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Long-Term Bullish Signal Rarely Fails Visa Stock
Forbesยท 2025-09-18 19:55
Core Insights - Visa's stock has been trading between $340 and $355 since August, following a rejection at the $360 level in July, after reaching an all-time high of $375.51 on June 11, contributing to an 18.4% year-over-year gain [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Trends - Visa stock is currently near its 12-month moving average, having closed above this trendline in 80% of the last 20 months. Historically, this has led to a price increase one month later 83% of the time, averaging an 8.2% gain [2] - A similar price movement from the current level could push Visa's stock above $368, with long-term returns averaging a 19.3% gain after three months in 89% of cases, potentially reaching new highs around $406 [3] Group 2: Options Market Sentiment - The options market shows a high level of pessimism, with Visa's 50-day put/call volume ratio at 1.11, ranking higher than 71% of readings from the past year. The put/call open interest ratio of 1.06 is in the 83rd percentile, indicating a strong put bias among short-term options traders [5] - Current conditions suggest it may be a favorable time to consider options trading, as Visa's Volatility Index (SVI) of 21% is in the low 12th percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations from options traders [6]