Getting bearish vibes, feels like lots of people are bearish but everyone is holding waiting for better timesDon't love that combination, makes for easy sellers if price actually moves downDerisked significantly, cashed in lots of wins, took some losses and am just gonna chill ...

Here's how I see the next 22 hours playing out:Base case:Drift a bit higher overnight. Dump at US open tomorrow morning as "derisking" pre-FOMC happens. Slowly chop/minor grind back up throughout the day leading into FOMC. JPow cuts 25bps and we get a 1.5-2% Darth Maul candle on majors.End the day green and resume melt-up.Think the 25bps outcome is extremely likely. 94%Outliers:50bps + dovish FOMC - results in extreme moon assuming JPow couches it as "it's time and we were a little late but there's no issue ...