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ETF inflows are key driver for crypto, says Citi’s Alex Saunders
CNBC Television· 2025-10-02 21:36
Market Overview & Flows - The bull case for crypto, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, is primarily driven by significant inflows observed in the past year, expected to continue [1][2] - ETF flows are identified as the primary catalyst for price movements in both Bitcoin and Ether [2][3] - Digital asset treasuries also contribute to inflows, although their consistency depends on the premium at which their stock is trading above their NAV [2] Correlation & Macroeconomic Factors - Bitcoin's correlation with gold has increased, aligning with its perception as "digital gold" due to its limited supply [3][4] - Equity markets and overall risk appetite remain the primary determinants on the macro side for both Bitcoin and Ethereum [4] Risks & Sentiment - The biggest risk to the bullish forecast for Bitcoin and Ether is a change in sentiment driven by the macroeconomy, particularly a downside in equity risk [5][6] - A downturn in equity markets could reduce inflows and negatively impact prices due to the sentiment-driven nature of Bitcoin and Ethereum [6] Price Targets - The 12-month forecast for Bitcoin is $181,000 and for Ether is $5,400 [5]