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Wheat Bulls Head into the Weekend with Their Tails Tucked
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 22:06
Market Performance - The wheat market experienced losses across all three markets, with CBT soft red wheat futures closing down 6 to 7 ¼ cents, and December futures down 2 ¾ cents for the week [1] - KC HRW futures also saw declines of 6 to 7 cents, with December ending the week down 1 ¾ cents [1] - MPLS spring wheat futures posted losses of 5 to 6 cents, although December managed a slight gain of ¼ cent since last Friday [1] Speculative Positions - Speculative traders in Chicago wheat futures and options increased their net short position by 12,110 contracts, bringing the total to 97,935 contracts as of September 23 [2] - In Kansas City wheat, managed money reduced their net short position by 1,230 contracts to 50,304 contracts as of the same date [2] Export Commitments - The USDA Export Sales report indicated export sale commitments at 13.699 million metric tons (MMT), which is a 23% increase from the previous year and the highest level since 2013/14 [3] - This figure represents 56% of the USDA's export projection and is ahead of the 5-year average pace of 54% [3] Stock Estimates - Analysts anticipate that the USDA's Grain Stocks report will show wheat stocks on hand at 2.054 billion bushels (bbu) as of September 1, with estimates ranging from 1.975 to 2.22 bbu [3] Russian Wheat Exports - Sovecon estimates Russian wheat exports at 43.4 MMT, a decrease of 0.3 MMT from the previous estimate [4] Closing Prices - Closing prices for various wheat futures on December 25 and March 26 showed declines, with CBOT Wheat at $5.19 3/4 (down 7 1/4 cents) and KCBT Wheat at $5.05 1/2 (down 6 3/4 cents) [4]