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半导体硬件材料:上调 EMC、TUC、MPI 订单预期,受益于谷歌 ASIC 业务-Semis_hardware materials_ raise EMC_ TUC_MPI POs on Google ASIC benefits
2025-12-08 00:41
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Technology - Asia-Pacific, specifically focusing on semiconductor and hardware materials - **Key Companies**: EMC (Elite Material), TUC (Taiwan Union), MPI (Microchip Technology), GUC (Global Unichip) Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Rising Demand for TPU**: Anticipated increase in demand for Tensor Processing Units (TPU) through 2026/27, leading to upgrades for GUC and WT Micro to "Buy" ratings due to their potential benefits from Google's in-house ASIC supply chain [1] 2. **EMC's Position**: EMC is highlighted as a major supplier in the Copper Clad Laminate (CCL) space for PCBs, with a projected 10% increase in 2027E EPS and a price objective (PO) raised to NT$1,950 based on a 26x P/E ratio [2] 3. **TUC's Growth Potential**: TUC is expected to benefit from increased demand for networking boards and has a 4% increase in 2027E EPS, with a new PO of NT$565 based on a 23.5x P/E ratio [3] 4. **MPI's Contribution**: MPI is projected to contribute to TPU v8 in 2027, with a 1% increase in 2027E EPS and a new PO of NT$2,900 based on a 35x P/E ratio [4] Financial Estimates and Changes - **EMC Financials**: - 2027E EPS raised by 10% - New PO: NT$1,950 (previously NT$1,650) - Expected 40%+ CAGR in net income from 2025-27 [10][13] - **TUC Financials**: - 2027E EPS raised by 4% - New PO: NT$565 (previously NT$480) - Expected high-20% CAGR in revenue from 2025-27 [14][16] - **MPI Financials**: - 2027E EPS raised by 1% - New PO: NT$2,900 (previously NT$2,450) - Expected growth in total sales to NT$24,945 million by 2027 [17][18] Additional Important Information - **Valuation Method Changes**: The valuation multiples for EMC and TUC have been increased, while MPI's valuation base has been rolled over to 2027E [9] - **Consensus Comparison**: BofA's estimates for 2027E EPS are significantly above consensus for all three companies, indicating a more optimistic outlook based on stronger revenue growth assumptions [11][15][18] - **Market Dynamics**: The report emphasizes the structural growth in the underlying markets for these companies, suggesting a favorable environment for continued investment [1] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, focusing on the industry dynamics, company-specific insights, financial estimates, and important disclosures.