Group 1: Economic Context - Current odds of a U.S. recession are estimated between 45% to 60%, influenced by trade policy uncertainty and potential global growth slowdown due to U.S. tariffs [1] - The auto industry is highlighted as having recession-resilient stocks [1] Group 2: Ferrari - Ferrari is recognized for its racing heritage and ultra-luxury vehicles, with stock gains that outperform industry peers and the S&P 500 [2][4] - The consumer base for Ferrari consists of high earners who can afford to purchase vehicles even during economic downturns, leading to long waiting lists and strict resale policies [5] - Ferrari maintains limited sales volume to ensure demand exceeds supply, which supports pricing power and provides flexibility during economic downturns [6] - The company has high profit margins akin to ultra-luxury brands, with new models like the F80 generating significant interest and sales [7][8] Group 3: AutoZone - AutoZone operates in a countercyclical industry, where demand for auto parts increases as consumers opt to repair rather than replace vehicles during economic downturns [9] - The company has a robust distribution model with over 7,000 stores across the U.S., Mexico, and Brazil, carrying a wide range of SKUs [11] - AutoZone has significantly reduced its shares outstanding through buybacks over the past decade, enhancing shareholder value [12] - The company is expected to remain resilient amid tariff issues, as consumers prioritize vehicle maintenance [12] Group 4: Investment Implications - Owning stocks like AutoZone and Ferrari, which have durable business models and competitive advantages, could provide resilience during economic downturns [14] - Investors are encouraged to keep AutoZone and Ferrari on their watch list regardless of economic conditions or tariff developments [14]

Core Viewpoint - Share buybacks serve as an effective alternative to dividends for returning value to shareholders, with AutoZone and General Motors exemplifying successful implementation of this strategy [1][11]. Group 1: AutoZone - AutoZone is perceived as a recession-proof stock, benefiting from consumers needing to maintain their vehicles, which drives demand for its products [2][4]. - The company has significantly reduced its share count, decreasing it by over 3% year-over-year and cutting the number of shares outstanding by approximately 50% over the past decade [4]. - AutoZone's high margins and robust supply chain position it well against potential tariff impacts, further enhancing its resilience [4]. Group 2: General Motors - General Motors has announced around $16 billion in share buybacks from 2023 to 2025, alongside a recent $6 billion authorization, which is substantial given its market capitalization of about $45 billion [8]. - Despite its share buyback strategy, General Motors is less resilient to recession compared to AutoZone and faces challenges from automotive tariffs due to its reliance on imported vehicles and foreign parts [9]. - In 2024, General Motors reported a 9% growth in full-year revenue and led the U.S. automotive market in various delivery categories, while also doubling its electric vehicle market share [10]. Group 3: Investment Implications - The effectiveness of share repurchases, as demonstrated by AutoZone and General Motors, highlights their potential to enhance shareholder value when executed at favorable prices [11]. - Both companies have shown a commitment to returning value to shareholders through share buybacks, suggesting a positive outlook for investors [11].

Core Viewpoint - Advance Auto Parts (AAP) has received a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) upgrade, indicating a positive outlook driven by rising earnings estimates, which significantly influence stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of earnings estimate revisions, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - For Advance Auto Parts, the increase in earnings estimates suggests an improvement in the company's underlying business, likely leading to higher stock prices as investors respond positively [5][8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a proven track record of generating significant returns, particularly for Zacks Rank 1 stocks [7][9]. - The upgrade of Advance Auto Parts to Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10]. Earnings Estimate Details - Advance Auto Parts is projected to earn $1.58 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 644.8% [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company has risen by 1.8%, indicating a positive trend in earnings expectations [8].

CarParts.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRTS) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call March 25, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Tina Mirfarsi - Senior Vice President of Global Communications and Brand David Meniane - Chief Executive Officer Ryan Lockwood - Chief Financial Officer Operator Good afternoon. At this time, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Please note this call is being recorded. I would now like to pass the conference over to our host, Tina Mirfarsi, Senior Vice President of Global Communication ...

特别申明： 1）乘联会：根据乘联会初步数据统计，2/1-2/28国内乘用车零售销量同比+26%/环比-22%至139.7万辆，新 能源乘用车零售销量同比+85%/环比-3%至72万辆（新能源渗透率约51.54%）。2/1-2/28国内乘用车批发销 量同比+35%/环比-15%至178.1万辆，新能源乘用车批发销量同比+82%/环比-5%至84.2万辆（新能源渗透 率约47.28%）。2）经销商库存预警指数：2月汽车经销商库存预警指数同比-7.2pcts/环比-5.4pcts至 56.9%，位于荣枯线之上。 预计新能源汽车智能化转型为政策重点支持方向： 查看完整报告 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 本周汽车板块跑赢大盘： 点击注册小程序 本周A股中信汽车一级行业（+3.4%）跑赢沪深300（+1.4% ...

以下文章来源于晚点Auto ，作者晚点团队 晚点Auto . 从制造到创造，从不可能到可能。《晚点LatePost》旗下汽车品牌。 愈发频繁地降价，越来越长的账期。 作者 | 司雯雯 李梓楠 赵宇 编辑丨龚方毅 来源 | 晚点Auto （ID：gh_30ebd85b0f58） 为了拿到一家头部自主车企的订单，一家大型模具供应商的高管经历了十几轮比价，原 本 30 分钟的竞价抻到近十个小时。 "这一整年就在谈降价的问题，大家都很痛苦。" 博世中国区总裁徐大全今年初对我们 说。"去年，车企给供应商的降价压力比较大，2024 年的压力可能更大。" 实际上供应链压力一直都在，但因为中国平均车价加速下降，一些车企打破行业 "年降" 惯例，要求供应商每半年甚至每季度降价，降幅预期也从 3%、5% 一路涨到 15%、 20%。随着近期比亚迪要求供应商明年供货价格降 10% 的邮件截图冲上热搜，供应商 的情绪集中释放。 供应商人士说，一家车企通常对应数千个供应商，降价压力最大的是零部件价格最高的 一批。接着是质量状态不稳定、态度不够配合的供应商，同意降价就继续合作，不同意 就出局。 一位头部自主车企的前采购人员告诉我们，他们 ...

以下文章来源于晚点Auto ，作者晚点团队 晚点Auto . 编辑丨 龚方毅 为了拿到一家头部自主车企的订单，一家大型模具供应商的高管经历了十几轮比价，原本 30 分钟的竞价 抻到近十个小时。 参与竞标的供应商能在屏幕里实时看到自己的报价排序，价格越低、排序越靠前、订单越多。一旦有人报 出最低价，系统将再次延时，直到所有人再也降不动价了。 他说每一轮出价都 "小心翼翼敲一个数字"：第一轮舍掉正常利润、第二轮拿掉财务费用、第三轮去掉管理 费用……最终报价比首轮低十多个百分点。这类竞价他一年要参加四次。 从制造到创造，从不可能到可能。《晚点LatePost》旗下汽车品牌。 愈发频繁地降价，越来越长的账期。 文丨司雯雯 李梓楠 赵宇 "这一整年就在谈降价的问题，大家都很痛苦。" 博世中国区总裁徐大全今年初对我们说。"去年，车企给 供应商的降价压力比较大，2024 年的压力可能更大。" 实际上供应链压力一直都在，但因为中国平均车价加速下降，一些车企打破行业 "年降" 惯例，要求供应 商每半年甚至每季度降价，降幅预期也从 3%、5% 一路涨到 15%、20%。随着近期比亚迪要求供应商明年 供货价格降 10% 的邮件截图 ...