450 drones and over 70 missiles hit Ukraine overnight, just as U.S.-brokered talks are set to resume in Abu Dhabi this week. Yet, prediction market traders see a near coin-flip chance of an official ceasefire before the end of 2026.Ukrainian officials argue Russia used an energy-strike pause to stockpile for a bigger hit, while Moscow says the moratorium expired, Reuters reported on Tuesday.That setup supports a common negotiating posture: increase pressure to try to extract concessions at the table.Meanwhi ...