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Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP)
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ZIRP or ZAP? Will the Fed’s ’Zero-Interest Rate Policy’ Return, and Will It Work?
Investing· 2025-10-26 10:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential return of the Federal Reserve's Zero-Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) and its implications, suggesting that while ZIRP may be reinstated to stimulate the economy, it could lead to a new era of Zero Adaptive Policy (ZAP) that fails to address current economic realities and exacerbates wealth inequality [1][3]. Economic Dynamics - ZIRP aims to lower borrowing costs to stimulate spending and inflate asset prices, primarily benefiting the wealthy, while the bottom 90% of the population experiences stagnation or decline in economic conditions [1][2]. - The top 10% of earners own approximately 90% of all stocks and a significant portion of other income-generating assets, leading to a widening wealth gap [1][3]. - The current economic environment is characterized by systemic inflationary pressures, rising risk premiums, and a lack of deflationary impulses from China, which complicates the effectiveness of ZIRP [1][2]. Wealth Inequality - The article highlights that the benefits of ZIRP and the "wealth effect" have not only diminished but have turned negative, contributing to increased wealth-income inequality and social instability [2][3]. - Spending by the wealthy constitutes about half of all consumption, indicating that the economy is heavily reliant on the financial well-being of the top earners [1][2]. Historical Context - The article references three significant asset bubbles in recent history: the dot-com bubble, the housing/stock bubble of 2007-08, and the current "Everything Bubble," suggesting that past methods of inflating asset prices may not be effective in the future [2][3]. - The velocity of money has been declining, indicating that previous economic growth has not translated into widespread benefits for wage earners [3]. Future Implications - The potential reinstatement of ZIRP may lead to ZAP, where the policy becomes ineffective due to changing economic conditions, further entrenching wealth inequality rather than alleviating it [1][3]. - The article warns that simply repeating past policies will not generate growth but could instead lead to greater instability in the economy [1][2].
Prologis: The Stars Have Not Yet Aligned
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-06 15:37
Group 1 - The Conservative Income Portfolio targets value stocks with high margins of safety and reduces volatility using well-priced options [1] - The Enhanced Equity Income Solutions Portfolio aims to generate yields of 7-9% while minimizing volatility [1] - Prologis Inc. (NYSE: PLD) has been highlighted as facing valuation challenges due to the unwinding of the Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) era [2] Group 2 - Trapping Value is a team of analysts with over 40 years of combined experience in generating options income and focusing on capital preservation [3] - The investing group Conservative Income Portfolio collaborates with Preferred Stock Trader to offer two income-generating portfolios and a bond ladder [3] - The Covered Calls Portfolio is designed for lower volatility income investing with an emphasis on capital preservation [2]