceeds are expected to significantly improve the cash position, which was previously thin, and will support growth initiatives and possibly debt reduction [5][11] Market Position and Growth Strategy - The company is positioned in a growing market, with management estimating the addressable U.S. kids food market at about $79 billion [9] - OFRM's management is focused on aggressive expansion of product lines and marketing rather than immediate profitability, as evidenced by a recent partnership with children's retailer Carter's [12][10] Valuation and Investor Sentiment - OFRM's price/sales ratio is approximately 3.7x, significantly higher than the median of 0.8x for food industry peers, indicating that investors are paying a premium for future growth [1][4] - The stock's valuation reflects optimism about capturing a large kids food market, but it also sets high expectations for near-term progress [6][14]