Here's how I see the next 22 hours playing out:Base case:Drift a bit higher overnight. Dump at US open tomorrow morning as "derisking" pre-FOMC happens. Slowly chop/minor grind back up throughout the day leading into FOMC. JPow cuts 25bps and we get a 1.5-2% Darth Maul candle on majors.End the day green and resume melt-up.Think the 25bps outcome is extremely likely. 94%Outliers:50bps + dovish FOMC - results in extreme moon assuming JPow couches it as "it's time and we were a little late but there's no issue ...