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Bristlemoon Global Fund Q3 2025 Report
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-16 06:30
Core Insights - The Bristlemoon Global Fund achieved a 5.0% return for the September 2025 quarter and a cumulative 19.3% return since inception, net of fees [2] - Key contributors to performance included AppLovin, ASML, and Alphabet, while PAR Technology Corporation, Salesforce, and Hemnet detracted from performance [3] Investment Approach - The fund focuses on compounding capital through investments in high-quality, competitively advantaged businesses with specific traits, including the ability to forecast future earnings and reinvest at high rates of return [5][7] - The portfolio consists of 95.2% long positions and 9.5% short positions, with a net exposure of 85.7% [5] Performance Analysis - The fund's top five long positions as of September 30, 2025, include AerCap Holdings, Alphabet, AppLovin, Hemnet Group, and Uber Technologies [6] - The fund's monthly performance showed fluctuations, with notable returns in September 2025 [6] ASML Holding N.V. - ASML is a monopoly supplier of lithography machines essential for semiconductor fabrication, particularly in the AI and computing sectors [18] - Despite a significant drawdown in stock price, the fund believes the bearish narratives surrounding ASML's growth prospects are misguided, emphasizing the ongoing demand for its technology [20][21] - Concerns regarding demand normalization in China and the transition to new transistor architectures are addressed, with the fund asserting that ASML's market position remains strong [22][24][35] Alphabet Inc - Alphabet has been perceived as struggling to innovate, but the fund argues that recent product launches and advancements in AI demonstrate its competitive edge [40][41] - The narrative of Google Search being disrupted by AI is countered with data showing stable growth in search revenue and the effectiveness of AI Overviews in monetization [51][53] - The company is positioned to leverage its AI capabilities and advertising scale to maintain its market leadership [59] Synopsys Inc - Synopsys is a leading vendor of electronic design automation tools, benefiting from increased design starts in the semiconductor industry [61] - A recent stock price decline following earnings results is viewed as an overreaction, presenting a buying opportunity for a company with strong fundamentals [63][66] PAR Technology Corporation - PAR has faced significant stock price volatility, with a 44% decline attributed to disappointing earnings and growth guidance [68] - The company is focusing on long-term value creation by pursuing large contracts with major clients, which could significantly enhance its annual recurring revenue [75][77] - Despite short-term challenges, the fund maintains a positive outlook on PAR's potential for recovery and growth [83]