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The Zacks Analyst Blog Joby Aviation, Uber and Archer Aviation
ZACKS· 2025-12-26 08:31
Core Viewpoint - Joby Aviation is advancing its electric air taxi services through a partnership with Metropolis Technologies to develop 25 vertiports across the U.S., aiming to accelerate air taxi adoption [2][3]. Group 1: Joby Aviation Developments - Joby Aviation has partnered with Metropolis Technologies to create 25 vertiports for its electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, utilizing Metropolis' AI-based recognition technology [2]. - The partnership follows Metropolis' $1.5 billion acquisition of SP+ and a $1.6 billion Series D funding round, with plans to assess new and existing facilities for integration into early electric air taxi markets [3]. - Joby has completed its acquisition of Blade Air Mobility's urban air mobility passenger business, marking a significant step towards launching commercial operations [5]. Group 2: Technological Integration - Joby plans to incorporate AI-based recognition technology from Metropolis, including computer vision and biometrics, to enhance passenger experience [4]. - Metropolis will introduce its Bags VIP service to Joby's operations, aiming to alleviate passenger concerns regarding luggage handling during air taxi flights [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Archer Aviation, a competitor in the eVTOL space, is developing an air taxi network in the Miami area to provide an alternative to road traffic [7]. - Archer has partnered with Karem Aircraft to access advanced rotor and tiltrotor technologies for next-generation autonomous aircraft, supporting both commercial and military applications [8]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Outlook - Joby shares have seen double-digit gains over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry, although it is trading at a premium compared to its industry peers [9]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Joby's losses in Q4 2025, Q1 2026, and full-year 2025 and 2026 has widened over the past 60 days [10].
Why I'm Not Selling Archer Aviation Stock
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-23 09:30
Core Viewpoint - Archer Aviation has faced scrutiny due to a short-seller report alleging misleading investor communications regarding development progress, yet the long-term investment thesis remains intact despite these challenges [1][2][22]. Development Timelines - Archer Aviation's development timelines are likely overly optimistic, with recent acceleration of commercial launch targets, such as operations in the UAE by late 2025 instead of 2026 [4][11]. - Optimism in aviation timelines is common, as seen with major players like Boeing and Airbus, where delays are expected in pioneering new technologies [5][6]. Allegations of Fraud - The short-seller report claims Archer Aviation is misleading shareholders, citing timeline discrepancies and selective evidence [7][10]. - While some inconsistencies exist, the leap to deliberate fraud is considered exaggerated, as aggressive projections are typical in aerospace [10][12]. Market Opportunities - The UAE launch is deemed immaterial to Archer Aviation's long-term value, with the core opportunity lying in FAA certification for U.S. operations, where demand and revenue potential are significant [12][22]. - The 2028 Los Angeles Olympics are highlighted as a potential commercial milestone for demonstrating operational capabilities [13]. Strategic Partnerships - Partnerships with industry leaders like Anduril Industries and Palantir Technologies indicate confidence in Archer Aviation's technology, as these companies do not engage lightly in long-term agreements [14][15][16]. - Archer Aviation has secured a $142 million contract with the U.S. Air Force, allowing for revenue generation from defense applications while awaiting commercial certification [18][19]. Long-Term Investment Perspective - The investment in Archer Aviation is characterized as high-risk and long-duration, with the aviation industry being inherently challenging [20]. - The potential market for electric vertical flight remains substantial, with strategic partnerships and defense contracts providing alternative revenue pathways [21][22].