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CGI Q3 Preview: U.S. Federal Exposure Is A Huge Risk, Initiate With Sell Rating
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-24 22:28
Group 1 - CGI Inc. is a Canadian IT consulting company with a global workforce of 94,000 consultants [1] - The company faces potential growth challenges due to its 13%+ revenue exposure to the U.S. federal sector [1]
CEMEX(CX) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-24 14:00
Financial Performance - Q2 2025 - Revenue reached 234.8 million SEK, a decrease of 6.6% compared to the previous year (251.2 million SEK)[9] - Organic growth declined by 7.5%[9] - Adjusted EBITA amounted to 17.9 million SEK, with an adjusted EBITA margin of 7.6%[9] Financial Performance - LTM - LTM Revenue is 928.0 million SEK[15] - LTM Growth is 10.5%, with organic growth at -5.7%[15] - Adjusted EBITA margin LTM is 8.7%[15] Employees - Revenue per FTE (Full-Time Equivalent) increased by 3.9% to 1,737 KSEK/year LTM[21] - Personnel costs per FTE increased by 7.3% to 1,109 KSEK/year LTM[21] - The company's employee count decreased by 36, ending Q2 with 559 employees[21] Cash Flow - Q2 2025 - Cash flow from operating activities before changes in working capital was 10.6 million SEK[33] - Investment activities resulted in an outflow of 67.7 million SEK, primarily due to acquisitions[33] - The company's cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q2 2025 were 75.2 million SEK[35] Financial Position - Net debt to EBITDA ratio is +1.0x, with EBITDA at 112.3 million SEK LTM[35] - Net debt totals 108.5 million SEK, calculated from liabilities of 124.4 million SEK, IFRS 16 of 59.3 million SEK, and cash of -75.2 million SEK[35]
ASGN rporated(ASGN) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-23 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - ASGN reported revenues of $1,020,000,000 for Q2 2025, which was above the high end of guidance and represented a decrease of 1.4% year over year [6][23] - Adjusted EBITDA was $108,500,000 with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.6%, at the top end of expectations for the quarter [6][26] - Net income for the quarter was $29,300,000, and free cash flow was $115,800,000, translating to a conversion rate of approximately 107% of adjusted EBITDA [26][27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues from the commercial segment were $708,100,000, a decrease of 2.4% compared to the prior year, while commercial consulting revenues increased by 15.7% year over year to $325,700,000 [23][24] - Federal government segment revenues were $312,500,000, an increase of 1.1% year over year, including approximately $10,000,000 of higher than expected license revenue [24] - Assignment revenues totaled $382,400,000, reflecting a decline of 13.9% year over year due to macroeconomic softness [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consumer and industrial accounts performed strongly, with mid double-digit growth year over year, driven by materials, utilities, and consumer discretionary accounts [11] - The healthcare vertical remained flat year over year, while financial services and TMT accounts saw declines compared to the previous year [11][12] - Federal contract awards totaled $72,000,000 for the quarter, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times on a trailing twelve-month basis [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - ASGN is focusing on AI investments, recognizing the need for clients to stay competitive through technological advancements [29][30] - The company launched the ASGN AI Innovation Center to enhance innovation and promote AI-driven business growth [30][31] - Strategic partnerships with companies like AWS and Workday are being leveraged to build client-specific IP and enhance service offerings [67][70] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties but highlighted continued client investment in AI and modernization efforts [6][29] - The recent increase in U.S. Defense spending is expected to benefit ASGN's federal business, particularly in AI and cybersecurity [9][48] - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding the recovery of discretionary spending and the potential for growth in consulting services [45][60] Other Important Information - The company has approximately $470,000,000 remaining under its share repurchase authorization [27] - Guidance for Q3 2025 estimates revenue between $992,000,000 and $1,012,000,000, with net income projected between $35,800,000 and $39,400,000 [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is TopLock performing relative to expectations? - Management indicated that TopLock is tracking just ahead of revenue and bookings expectations, contributing over $150,000,000 in revenues for the full year [36][37] Question: What impact is AI having on the cyclical assignment business? - Management stated that the assignment business remains stable and that current softness is largely due to macroeconomic factors rather than AI [39][42] Question: What is the long-term margin profile for the government consulting area? - Management noted that while higher margin work is diminishing, there are opportunities to increase direct labor, which could improve margins in the future [50][52] Question: What are the expectations for the impact of DOGE on revenues? - Management confirmed that the DOGE impact was expected to be less than 2% of total revenues, consistent with prior expectations [55] Question: What drove the strength in the consumer and industrial segments? - Management highlighted significant investments and demand in cloud, data, and AI as key drivers of strength in these segments [82][84] Question: How is ASGN using AI internally to improve efficiencies? - Management discussed ongoing efforts to implement AI across enterprise software tools to enhance productivity and streamline operations [87][89]
ASGN rporated(ASGN) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-23 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - ASGN reported revenues of $1,020 million for Q2 2025, which was above the high end of guidance and represented a decrease of 1.4% year over year [5][23] - Adjusted EBITDA margin was 10.6%, at the top end of expectations for the quarter [5][27] - Net income for the quarter was $29.3 million, with free cash flow of $115.8 million, translating to a conversion rate of approximately 107% of adjusted EBITDA [27][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - IT consulting revenues grew to approximately 63% of total revenues, up from 57% in the prior year [5] - Commercial consulting revenues totaled $325.7 million, an increase of 15.7% year over year, driven by contributions from TopLock [23] - Federal government segment revenues were $312.5 million, an increase of 1.1% year over year, including $10 million of higher than expected license revenue [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer and industrial accounts showed mid double-digit growth year over year, driven by strong performance in materials, utilities, and consumer discretionary sectors [10] - The healthcare vertical remained flat year over year, while financial services and TMT accounts declined compared to the previous year [10][11] - Federal contract awards totaled $72 million for the quarter, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - ASGN is focusing on AI investments to enhance competitiveness and drive demand for cloud and data solutions [6][30] - The company launched the ASGN AI Innovation Center to unify AI expertise and promote business growth [31][33] - Strategic partnerships with companies like AWS and Workday are being leveraged to deliver tailored technology solutions [18][31] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that macroeconomic uncertainty is impacting discretionary spending, but clients are still investing in AI to maintain competitiveness [5][30] - The recent increase in U.S. Defense spending is expected to benefit ASGN's federal business, particularly in AI and automation [8][30] - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding future growth, particularly in the commercial consulting space [63] Other Important Information - The company has approximately $470 million remaining under its $750 million share repurchase authorization [28] - ASGN plans to host an Investor Day in Q4 to discuss long-term strategies for growth and value creation [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is TopLock performing relative to expectations? - TopLock is tracking just ahead of revenue and bookings expectations, with EBITDA margins in the high teens [39] Question: What impact is AI having on the cyclical part of the assignment business? - The cyclicality is stable, with no significant impact from AI observed at this stage [46] Question: What is the long-term margin profile for the government consulting area? - The long-term margin profile is expected to remain in the 20% to 21% range, with opportunities for increasing direct labor [56] Question: What were the expectations regarding the DOGE impact? - The DOGE impact was expected to be less than 2% of total revenues, consistent with prior expectations [59] Question: Can you discuss the strength in the consumer and industrial segments? - Strength was driven by significant investments in cloud, data, and AI, particularly in materials and utilities [87][90] Question: How is ASGN using AI internally? - ASGN is implementing AI across enterprise software tools to enhance productivity and efficiency in operations [92]
Accenture(ACN) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-06-20 11:06
Financial Performance - Q3 FY25 - Total revenues reached $17.7 billion, an increase of 7% in local currency and 8% in USD[2] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased by 12% on an adjusted basis to $3.49[2] - Operating margin increased by 40 bps on an adjusted basis to 16.8%[4] - Free cash flow was $3.5 billion[7] Financial Performance - Q3 YTD FY25 - Total revenues reached $52.1 billion, an increase of 8% in local currency and 7% in USD[11] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased by 8% on an adjusted basis to $9.90[12] - Operating margin increased by 10 bps on an adjusted basis to 15.7%[14] Strategic Priorities & New Bookings - New bookings amounted to $19.7 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1[7] - New bookings decreased by 7% in local currency and 6% in USD[7] - Consulting new bookings accounted for 46% ($9.08 billion) of the total, while Managed Services accounted for 54% ($10.62 billion)[36] Revenue by Geographic Market - Q3 FY25 - Americas generated $9.0 billion in revenue, with a 9% increase in local currency[2] - EMEA generated $6.2 billion in revenue, with a 4% increase in local currency[2] - Asia Pacific generated $2.5 billion in revenue[2] Revenue by Industry Group - Q3 FY25 - Communications, Media & Technology generated $2.9 billion in revenue, with a 5% increase in local currency[2] - Financial Services generated $3.3 billion in revenue, with a 13% increase in local currency[2] - Health & Public Service generated $3.8 billion in revenue, with a 7% increase in local currency[2] - Products generated $5.3 billion in revenue, with a 7% increase in local currency[2] - Resources generated $2.4 billion in revenue, with a 4% increase in local currency[2]
Alithya reports continued gross margin improvement and record Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Prnewswireยท 2025-06-12 11:23
Core Insights - Alithya Group inc. reported a 4.0% increase in revenues for Q4 2025, reaching $125.3 million compared to $120.5 million in Q4 2024, with a sequential increase of 8.3% from Q3 2025 [3][4][9] - The company achieved a record gross margin of 36.8% in Q4 2025, up from 32.1% in Q4 2024, driven by increased efficiencies and a higher value-added business mix [3][14][19] - Net earnings for Q4 2025 rose to $8.0 million, or $0.08 per share, compared to $2.3 million, or $0.02 per share, in the same quarter last year [3][19][21] Financial Performance - Revenues for the fiscal year 2025 totaled $473.5 million, a decrease of 3.6% from $491.1 million in fiscal 2024 [3][28] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 increased by 71.8% to $18.0 million, with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 14.4%, compared to 8.7% in Q4 2024 [3][22][38] - Selling, general and administrative expenses for Q4 2025 were $29.7 million, a slight increase of 0.4% from $29.6 million in Q4 2024, but as a percentage of revenues, it decreased to 23.7% from 24.6% [3][18][28] Client and Market Activity - The company signed 22 new clients in Q4 2025 and reported a backlog representing approximately 16 months of trailing twelve-month revenues as of March 31, 2025 [3][10][23] - Fiscal 2025 bookings reached $420.7 million, resulting in a Book-to-Bill ratio of 0.89, which would have been 1.00 excluding revenues from two long-term contracts [10][23][24] Strategic Developments - Alithya acquired eVerge Interests, Inc. on May 31, 2025, enhancing its Salesforce capabilities and Oracle expertise [3][8][10] - The company aims to leverage its industry knowledge and global delivery model to target higher value IT segments by the end of fiscal year 2027 [29][30][31]
Famed Short Seller Jim Chanos Is Betting Against Used Car Retailer Carvana And AI Losers Like IBM
Forbesยท 2025-06-05 21:20
Core Viewpoint - Jim Chanos, a renowned investor, is shorting Carvana, a used-car retailer, and believes the company is overvalued despite market perceptions of a turnaround [1][2]. Company Analysis - Carvana is perceived by the market as undergoing a significant turnaround, but it continues to incur losses and is cyclical in nature [2]. - The company's gross profit margins are inflated due to aggressive accounting practices that exclude many costs typically included by other auto dealers [3]. - Carvana's income is heavily reliant on financing rather than car sales, with subprime loans accounting for 122% of its income in the latest quarter [4]. - The stock has experienced extreme volatility, initially going public at $15 per share in 2017, peaking at around $370 in early 2021, and then plummeting to below $5 by 2022 before recovering to approximately $250 by the end of 2024 [5][6]. - As of June 2025, Carvana's enterprise value reached $73 billion, close to an all-time high, with the stock up 70% to $343 per share since early April [6]. Market Sentiment - Short interest in Carvana stock has decreased to below 10%, indicating a potential correction as it was previously one of the most shorted stocks [7]. - A significant amount of stock, valued at $1.7 billion, was sold by company executives in May, suggesting a lack of confidence in the company's future [8]. Broader Industry Context - Chanos is also shorting companies that have benefited from the AI hype but are expected to struggle, drawing parallels to the dot-com bubble [12][13]. - He has identified IT consultants and body shops, such as IBM, as companies that may face significant challenges due to outdated business models and high valuations despite stagnant growth [13].
ASGN rporated(ASGN) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-23 23:27
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues totaled $968.3 million, a decrease of 7.7% year over year, in line with guidance expectations [31] - Adjusted EBITDA margin was 9.7% for the quarter [8][34] - Net income for the quarter was $20.9 million [34] - Free cash flow totaled $6.6 million, lower than typical due to an increase in Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues from the commercial segment were $672.2 million, a decrease of 8.1% year over year [31] - Assignment revenue totaled $382.1 million, a decrease of 16% year over year [31] - Commercial consulting revenues, the highest margin stream, totaled $290.1 million, an increase of 4.7% year over year [31] - Federal government segment revenues were $296.1 million, a decrease of 6.7% year over year [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consulting bookings for the commercial segment were $336.9 million, improving 4.2% compared to the first quarter of 2024 [13] - Book-to-bill ratio was 1.2 times for both commercial and federal segments [12][24] - Contract backlog for the federal government segment was over $3.1 billion, with a coverage ratio of 2.6 times trailing twelve-month revenues [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to nurture long-standing client relationships and expand technology partnerships, focusing on IT modernization and efficiency [11] - The acquisition of TopBloc is expected to enhance solution capabilities and drive future growth [10][42] - The company is committed to providing high-value IT services while maintaining a flexible cost structure [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while macroeconomic uncertainty persists, there is confidence in the company's unique business model and its ability to adapt [41] - Clients remain cautious about increasing IT spending, but demand for AI and data solutions continues to grow [9][15] - The company expects to see improvements in DSO and is cautiously optimistic about future revenue guidance [36][38] Other Important Information - SG&A expenses for the quarter were $214.5 million, including one-time costs related to acquisition and software write-offs [33] - The company repurchased approximately 0.6 million shares at an average price of $78.44, with $478.6 million remaining under the share repurchase authorization [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you characterize bookings across different businesses? - Management indicated a mix of renewal and new work, with renewal being a larger percentage [52] Question: What is the impact of DOGE on the federal business? - The impact has been more on the civilian side rather than defense, with some interruptions in traditional management consulting work [55] Question: How have margins been maintained? - Margins have improved due to a higher mix of consulting work and the addition of capabilities like TopBloc [66] Question: What is the visibility on client projects? - Clients are in a cautious wait-and-see mode regarding new projects, influenced by macroeconomic factors [73] Question: How much did TopBloc contribute to Q1 results? - TopBloc's contribution was immaterial as it was only included for a few weeks in March [78] Question: What is the velocity of adjudications in relation to DOGE? - The velocity of adjudications is less visible, with agencies ensuring alignment on contract decisions [130]