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Why the Smart Money is Pensive Ahead of Exxon Mobil’s (XOM) Q4 Earnings Report
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-29 14:15
Irrespective of your goals in the market, it’s always useful to consider the volatility skew of your favorite optionable securities. Volatility skew is a screener that identifies implied volatility (IV) or a stock’s potential kinetic output across the strike prices of a given options chain.Even more significantly, the pensiveness isn’t just a narrative interpretation; rather, it has had a serious impact on how options traders have structured risk in Exxon Mobil stock.Now, it’s true that over the trailing fi ...
How Volatility Skew Could Be Favorably Mispricing Expand Energy (EXE) Call Options
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-22 14:15
Core Insights - Expand Energy (EXE) has shown resilience amidst market fluctuations, with its stock rising nearly 8% in the last five sessions, supported by analyst recommendations, positioning it as a 'Strong Buy' candidate [1] - The underlying natural gas pricing may be volatile, but strong demand for power generation is expected to bolster the company's performance [1] Options Flow Analysis - The options flow screener indicates a bullish sentiment towards EXE, with net trade sentiment at $951,000 against a total gross bullish volume of $988,500, suggesting market makers anticipate an increase in stock value [2] - The largest transactions in the options flow were for debit-based calls, indicating that investors are making directional bets on EXE stock [3] Volatility and Market Sentiment - A volatility skew analysis shows higher implied volatility for puts compared to calls, particularly for near-term expirations, indicating that traders are willing to pay more for downside protection [4] - The natural gas market's instability and geopolitical factors contribute to cautious sentiment among traders regarding EXE stock, which has only gained about 2% over the past year despite its recent performance [5] Price Expectations - According to the Black-Scholes-derived Expected Move calculator, EXE stock is projected to range between $101.94 and $117.07, suggesting a potential for upward movement within one standard deviation of price volatility [6]