Core Viewpoint - The Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has significantly outperformed the broader market, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, with an increase of 8.50% this year, reaching an all-time high, while the S&P 500 has only risen by 1% [1]. Group 1: Performance and Market Trends - The SCHD ETF has surged nearly 30% from its lowest level in April last year, primarily due to a rotation from technology stocks to value stocks [2]. - Many technology stocks have experienced significant declines, with NVIDIA dropping 10% and Microsoft falling 22% from their respective highs [3]. Group 2: Sector Contributions - The energy sector has played a crucial role in the SCHD stock rally, comprising 20% of the fund, as energy stocks have surged due to rising crude oil prices, with Brent reaching $70 [4]. - The State Street Energy Select Sector ETF (XLE) has also seen a 40% increase from its lowest level in April last year, reaching a record high [5]. Group 3: Upcoming Catalysts - Key corporate earnings reports from major companies, including Palantir, Walt Disney, and AMD, are expected to impact SCHD's performance this week [6]. - Additional catalysts include the upcoming US non-farm payrolls data and the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair [7]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - The SCHD ETF has shown a strong uptrend, rising from a low of $23.20 in April last year to the current price of $29.82, consistently staying above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages [10]. - The Average Directional Index (ADX) has reached 43, indicating strong momentum, with bulls targeting a resistance level at $35, while a drop below $28 would invalidate the bullish outlook [11].

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Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report discusses macroeconomic forecasts and trends affecting global markets, particularly focusing on GDP growth and inflation rates across various regions including the US, Euro area, and China [4][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Global GDP Growth**: Expected to be 2.9% year-over-year in 2026, driven by fading US tariffs and rising real income growth [4][5]. - **US Economic Outlook**: Anticipated real GDP growth of 2.5% on a Q4/Q4 basis in 2026, supported by tax cuts and easing financial conditions, despite trade policy uncertainties [4][5]. - **Inflation Trends**: Core PCE inflation in the US is projected to decline to 2.1% year-over-year by the end of 2026, as tariff impacts diminish and wage/shelter inflation trends improve [4][5]. - **Federal Reserve Policy**: The Fed is expected to implement two 25 basis point cuts in 2026, leading to a terminal rate range of 3-3.25% [4][5]. - **Euro Area Growth**: Projected real GDP growth of 1.2% year-over-year in 2026, with inflation expected to decline to 1.8% due to lower energy prices and a stronger Euro [4][5]. - **China's Economic Performance**: Forecasted real GDP growth of 4.8% year-over-year in 2026, bolstered by resilient export growth and government policy easing, despite sluggish domestic demand [4][5]. Additional Important Insights - **Geopolitical Risks**: Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including US-China relations and developments in Venezuela and the Middle East, pose significant risks to economic stability [5]. - **Commodity Price Forecasts**: LME aluminum price forecasts have been raised to $3150/$2965/$2435 per metric ton for 3/6/12 months, reflecting a balanced global market that supports high prices without rapid production increases [1]. - **Unemployment Rates**: The unemployment rate in the US is expected to stabilize at 4.5% by the end of 2026 [4][5]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the macroeconomic outlook and potential investment implications across various regions and sectors.

It obviously hasn't happened yet. The risk of artificial intelligence (AI) stocks like Nvidia or Broadcom being in a bubble on the verge of popping, however, still looms large. Wise investors are preparing ahead of time, rather than risking being in a position that may force them into making a quick -- but ultimately misguided -- decision. To this end, what should everyone at least start thinking about doing if AI stocks start to suffer a major correction? Here are three biggies that should help your por ...

Core Insights - Tesla reported a decline in automotive revenue and earnings for both Q4 and the full year of 2025, while its energy operations showed growth [1][2] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q4 decreased by 3% to $24.90 billion, with automotive revenue dropping 11% to $17.69 billion [1] - For the full year, total revenue edged down 3% to $94.82 billion, with automotive revenue falling 10% to $69.52 billion [2] - Net income attributable to common stockholders fell 61% to $840 million in Q4, with diluted earnings per share decreasing from $0.60 to $0.24 [2] - Annual net income decreased 46% to $3.79 billion, with diluted EPS dropping from $2.04 to $1.08 [3] - Quarterly operating income fell 11% year-over-year to $1.40 billion, resulting in an operating margin of 5.7% [2] Growth Areas - Energy generation and storage revenue increased by 25% to $3.84 billion in Q4, and for the full year, it climbed 27% to $12.8 billion [1][2] - Services and other income rose 18% to $3.37 billion in Q4 and 19% to $12.53 billion for the full year [1][2] - Energy storage deployments reached 46.7 GWh during the year, marking a 49% increase [4] Production and Deliveries - Vehicle deliveries in Q4 declined 16% year-on-year to 418,227 units, while production slipped 5% to 434,358 units [3] - For the full year, deliveries fell 9% to 1.63 million vehicles, and output dropped 7% to 1.65 million units [4] Infrastructure and Future Plans - By year-end, Tesla operated 1,553 locations and 8,182 Supercharger stations with 77,682 connectors [5] - The company is preparing for production ramps of Tesla Semi and Cybercab in the first half of 2026, alongside the next-generation Roadster [5] - Plans to invest in infrastructure supporting clean energy, transport, and autonomous robots include six new production lines across vehicles, robotics, energy storage, and batteries [5]

The S&P/ASX 200 closed down just 7.70 points Wednesday to 8,933.90. According to the ASX website, the bottom-performing stocks in this index were LIFE360 INC. and CATAPULT SPORTS LTD, down 7.61% and 6.84%, respectively. Data ‌showed that the trimmed mean consumer price index, a policy-relevant measure of This signalled underlying price pressures remain entrenched, adding to the Swaps now imply over a 70% chance of a hike in the key cash rate next week, from around 60% before the data, according to news age ...

Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that the current market dynamics have shifted from a stable global leadership era to a "Warring States" period, indicating that commodities, particularly gold and physical assets, are becoming more reliable investments [5][31]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Positioning - The CFTC data indicates that as of January 20, the net long position in COMEX gold increased by 1.9% to 433 tons, marking the highest level in 16 weeks, while the net long position in silver decreased by 25% to 1,761 tons, the lowest since February 2024 [3][8]. - The article highlights that the sentiment among speculators in the U.S. futures market is shifting, with an increase in short positions in silver, suggesting that investors believe silver prices are excessively high [8][12]. - Platinum's net long position decreased by 35% to 8 tons, indicating a similar trend to silver where long positions are being reduced [8][12]. Group 2: Price Trends and Historical Context - The article notes that gold prices have risen by 64.4% in 2025, despite a contraction in net long positions, reflecting strong physical demand outpacing futures market dynamics [16][18]. - The historical context is provided, stating that platinum is currently undervalued relative to silver, with the platinum-to-silver ratio at a historical low of 26.88 ounces of silver per ounce of platinum [30]. - The article also mentions that copper prices are expected to rise due to strong demand driven by technological advancements, despite being in a bear market historically [18][33]. Group 3: Economic Indicators and Future Outlook - The article discusses the Federal Reserve's current stance, indicating a low probability of interest rate cuts in the near term, with only a 2.8% chance of a cut by January 28, 2026 [28]. - It emphasizes the uncertainty surrounding future monetary policy, particularly if inflation pressures resurface while the Fed begins to lower rates [36]. - The article concludes that the investment landscape will be volatile in the first half of 2026, with potential price fluctuations as the market awaits clearer guidance from the Federal Reserve [34].

国务院新闻办今天（1月28日）上午举行新闻发布会，介绍国资央企高质量发展情况并答记者问。 国资委相关负责人介绍，人工智能是新一轮科技革命和产业变革的重要驱动力量，是引领未来的战略性 和基础性技术。国务院国资委连续两年开年召开专题会议，全力以赴推进中央企业"AI+"专项行动，在 应用、算力、数据、模型等关键领域取得一系列积极进展。 一是高价值场景应用竞相落地。中央企业聚焦能源、制造、通信等重点行业，联合头部企业打造超千个 应用场景，国家电网、南方电网实现电力调度、故障预测等智能化管理，整车央企试点智能机器人"进 厂打工"，中国中车集团"斫轮"大模型推动轨道交通装备迈向高端智能，人工智能成为传统产业转型升 级的重要驱动。 二是高质量算力供给筑牢产业底座。中央企业主动融入国家算力布局，持续加大算力资源投入力度。比 如，三大运营商建成4个"万卡集群"，有效支撑大模型训练。再比如，"息壤""算网大脑"等智算服务平 台打造"低成本+高智能"优势，积极适配全品类国产芯片，向全社会提供标准化算力服务。 三是高适配大模型加速追赶。对标国际国内先进水平，加快提升大模型全栈能力。目前，中国移动"九 天"、中国电信"星辰"等通用大模 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla, a leading EV maker, is set to report Q4 earnings, with shares experiencing significant volatility since 2020, yet have quadrupled since late 2023, nearing all-time highs as earnings approach [1] Earnings Expectations - Q4 earnings report is scheduled for January 28 after market close, with EPS estimates at $0.45, reflecting a 40% year-over-year decline, and revenue expected to be approximately $24.75 billion [2] - The options market anticipates a post-market move of +/- $29.56 or 6.58%, while Tesla has historically shown an average move of 9.64% over the past eight quarters [2] EPS Surprise History - Tesla has missed Zacks Consensus Analyst Estimates by an average of 11.10% over the past four quarters, indicating a trend of underperformance [3] Legacy EV Business Insights - Tesla's legacy EV business constitutes about three-quarters of its revenue, but investors may not focus heavily on this due to three factors: bad news is already priced in, expected interest rate declines, and diversification beyond the legacy EV business [5][6] Key Earnings Drivers - Analysts predict a slowdown in Q4 EPS, with Tesla shifting focus from EVs to energy, robotaxis, and robots, which will be closely monitored by investors [8] - Tesla's energy segment is experiencing robust growth at 84% year-over-year, with potential for triple-digit growth in the coming years [10] - The Tesla robotaxi network is being tested in San Francisco and Austin, with third-party data suggesting Tesla's full-self-driving service is twice as safe as the average human driver, which could lead to regulatory approval and new revenue streams [11] - The anticipated release of the "Optimus" humanoid robot and the high-volume production of the long-delayed "Semi" truck later this year are also significant developments [12] Long-term Outlook - While facing headwinds in the legacy EV business, Tesla's long-term value will hinge on the success of its energy, self-driving, and humanoid robot initiatives, as investors assess the potential of a diversified tech ecosystem to mitigate current challenges [13]

This week’s Acquirer’s Multiple® Large-Cap screen again clusters around capital-intensive cyclicals, cheap financials, and mature hardware franchises whose realized cash economics continue to be priced as fundamentally fragile.The broader equity tape remains dominated by long-duration growth optionality and thematic scarcity, leaving balance sheet strength and free-cash-flow compounding chronically discounted.Across the top decile, capital returns remain abundant, but the market continues to underwrite dura ...