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Fed Chair Powell: We're seeing higher productivity, but quick to say it's generative AI
CNBC Television· 2025-12-10 20:51
So this has come up a couple of times today, but to be clear, do you believe that we're experiencing a positive productivity shock whether from AI or policy factors or whatever. Uh and how much of that is how much is that driving the higher GDP projection in the SCP. >> So yeah, I mean it uh [clears throat] I never thought I would see a time when we had, you know, five, six years of 2% productivity growth.This is this is higher, you know, this is definitely higher and it was it was before before it could be ...
Hope for the best, plan for the worst in AI trade, says Fmr. CEA Chair Jared Bernstein
CNBC Television· 2025-07-28 16:03
Economic Outlook - Consumer spending, adjusted for inflation, has been flat from December to May, showing a slight negative trend of -0.21% [3] - The American consumer has been a key driver of GDP, accounting for 70% [4] - The flatness in consumer spending could be due to consumers frontloading imports in anticipation of tariffs [4] Fiscal Policy & Debt Management - The Treasury plans to update on how it intends to finance the nation's debt [5] - The current administration criticized the prior administration for timing the issuance of debt in the bond market [6] - The federal debt has significantly increased due to the current budget bill [7] - An increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio by one point tends to add approximately two basis points to the interest rate [8] Impact of AI - There's hope that AI will generate enough productivity growth to offset some of the financial pressures [9][10] - Historically, technological changes have not had the dramatic productivity-enhancing effects that are being claimed for AI [11] - Relying on AI to solve federal budgeting issues is considered reckless [11]