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Prediction: 2 Stocks Will Be Worth More Than Palantir Technologies in 2026
The Motley Foolยท 2025-05-03 08:04
Core Insights - Palantir Technologies is currently valued at $269 billion, but analysts believe Intuitive Surgical and ServiceNow could surpass this valuation by 2026 [1] Intuitive Surgical - Intuitive Surgical is a leader in robotics-assisted surgery, known for its da Vinci systems, which enhance precision in minimally invasive procedures across five surgical areas [3][7] - The company operates on a razor-and-blade business model, where surgical systems are the razors and consumable tools are the blades, creating a steady revenue stream [4] - In Q1, Intuitive Surgical reported a 19% revenue increase to $2.2 billion, driven by growth in da Vinci procedures and system placements, with non-GAAP earnings rising 21% to $1.50 per diluted share [5] - Morgan Stanley analyst Patrick Wood set a bull-case target price of $850 per share for Intuitive Surgical, indicating a 64% upside from its current price of $517, leading to a potential market value of $304 billion [6] - Recent FDA approvals allow da Vinci systems to perform more colorectal surgeries, suggesting a larger total addressable market and potential for faster growth [8] - Wall Street anticipates adjusted earnings growth of 10% annually through 2026, but Intuitive Surgical has historically beaten estimates by an average of 14% [9] - If earnings grow at 28% annually through Q3 2026, the market value could reach $270 billion without changes in the P/E ratio, though current shares trade at 68 times earnings, indicating a high valuation [10] ServiceNow - ServiceNow specializes in workflow management software, particularly in IT service management and AI for IT operations, and introduced generative AI features in 2023 [11] - The company reported an 18% revenue increase to $3 billion in Q1, with non-GAAP net income also rising 18% to $4.04 per diluted share, attributed to its strong position in enterprise-grade AI [12] - Wall Street expects ServiceNow's adjusted earnings to grow at 19% annually through 2026, with the company beating consensus estimates by an average of 7% over the last six quarters [12] - If this trend continues, trailing-12-month earnings could reach $20.10 per share, leading to a potential share price of $1,325, implying a 39% upside from the current price [12] - In this scenario, ServiceNow's market value could reach $275 billion by Q3 2026, surpassing Palantir's current valuation, although the current valuation is considered expensive for the expected growth rate [13]