CenterPoint Energy has agreed to sell its natural gas local distribution business in Ohio to National Fuel Gas for $2.62 billion. ...

Core Viewpoint - Investors in the Utility - Gas Distribution sector should consider Spire (SR) and Atmos Energy (ATO) as potential investment opportunities, with a focus on their valuation metrics to determine which stock offers better value [1] Valuation Metrics - Both Spire and Atmos Energy currently hold a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions and an improving earnings outlook for both companies [3] - Key valuation metrics for Spire include a forward P/E ratio of 16.62 and a PEG ratio of 2.44, while Atmos Energy has a forward P/E of 22.54 and a PEG ratio of 3.08 [5] - Spire's P/B ratio stands at 1.53, compared to Atmos Energy's P/B ratio of 2.11, contributing to Spire's Value grade of B and Atmos Energy's Value grade of D [6]

Consumer Sentiment - U.S. consumer sentiment remained low in October, with a preliminary reading of 55, down 0.1 points from September's 55.1, but higher than the consensus estimate of 54.1 [4][11] - Consumers' one-year inflation expectations decreased to 4.6% in October from 4.7% in the previous month, while long-term inflation expectations remained unchanged at 3.7% [5][6] Market Conditions - The ongoing government shutdown has led to market volatility, with all three major indexes ending in negative territory for the week [7][11] - Investors are seeking stability in low-beta, defensive stocks amid concerns about inflation and the labor market [2][11] Recommended Stocks - **Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 7.5%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.74, and a dividend yield of 1.97% [9][8] - **CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (CNP)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 8.6%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.57, and a dividend yield of 2.24% [13][12] - **Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 0.9%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.53, and a dividend yield of 1.67% [15][14] - **Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 25.3%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.57, and a dividend yield of 4.39% [17][16]

Core Insights - The Bengaluru Airport City Limited (BACL) has signed an agreement with GAIL Gas Ltd to develop a city gas distribution facility at Bengaluru Airport City, which includes a Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) station and associated infrastructure, Piped Natural Gas (PNG) installations, and other clean energy solutions [7][6][5] - The project aims to facilitate CNG infrastructure for various vehicles, enhancing Bengaluru Airport City's position as a model for integrating sustainable energy solutions into urban and commercial areas [2][7] - The development is expected to significantly contribute to India's clean energy transition and promote environmentally friendly natural gas adoption [5][6] Company Overview - GAIL Gas Limited, a subsidiary of GAIL (India) Limited, is authorized by the Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board to implement city gas distribution projects in Bengaluru Urban and Rural Districts [6][7] - GAIL Gas is involved in supplying PNG to domestic households, industries, and commercial customers, as well as CNG to vehicles through its stations across the districts [7] Industry Impact - The establishment of the CNG station is anticipated to benefit thousands of vehicles, providing convenient access to CNG refueling for commuters traveling to and from Kempegowda International Airport [6][7] - The project aligns with international sustainability standards and enhances the attractiveness of Bengaluru Airport City as a smart, green business destination [2][7]

Group 1 - Aktsiaselts Infortar's subsidiary AS Elenger Grupp has secured a EUR 170 million syndicated term loan facility to refinance existing long-term debt and invest in gas distribution networks [1] - The financing will enhance investment capacity, improve service quality, and strengthen supply security for over 400,000 customers, linking gas infrastructure to climate goals [2] - The transaction does not impact Infortar's debt servicing capacity and has no material effect on the company's economic activities [6] Group 2 - Infortar operates in seven countries, focusing on maritime transport, energy, and real estate, with a 68.47% stake in Tallink Grupp and a 100% stake in Elenger Grupp [7] - The company has a diverse portfolio, including approximately 141,000 m² of real estate and employs 6,866 people across 110 companies [7]

Core Viewpoint - ONE Gas (OGS) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value calculations by institutional investors, resulting in buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [4]. Recent Performance of ONE Gas - ONE Gas is expected to earn $4.33 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, showing no year-over-year change [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for ONE Gas has increased by 1.5%, reflecting a positive trend in earnings estimates [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - The upgrade of ONE Gas to a Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Industry Overview - Natural gas is increasingly utilized in power generation due to its cleaner-burning characteristics compared to other fossil fuels, leading to a rise in domestic natural gas output and greater LNG exports [1] - The demand for natural gas across various consumer categories necessitates the installation of more distribution pipelines [1][2] Natural Gas Distribution Infrastructure - The U.S. natural gas network comprises nearly 3 million mainline and other pipes, essential for transporting natural gas from transmission networks to end users [2] - The natural gas pipeline industry requires a consistent flow of funds for the repair and maintenance of its extensive network and to address aging infrastructure [3] Production and Market Trends - According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, dry natural gas production increased by over 1 billion cubic feet per day from Q1 to Q2 of 2025, but is expected to decline by a similar amount in the following year [4] - Marketed natural gas production is projected to grow by 3% over 2024 volumes [4] Company Comparisons - A comparative analysis of Atmos Energy (ATO) and Northwest Natural (NWN) shows both companies currently hold a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ATO's fiscal 2025 EPS has risen by 1% to $7.33, while NWN's EPS estimate increased by 1.4% to $2.92 [6][10] Financial Metrics - ATO's return on equity (ROE) is 9%, while NWN's ROE is 8.6%, compared to the industry average of 9.08% [7] - ATO has a current ratio of 1.37, indicating sufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities, whereas NWN's current ratio is 0.68 [8] - ATO's debt-to-capital ratio stands at 40.21%, significantly lower than NWN's 62.05% and the industry average of 51.09% [11] Stock Performance - In the past month, ATO shares have increased by 7%, outperforming NWN's 2% rise and the industry's 3.9% growth [10][12] - ATO's dividend yield is 2.1%, while NWN's is 4.74%, both exceeding the S&P 500 composite average of 1.15% [14] Conclusion - Both Atmos Energy and Northwest Natural are positioned as strong investment options, with ATO being favored due to its superior debt management, liquidity, and stock performance [15]

Core Viewpoint - MDU Resources is currently viewed as a superior value option compared to ONE Gas based on various valuation metrics [7] Valuation Metrics - MDU Resources has a forward P/E ratio of 17.18, while ONE Gas has a forward P/E of 17.45 [5] - MDU's PEG ratio is 2.48, indicating a more favorable expected earnings growth rate compared to ONE Gas's PEG ratio of 3.14 [5] - MDU has a P/B ratio of 1.22, compared to ONE Gas's P/B ratio of 1.42, suggesting MDU is more undervalued relative to its book value [6] Earnings Outlook - Both MDU Resources and ONE Gas have a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions and an improving earnings outlook [3]

Market Overview - Wall Street experienced a sharp retreat after the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 4.25-4.50% [4][5] - Investor optimism faded following the announcement, leading to increased market volatility [1] - The uncertainty surrounding President Trump's impending tariff decisions is contributing to market fluctuations [1][7] Investment Recommendations - It is advisable to invest in safe-haven defensive stocks from the utility sector, including ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS), Fortis, Inc. (FTS), Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN), and IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) [2] - These stocks are categorized as low-beta (beta greater than 0 but less than 1), making them suitable for investors seeking stability [3] Company Profiles ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS) - OGS is a regulated natural gas distribution utility serving over 2.3 million customers across Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas [9] - Expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 9.7%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 0.2% over the last 60 days [11] - OGS has a beta of 0.80 and a current dividend yield of 3.68% [11] Fortis, Inc. (FTS) - Fortis operates in the electric and gas utility sector, primarily in Canada, the U.S., and the Caribbean [12] - The expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 4.2%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 0.8% over the last 60 days [12] - FTS has a beta of 0.48 and a current dividend yield of 3.63% [12] Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) - NWN builds and maintains natural gas distribution systems and invests in pipeline projects, serving customers in the U.S. and Canada [13] - The expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 23.6%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 1.4% over the last 60 days [14] - NWN has a beta of 0.53 and a current dividend yield of 4.83% [14] IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) - IDA is involved in the transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity services in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon [15] - The expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 6%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 0.3% over the last 60 days [15] - IDA has a beta of 0.56 and a current dividend yield of 2.81% [15]

Core Insights - Southern California Gas Co. (SoCalGas) reported that its energy efficiency programs saved customers over $95 million on utility bills in the previous year, with energy savings equivalent to the annual natural gas needs of nearly 125,000 homes [1][2] - The company avoided more than 260,000 metric tons of CO2 emissions, comparable to removing over 56,000 cars from the road for a year [1] - SoCalGas expanded financing options through its Marketplace and GoGreen programs, supporting nearly $67 million in facility and appliance improvements for homes and small businesses [2] Energy Efficiency Programs - SoCalGas administers over 70 customer-facing energy efficiency programs, providing incentives and services to various customer segments including residential, commercial, industrial, agricultural, and public customers [3] - The company engaged more than 2 million customers in 2024 through direct installations, property assessments, and outreach, while educational programs reached over 30,000 students [3] Water Conservation Efforts - SoCalGas' energy efficiency programs also contribute to water conservation, with high-efficiency water devices installed saving over one billion gallons of water in 2024, and an expected total of 11 billion gallons over their lifetime [2] Recognition and Awards - In April 2024, SoCalGas received the ENERGY STAR Partner of the Year Award for the second consecutive year, being the only utility in California to be recognized [4] - The company also received the Organizational Leadership Award from The Climate Registry for its support of California's energy goals [4] Company Overview - SoCalGas is the largest gas distribution utility in the United States, serving over 21 million consumers across approximately 24,000 square miles of Central and Southern California [6] - The company is a subsidiary of Sempra (NYSE: SRE), a leading North American energy infrastructure company [6]