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$60 Oil Undercuts Trump’s ‘Drill, Baby, Drill’ Agenda
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-07 01:00
Core Theme - The U.S. shale oil industry is not primarily focused on increased drilling despite favorable regulatory conditions and support from the Trump administration [1][3]. Production Strategies - U.S. oil and gas producers are enhancing production through consolidation and efficiency improvements rather than drilling new wells, utilizing drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs) to increase output [2][3]. - The total rig count has decreased to 546, down by 39 rigs from the previous year, indicating a decline in drilling activity [4]. Market Conditions - The U.S. benchmark oil price has fallen by approximately 15% since President Trump's inauguration, affecting producers' strategies [2]. - Industry executives suggest that if oil prices remain around $60 per barrel, the shale industry may plateau or begin to decline [5][6]. Production Outlook - U.S. oil output is projected to grow by 300,000 to 400,000 barrels per day this year, but this growth is contingent on oil prices remaining favorable [5]. - Current WTI prices have fluctuated just below or above $60 per barrel, with concerns of an impending oversupply in the market [6].