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Why the supreme court's tariffs ruling is a win for world trade – but also tricky
The Guardian· 2026-02-20 21:52
Core Viewpoint - The US Supreme Court's decision to strike down Donald Trump's tariffs is a positive development for the rule of law and the separation of powers, but it does not restore the US's credibility in the global economy [1][2][3]. Group 1: Court Ruling and Economic Impact - The Supreme Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not grant the president the authority to impose tariffs, which are a form of taxation reserved for Congress [3]. - The ruling will reduce the average trade-weighted tariff in the US from 15.3% to 8.3%, benefiting consumers and businesses reliant on imports [5]. - Tariffs against imports from China will decrease from 36.8% to 21.2%, Brazilian imports from 26.3% to 6.8%, and Japanese goods from 14.9% to 9.9% [6]. Group 2: Ongoing Economic Uncertainty - Despite the reduction in tariffs, the 8.3% average tariff remains historically high, and the court did not address the underlying issues of Trump's trade war [7]. - The court's decision adds to economic uncertainty as existing trade deals may be disrupted, and the loss of tariff revenue could create a budget deficit estimated at $120 billion [9]. - The Supreme Court did not limit the president's ability to justify tariffs based on dubious claims of national emergencies, allowing for continued economic unpredictability [8][10]. Group 3: Future Trade Actions - Following the ruling, Trump announced a new 10% global tariff under section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act, which requires congressional approval for extensions beyond 150 days [11][12]. - Trump may also utilize section 301 and section 232 of the Trade Acts to impose tariffs, but these actions come with procedural limitations [13][14]. - The Supreme Court's decision may complicate future trade negotiations, leaving uncertainty about the ease of establishing new trade deals [15].
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-08-21 02:00
As countries strike tariff deals with Donald Trump to secure market access, they are drawing up alternatives. The president wanted America at the centre of world trade. Things are not going to plan https://t.co/AdICrNglAUPhoto: Gilles Sabrié/The New York Times/Redux/eyevine https://t.co/cGXP7dNr90 ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-08-20 21:00
As countries strike tariff deals with Donald Trump to secure market access, they are drawing up alternatives. The president wanted America at the centre of world trade. Things are not going to plan https://t.co/p2gKsuXhrV ...