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Has President Trump Made Disney Stock a Lose-Lose Proposition for Investors After the Jimmy Kimmel Controversy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-05 08:40
Core Viewpoint - The controversy surrounding Jimmy Kimmel's comments and Disney's response may pose challenges for the company's stock performance, as polarization is not profitable for Disney [3][5][10]. Group 1: Company Actions and Reactions - Disney quickly reinstated Jimmy Kimmel Live! after a suspension, and ABC affiliates that initially refused to air the show have also resumed broadcasting [2]. - Following Kimmel's return, President Trump reacted on social media, suggesting potential legal action against Disney and calling for the revocation of licenses for broadcasters opposed to him [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Implications - The ongoing controversy could lead to subscription cancellations for Disney+, which had approximately 128 million subscribers as of June 30, 2025, impacting overall revenue [5]. - ESPN, in which Disney holds an 80% stake, reported a 7% year-over-year decline in U.S. operating income in Q2 2025, highlighting the challenges posed by the cord-cutting trend [7]. Group 3: Regulatory Concerns - Disney's actions may negatively affect its affiliates, such as Nexstar, which is seeking to acquire Tegna for $6.2 billion, a deal that requires FCC approval [9]. - The scrutiny from federal regulators regarding ESPN's planned acquisition of the NFL Network could further complicate Disney's position [8]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - Despite the controversy, Disney's stock has shown resilience, with 24 out of 31 analysts rating it as a buy or strong buy, indicating a consensus 12-month price target with an upside potential of approximately 16% [11]. - Long-term prospects for Disney remain positive due to its strong brand, continued interest in theme parks, and a strategic shift towards digital content [12][13].
Xsolla and Nexstar Media's NewsNation Launch Gaming Vodcast Series
Businesswire· 2025-10-03 01:49
Group 1 - Xsolla has announced a significant content partnership with Nexstar Media Group, a leading local television broadcaster in the U.S. [1] - The partnership will focus on producing and distributing a co-branded vodcast series that explores the culture, business, and technology of gaming [1] - The collaboration aims to enhance the visibility and monetization opportunities for video game developers through innovative content [1]
Google reaches agreement with NBCUniversal to prevent YouTube content blackout
Reuters· 2025-10-02 19:47
Core Points - Alphabet's Google and Comcast-owned NBCUniversal have reached a long-term agreement to ensure the continued availability of NBC shows, including "Sunday Night Football" and "America's Got Talent" [1] Group 1 - The agreement secures NBC's programming for viewers, which is crucial for both companies in maintaining audience engagement and advertising revenue [1] - This partnership highlights the ongoing trend of collaboration between streaming services and traditional media companies to enhance content accessibility [1]
Gray Names Alexander Quince as General Manager of WBNG-TV in Binghamton, New York
Globenewswire· 2025-10-02 15:00
Core Insights - Gray Media announced the appointment of Alexander Quince as General Manager of WBNG-TV in Binghamton, New York, effective October 13, 2025, succeeding Bob Krummenacker who retired after 44 years [1] Company Overview - Gray Media, Inc. is the largest owner of top-rated local television stations and digital assets in the United States, serving 113 television markets that reach approximately 37% of US television households [6] - The company operates 78 markets with the top-rated television station and 99 markets with the first and/or second highest-rated television station during 2024, along with the largest Telemundo Affiliate group comprising 44 markets [6] - Gray Media also owns Gray Digital Media, which provides digital marketing strategies, and has additional media properties including video production companies and studio production facilities [6] Leadership Background - Alexander Quince is an award-winning news executive with over a decade of experience in local and regional journalism, previously serving as Senior Director at Spectrum News [3] - He has a history of driving audience growth and innovation, including launching New York's first Augmented Reality News Studio [3] - Quince has held leadership roles at several prominent television stations and has received multiple Emmy and Edward R. Murrow Awards for his work [4] Strategic Vision - Quince expressed his commitment to building on WBNG-TV's legacy by delivering impactful news and driving innovative strategies to enhance broadcast and digital presence, improve advertiser performance, and maximize brand partnerships [4] - His vision includes connecting communities and partners throughout the Southern Tier region [4] Educational Background - Quince holds a Bachelor of Science in Communication from Florida State University and is involved in various professional organizations, including the Carole Kneeland Project for Responsible Journalism and the Poynter Institute [5]
Can Free-to-Air Sports Deals Strengthen TEGNA's Local Market Reach?
ZACKS· 2025-10-02 14:16
Core Insights - TEGNA operates as one of the largest local broadcasters in the U.S., focusing on local news, weather, lifestyle, and sports programming, while increasingly relying on live sports to attract audiences amid declining linear TV viewership [1][4] Group 1: Partnership and Audience Reach - TEGNA's renewal of its partnership with Altitude Sports is strategically significant, allowing its Denver stations to broadcast 20 Denver Nuggets and 20 Colorado Avalanche games free over-the-air, reaching nearly 3.5 million viewers without requiring a cable subscription [2][5] - This partnership enhances TEGNA's distribution while preserving Altitude's production and established on-air talent, ensuring continuity for fans [2][5] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - TEGNA faces competition from Fox, Nexstar, and Sinclair in the live sports programming space, with each competitor leveraging different strategies to engage audiences and advertisers [3] - Fox maintains a strong presence in regional sports broadcasting, while Nexstar aggressively expands into live sports through rights deals, and Sinclair, despite financial challenges, remains influential in local sports distribution [3] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The extension of the Altitude Sports partnership highlights TEGNA's strategy to utilize local sports to enhance community presence and advertising revenue, potentially supporting ad pricing and sponsorships [4] - The success of this model in other markets and sports partnerships will be crucial for TEGNA, as live sports could serve as a growth lever to counteract declining linear TV consumption [4]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-30 16:22
The Federal Communications Commission advanced plans to reform broadcast ownership rules, including a proposal that would allow the Big Four TV networks to merge https://t.co/VIAhL0NIWg ...
Fox Corp Is A Television And Media Empire On The Cheap
Forbes· 2025-09-30 14:35
Core Insights - The article highlights Fox Corp (FOXA) as a strong investment opportunity due to its market leadership in cable broadcasting, particularly in live sports and news, which attract significant advertising revenue [3][8][12]. Business Segments - Fox operates two main segments: cable network programming and television, with cable network programming revenue projected to grow from $5.0 billion in fiscal 2018 to $6.9 billion in fiscal 2025, reflecting a 5% annual growth rate [4][5]. - The television segment, which includes the FOX broadcast network and Tubi, is expected to see revenue increase from $5.1 billion in fiscal 2018 to $9.3 billion in fiscal 2025, representing a 9% annual growth rate [6]. Market Position - Fox is the largest cable TV broadcaster in the U.S., with FOX News being the top-rated national cable news channel for over 20 years [9][11]. - In July 2025, FOX News averaged 2.4 million viewers in primetime, capturing 63% of the cable news share [17]. Live Sports and Events - Live sports events remain crucial for advertisers, with FOX holding rights to major events like the Super Bowl and FIFA World Cup, which attract massive viewership [12][13][14]. - The Super Bowl LVII in February 2023 had an estimated 113 million viewers, while Super Bowl LIX in February 2025 set a record with 128 million viewers [13]. Digital Distribution - Fox is expanding its digital offerings, including Tubi, which has 100 million monthly active users and a 2.2% market share of all television viewing [21]. - The recently launched FOX One service aims to attract "cordless" consumers by providing access to live events and entertainment without undercutting existing cable subscribers [22]. Financial Performance - Since fiscal 2020, Fox has achieved a 6% annual growth in revenue and a 5% growth in net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) [24]. - The company's NOPAT margin slightly decreased from 16% in 2020 to 15% in 2025, while its return on invested capital (ROIC) improved from 17% to 19% [25]. Shareholder Returns - Fox has returned $1.8 billion in dividends and repurchased $6.6 billion in shares since fiscal 2020, with a new authorization for an additional $5 billion in share repurchases [28][30]. - The combined yield from dividends and share repurchases could reach 4.7% [30]. Balance Sheet Strength - Fox reduced its total debt from $8.5 billion in fiscal 2020 to $7.6 billion in fiscal 2025, while increasing cash and equivalents from $4.6 billion to $5.4 billion [36]. - The adjusted debt net of cash fell from $3.5 billion to $1.4 billion over the same period, indicating a strong financial position [36]. Market Valuation - At a current price of $59/share, the market implies a permanent decline of 20% in NOPAT, which may be overly pessimistic given Fox's historical growth rates [41]. - If NOPAT grows at a modest rate of 1% annually, the stock could see a 39% upside to $82/share [43].
Kevin Vaz re-elected IBDF president, stresses strength of TV
The Economic Times· 2025-09-30 07:01
Core Insights - The Indian Broadcasting & Digital Foundation (IBDF) held its 26th Annual General Meeting (AGM), where Kevin Vaz was re-elected as President, emphasizing the resilience of linear television and its critical role in content creation and brand building in India [6] - Vaz highlighted that 97% of India's original content, nearly 200,000 hours in 2024, is produced for television, which garners 46 trillion minutes of annual viewing across 190 million screens [6] - The AGM announced the appointment of Avinash Pandey as Secretary General, focusing on strengthening IBDF's advocacy role and government engagement [6] Leadership Changes - Gaurav Banerjee and R. Mahesh Kumar were re-elected to the IBDF Board, with Anil Kumar Singhvi joining as a new director [2] - Co-opted members include Sumanta Bose, John Brittas, and Nachiket Pantvaidya [2] - The Board also includes Aroon Purie, Gaurav Dwivedi, Jayant Mathew, and Punit Goenka [6] Industry Outlook - Vaz indicated that festive demand and GST reforms are expected to drive an advertising revival in the television sector [6] - The future of television is seen in combining scale and trust with digital reach, with IBDF advocating for a stable regulatory regime to support long-term growth [6] Government Engagement - The AGM was attended by key government officials, including Information and Broadcasting Secretary Sanjay Jaju and Additional Secretary Prabhat, who engaged with broadcasters during a luncheon [5]
ABC's Kimmel Dispute: No Laughing Matter For Nexstar Tegna Merger
Forbes· 2025-09-29 14:45
Core Viewpoint - The cancellation of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by ABC and Disney has created significant ripples in the broadcast industry, with competitors like Nexstar Media Group leveraging the situation amid political unrest [2][3]. Industry Impact - The suspension of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" on September 17, 2025, was a response to comedian Jimmy Kimmel's controversial comments, leading to alternative programming being aired by other networks [3]. - Nexstar Media Group has chosen to keep the show on pause indefinitely, a decision that may reflect both viewer alienation in swing markets and a strategic move to align with the current administration as it seeks to acquire Tegna, Inc. in 2026 [4][8]. Strategic Moves - Nexstar's founder, Perry Sook, is seen as potentially exploiting the turmoil to advance the company's acquisition bid for Tegna, indicating a strategic alignment with regulatory pressures [5][8]. - The decision to pull politically charged programming could signal Nexstar's willingness to censor content under the guise of serving the "public interest," which aligns with Sook's previous statements on reducing "activist journalism" [8]. Regulatory Environment - The FCC's focus on enforcing the "public interest rule" raises questions about the definition and implications of such regulations, particularly concerning perceived biases in broadcasting [6]. - Concerns about media polarization and censorship are heightened as local affiliates like Nexstar gain more control over national content, potentially shifting power dynamics in the industry [11]. Future Considerations - The ongoing situation with Nexstar and its potential acquisition of Tegna could lead to increased media consolidation, raising anticompetition concerns and impacting the diversity of viewpoints available to the public [8][11]. - The ability of large affiliate owners to censor content may challenge the traditional network-affiliate relationship, affecting the autonomy of national broadcasters [9][11].
Should Disney Drop Broadcasting ABC To Avoid Government Meddling?
Forbes· 2025-09-28 21:10
Core Viewpoint - Needham Securities analysts propose that Disney should cease broadcasting on traditional platforms and transition all content to streaming services like Hulu and the ABC app, which would mitigate regulatory risks and allow for better valuation of its growing sectors [2][3][6]. Financial Implications - Shutting down ABC without selling the broadcast licenses could result in a write-off of approximately $1.7 billion to $2.7 billion in free spectrum value and an annual loss of about $1.4 billion in free cash flow, equating to a total value loss of around $8.3 billion based on current TV trading comps [4]. - Despite these losses, the analysts argue that the value destruction would be minimal, representing only a small percentage of Disney's $204 billion market capitalization, and would be a one-time event that Wall Street would likely add back [5]. Audience Reach and Market Dynamics - ABC's current viewership is low, averaging only 2.4 million viewers in prime time, and the network generates about $4 billion in revenues, which is an 11% decline from 2024 [5]. - Transitioning to streaming could enhance Disney's valuation multiples by 40 to 60 basis points annually over the next decade, potentially adding 10% more value for shareholders [6]. Regulatory Environment - The proposal is driven by the need to avoid political distractions and regulatory headaches, especially as the media landscape is rapidly evolving due to generative artificial intelligence [7]. - While broadcast ratings are declining, they still provide a significant reach to a broad audience, which is crucial for major sports leagues that rely on broadcast to attract casual fans [9]. Industry Context - Recent lucrative contracts in sports broadcasting, such as the NBA's and NFL's, highlight the importance of having a broadcast component for media companies to secure valuable programming rights [10][11]. - The potential for expanded regulatory power by the FCC poses a risk for traditional media companies, as it could complicate their operations if they move away from broadcast [12][13]. Historical Significance - Disney's historical connection with ABC dates back to the 1950s, and the legacy of this relationship may influence current decision-making regarding broadcasting [14][16]. - The upcoming transition in leadership at Disney, with a potential successor to Bob Iger, could also impact strategic decisions related to broadcasting and streaming [17][18].