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Top Wall Street Trader Says The Market Looks RISKY Right Now
Market Overview & Strategy - The stock market's performance is not solely attributable to government policies, but significantly influenced by economic fundamentals [3][5] - The industry emphasizes engaging individuals in risk-taking, rather than focusing solely on education or specific strategies [9][10] - The speaker expresses nervousness about the stock market, finding no cheap sectors, commodities, or countries [30][31] - The speaker believes the volatility indexes are too cheap, suggesting fear is currently undervalued in the market [68] Retail Investor Impact - Retail investors are increasingly influential, driving changes in asset pricing and company valuation [13] - There's a massive demand for speculation and risk, but technology and content are needed to facilitate it [15] - Individual investors appreciate a probabilistic, quantitative, and mathematical approach more than a subjective, fundamental one [29] - Retail volume in derivatives has increased significantly, with options, futures, and options on futures now representing close to 80% of the market [16][17] Derivatives & Trading - A sophisticated derivatives model provides an expected move for every stock with underlying options, offering valuable information to investors [24][26] - The options marketplace determines the expected move of a stock, reflecting implied volatility set by high-frequency trading firms [28] - The speaker advocates for trading the yield curve to understand how the economy and bonds work [35] Crypto & Digital Assets - The speaker expresses concern that innovative crypto firms are being bought out, potentially leading to regulatory issues and consumer risks [55][56] - The speaker likes the listed futures and ETFs for digital assets, as they provide more optionality and tradability for retail investors [58][60] Event-Based Markets - Event-based markets are currently too expensive due to high fees, but are expected to improve with increased competition from larger exchanges [46][47][48]
X @DonAlt
DonAlt· 2025-09-18 00:52
This is gonna be fun for a whileEric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas):BOOM: SEC has approved the generic listings standards that will clear way for spot crypto ETFs to launch (without going through all this bs every time) under '33 Act so long as they have futures on Coinbase, which currently incl about 12-15 coins. https://t.co/E9FXrniXRS ...
X @Kraken
Kraken· 2025-09-11 15:42
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X @Bitcoin Magazine
Bitcoin Magazine· 2025-07-21 16:46
JUST IN: Coinbase launches perpetual futures in the US 🇺🇸https://t.co/zvUQJlfGaU ...