450 drones and over 70 missiles hit Ukraine overnight, just as U.S.-brokered talks are set to resume in Abu Dhabi this week. Yet, prediction market traders see a near coin-flip chance of an official ceasefire before the end of 2026.Ukrainian officials argue Russia used an energy-strike pause to stockpile for a bigger hit, while Moscow says the moratorium expired, Reuters reported on Tuesday.That setup supports a common negotiating posture: increase pressure to try to extract concessions at the table.Meanwhi ...

Corn: Like most of the Grains sector, the corn market was in the red to start the day, week, and month. The March issue (ZCH26) posted a 3.75-cent trading range, all of it unchanged or lower, on an uptick in trade volume of 26,000 contracts and was sitting 1.75 cents lower at this writing. A look back at last Friday and we see March closed 2.5 cents lower after dropping as much as 5.5 cents over the course of the session. Recall, though, the carry in both the March-May and May-July futures spreads weakened ...