I think the if if the top's in, then I think the base case has to be that the bare market low is in October of 2026. >> Did you just say the bare market would be about half a year. That's pretty short.>> So, normally bare markets are a year, right. Normally bare markets are one year. And so, I think that if if the top's in, then I think the base case has to be that the bare market low is in October of 2026. Like that >> I feel like has to be base case if the top is in.But I could see an example where Jerome ...

Bitcoin can definitely go lower from here, but it's not my base case.When BTC was this oversold in late 2018 on the weekly timeframe, it dumped another 44% — in 2022, it dumped another 54%.If a proper bear market is underway, things can get much worse.Bitcoin could chop around and form a bottom here like Sept. 2024 and Apr. 2025. After all, this is week five of chopping around the mid-80s.Bottom formation takes time.Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti):Bitcoin's weekly RSI is at its most oversold level since...• End ...

RT Wendy O (@CryptoWendyO)What if we are in a bear market and traditional finance is keeping the market afloat… https://t.co/1KK1UI8mye ...

LATEST: 📊 Glassnode says that multiple Bitcoin onchain metrics now resemble conditions seen at the start of the 2022 bear market, including elevated top buyer stress and a sharp rise in supply held at a loss. https://t.co/x3xSNxrWCI ...

🚨 LATEST: Strategy's Bitcoin buying has collapsed through 2025, signaling they're bracing for bear market, per CryptoQuant. https://t.co/tN3rnui784 ...

RT Hunter Horsley (@HHorsley)Sign you're in a bear market?The 2nd largest brokerage in America flips it's policy from sell-only to allowing crypto ETF purchases.And no one is fired up.Whether people are stoked right now or not — crypto is rapidly entering the mainstream. ...

Core Insights - The S&P 500 has ended a historically long streak of 138 consecutive trading days above its 50-day moving average, the longest since 2006-2007 and the fifth-longest since 1950 [1][5][7] - The Nasdaq Composite also experienced a similar streak, marking its longest since 1995 [2] - The end of such streaks can indicate short-term weakness, but the more critical measure is whether the market remains above its 200-day moving average, which is currently 6,166.05, with the S&P 500 being 8% above this level [3] Historical Context - Historically, the end of the S&P 500's streak has not always led to negative outcomes, as past instances have shown positive returns three and six months later [5][6] - Notable examples include 2007, where the S&P 500 saw a short-term dip but eventually reached a new all-time high, closing the year with a 5.5% total return [6] - Conversely, the end of the streak in 2007 also foreshadowed a bear market that began months later, as did a similar occurrence in 1961 [7][8]

Just a few days after Bitcoin’s dip to the $80,000 mark and reclaiming $88,000, bullish voices are calling it a bottom. New analysis from Santiment, however, shows that the shaky sentiment, weak on-chain activity, and cautious market data may mean the real floor has not yet been found. On Nov. 21, the BTC price fell to a local low of $80,659, but the asset soon gained momentum and touched $89,000 on Nov. 25. Following the rebound, the crypto community started calling it the market bottom, according to an ...

We keep dipping below $82,000. It's obviously been a rocky ride for Bitcoin. What's behind it.At least last time we knew there were some scandals that rocked the world. What's rocking it this time. This time, what we're hearing that it is mostly kind of a risk off attitude from institutional and retail investors when things start to get rocky elsewhere. If you look at stocks or particularly in AI this week in big tech stocks, Bitcoin is one of those first things that kind of acts as a bellwether to go becau ...

Alliance DAO co-founder QwQiao tweeted reiterating his view that the next bear market (timing unknown) will be worse than most people here expect. A large cohort of “dumb money” who know nothing about crypto is buying spot and ETFs, which never ends well. The market may need another roughly 50% drop while these people liquidate their positions before a strong foundation can form and the supercycle can resume. Additionally, Placeholder partner Chris Burniske tweeted that the era of DAT selling has only just ...