Core Insights - The Chinese fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) market is stabilizing after a slow start in 2024, with total FMCG spending growing by 1.3% year-to-date (YTD Q3 2025), driven by a 3.8% increase in volume and a 2.4% decline in average selling price (ASP) [3][4]. Market Growth Dynamics - Growth in FMCG spending moderated from 2.7% in Q1 to 0.7% in Q2 and 0.4% in Q3, with volume being the main growth driver while deflation eased from a 3.4% drop in FY 2023-24 to a 2.4% drop in YTD Q3 2025 [4][5]. - Tier 3-5 cities contributed approximately 80% of total FMCG market expansion in 2025, with volumes increasing by 4-6% despite a 2-3% decline in prices, driven by urbanization and resilient local consumption [6][9]. Consumer Behavior and Channel Dynamics - Consumers in lower-tier markets are benefiting from lower living costs and improved access to modern trade, with online-to-offline (O2O) channels enhancing purchase frequency and category breadth [9]. - Small-format retail, including snack stores and community supermarkets, has emerged as a key growth engine, allowing brands to reach new consumers more effectively [9]. - Membership-based retailers, snack-collection chains, and discount formats have seen significant growth, with year-on-year increases of 40%, 51%, and 92% respectively, reflecting a consumer focus on value and convenience [12]. Category Performance - Packaged food led sales value growth at 3.4%, followed closely by home care at 3.3%. Personal care grew by 1.1%, while beverages declined by 1.1% due to price competition [10]. - Instant noodles (+5.9%) and nutrition supplements (+5.3%) gained traction, while juice (+19.2%) led the beverage category as consumers opted for healthier options. Conversely, milk (–6.4%) and yogurt (–5.8%) faced challenges due to oversupply [11]. Retailer Strategies and Trends - Private-label products accounted for 2% of FMCG sales in YTD Q3 2025, marking a 44% growth over the past two years, as retailers expand their private-label portfolios to capture consumer demand [16][17]. - The C.O.R.E. framework (Circumstances, Offerings, Routes, Execution) is introduced as a strategy for brands to achieve sustainable growth by understanding consumer demand triggers and tailoring offerings accordingly [17]. Conclusion - As consumption occasions diversify, brands that understand consumer behavior and adapt their strategies will be best positioned for success in the evolving FMCG landscape in China [18].

Retail sectors around the world face a turning point as consumer behaviour shifts dramatically ahead of 2026. According to Colliers’ Global Retail: 2025 Trends & 2026 Outlook Report, the most influential forces reshaping retail are the blending of online and in‑store channels, growing price sensitivity, and the rising influence of Generation Z. Omnichannel convergence reshaping growth dynamics Colliers’ analysis shows that omnichannel retail integration is now a non‑negotiable part of strategy across gl ...