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6月PMI数据解读:环比小幅改善,价格指数回升
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-01 06:33
Group 1: PMI Data Overview - In June, the manufacturing PMI, non-manufacturing PMI, and composite PMI output indices were 49.7%, 50.5%, and 50.7%, respectively, with month-on-month increases of 0.2, 0.2, and 0.3 percentage points[2] - The manufacturing PMI has remained below the boom-bust line for three consecutive months, indicating ongoing economic pressure[3] - Non-manufacturing PMI showed resilience, particularly in the construction sector, which saw significant growth driven by residential and construction engineering[3] Group 2: Production and Demand Insights - Production and demand both rebounded, with demand rising above the boom-bust line, and the increase in demand outpacing production[4] - New orders increased by 0.4 percentage points to 50.2, new export orders rose by 0.2 percentage points to 47.7, and existing orders improved by 0.4 percentage points to 45.2[4] - Raw material inventory continued to rise, with the inventory of finished products significantly increasing by 1.6 percentage points to 48.1[5] Group 3: Price and Profitability Trends - Price indices rebounded for the first time since February, with the purchasing price index rising by 1.5 percentage points to 48.4, while the factory price index also increased by 1.5 percentage points to 46.2[5] - Despite the price increases, profit pressures for enterprises have not improved, indicating ongoing challenges in profitability[5] Group 4: Sector Performance - In the manufacturing sector, 6 out of 15 industries (40%) were in a prosperous range, an increase from 4 in May, with notable performance in petroleum processing, chemical fiber, and electrical equipment[6] - In the non-manufacturing sector, 10 out of 19 industries (53%) were in a prosperous range, a decrease from 13 in the previous month, with strong performance in postal services and civil engineering[6]
PMI小幅回升背后的逻辑
Xinda Securities· 2025-06-30 14:35
Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - The manufacturing PMI for June is 49.7%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous value, with all sub-indices improving except for employment and business activity expectations[1] - New orders index turned from contraction to expansion at 50.2%, contributing 0.12 percentage points to the marginal improvement of the manufacturing PMI[5] - The procurement volume index also shifted from contraction to expansion, showing the most significant improvement among all sub-indices, marking the highest level since 2015 for this period[5] Group 2: Employment and Expectations - The employment index for June is 47.9%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points, marking the weakest level of the year[1] - Business activity expectations index stands at 52%, down 0.5 percentage points, also the weakest year-to-date[1] - There is a disconnection between active procurement activities and the decline in employment and business expectations, indicating potential sustainability issues in procurement[13] Group 3: Construction Sector Analysis - The construction sector's PMI rose to 52.8% in June, primarily supported by the improvement in the real estate sector rather than infrastructure[17] - The civil engineering activity index recorded 56.7%, indicating a high level of activity, but this is a decline from May, suggesting that the construction sector's recovery is not driven by infrastructure projects[17] - The real estate sector's new orders index remains below 50%, indicating that the sustainability of improvements in the construction sector needs further validation from sales and investment trends[18] Group 4: Risk Factors - Consumer confidence recovery is slow, and policy implementation is not meeting expectations, posing risks to the economic outlook[23]
2025年6月PMI点评:制造业PMI环比回升是否具有持续性?
CMS· 2025-06-30 13:32
Manufacturing Sector - In June, the manufacturing PMI increased by 0.2 percentage points to 49.7, remaining below the expansion threshold of 50[1] - The production and demand indices have risen into the expansion zone, indicating a potential recovery in manufacturing activity[5] - The purchasing volume index showed the largest month-on-month improvement, followed by finished goods inventory and price indices[5] - The new orders index rose to 50.2, up by 0.4 from the previous month, while the new export orders index increased to 47.7, up by 0.2[10] - The price index remains at historical lows, which continues to squeeze future profit margins for companies[5] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing PMI recorded 50.5, with the service sector at 50.1 and the construction sector at 52.8, indicating mixed performance across sectors[12] - The service sector PMI saw a slight decline due to seasonal adjustments post-holiday, but is expected to rebound with the upcoming summer consumption peak[12] - The construction sector PMI showed a recovery, with the business activity index for housing construction rising above 51%, signaling positive changes in housing activity[13] - The investment in construction remains low year-on-year, primarily due to insufficient real estate investment demand[13]
2025年6月PMI点评:外部扰动减弱,内生动能修复
EBSCN· 2025-06-30 07:43
Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for June 2025 is 49.7%, up from 49.5% in May, aligning with market expectations[2] - The production index increased by 0.3 percentage points to 51.0%, while the new orders index rose by 0.4 percentage points to 50.2%[5] - Large and medium enterprises showed improved sentiment, with large enterprises' PMI rising to 51.2% and medium enterprises' PMI to 48.6%, while small enterprises' PMI fell to 47.3%[5] Economic Recovery Indicators - External disturbances have weakened, leading to a recovery in new export orders, which continue to rise[3] - High-energy-consuming industries are stabilizing, with their PMI increasing by 0.8 percentage points to 47.8%[15] - The service sector's business activity index slightly decreased to 50.1%, primarily due to the end of holiday effects, but remains in the expansion zone[27] Price and Inventory Trends - The raw material purchase price index rose to 48.4%, and the factory price index increased to 46.2%, both recovering from previous declines[23] - The raw material inventory index increased by 0.6 percentage points to 48.0%, indicating improved production activity[23] Construction Sector - The construction sector's business activity index rose significantly to 52.8%, reflecting a positive trend in housing construction activities[32] - The government is implementing policies to stabilize the real estate market, which is expected to further improve supply-demand dynamics[33]
“数”说中国经济运行稳中向好韧性强 稳投资、促消费政策持续落地
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-06-30 06:41
Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in China rose for two consecutive months, indicating a continuous improvement in manufacturing sentiment [2][4] - In June, the manufacturing PMI reached 49.7%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, signaling a stable expansion in production activities [2][4] - The new orders index returned to the expansion zone at 50.2%, reflecting a stable expansion in both supply and demand within the manufacturing sector [4][6] Group 2 - The non-manufacturing sector continued to expand, with the business activity index showing a slight increase while remaining in the expansion zone [8] - Key industries such as telecommunications, financial services, and insurance reported business activity indices above 60%, indicating robust growth in these sectors [8] - The construction industry, particularly civil engineering, maintained a high business activity index above 55% for three consecutive months, driven by increased investment activities [10] Group 3 - The resilience of the Chinese economy is highlighted by the strong internal momentum and stable production operations, with the PMI serving as a crucial leading indicator [12][14] - Despite short-term fluctuations due to external factors, the overall economic growth remains stable, supported by ongoing policies aimed at boosting investment and consumption [14]
49.7%、50.5%,改善、扩张!从6月份“指数”透视中国经济发展亮点
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-06-30 03:51
Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in China for June is reported at 49.7%, indicating a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, suggesting continued improvement in manufacturing sentiment [1] - Among the 21 surveyed industries, 11 are in the expansion zone, an increase of 4 from the previous month, reflecting a broader improvement in manufacturing conditions [3] - The production index and new orders index stand at 51% and 50.2%, respectively, both showing increases of 0.3 and 0.4 percentage points from last month, indicating a recovery in production activities and market demand [3] Group 2 - Key sectors such as equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods have maintained PMIs in the expansion zone for two consecutive months, with production and new orders indices above 53% [5] - The PMI for high-energy-consuming industries, while still below the critical point, has shown signs of recovery this month [5] - The overall manufacturing PMI and its sub-indices reflect a rebound trend, indicating that internal economic momentum is gradually being released and resilience in economic growth is strengthening [7] Group 3 - The non-manufacturing business activity index for June is reported at 50.5%, a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating continued expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [8] - The service sector's performance remains stable, with financial services, capital market services, and insurance industries showing business activity indices above 60%, indicating rapid growth in these areas [8] - The construction sector, particularly civil engineering, has seen a significant rebound, with business activity indices remaining above 55% for three consecutive months, reflecting robust progress in infrastructure projects [8][10]
天津市鸿远鑫盛建设工程有限公司成立,注册资本4000万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-21 11:03
Company Overview - Tianjin Hongyuan Xinseng Construction Engineering Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 40 million RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Cai Junjiang, and it is wholly owned by Yiqihang (Tianjin) Cultural Media Co., Ltd. [1] Business Scope - The company’s business scope includes construction engineering, installation, maintenance, and testing of power facilities, demolition work (excluding blasting), labor subcontracting, cultural relic protection engineering, design, surveying, and supervision of construction projects [1] - Additional services include technical services, development, consulting, sales of construction materials, equipment rental, landscaping engineering, and various engineering management services [1] Company Structure - The company is classified as a limited liability company (sole proprietorship) and is registered in the Tianjin Economic and Technological Development Zone [1] - The business registration is valid until June 20, 2025, with no fixed term thereafter [1]
中建四局取得可调节式幕墙连接构件专利,减少分体式结构容易出现的稳固性不足的情况
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-06-19 01:38
天眼查资料显示,中国建筑第四工程局有限公司,成立于1991年,位于广州市,是一家以从事房屋建筑 业为主的企业。企业注册资本800000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,中国建筑第四工程局有限公司 共对外投资了107家企业,参与招投标项目5000次,专利信息4459条,此外企业还拥有行政许可3145 个。 中建四局建设发展有限公司,成立于2010年,位于厦门市,是一家以从事房屋建筑业为主的企业。企业 注册资本50000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,中建四局建设发展有限公司共对外投资了5家企业, 参与招投标项目2706次,专利信息615条,此外企业还拥有行政许可728个。 金融界2025年6月19日消息,国家知识产权局信息显示,中国建筑第四工程局有限公司、中建四局建设 发展有限公司取得一项名为"一种可调节式幕墙连接构件"的专利,授权公告号CN222990983U,申请日 期为2024年08月。 专利摘要显示,本实用新型属于幕墙连接件技术领域,具体的说是一种可调节式幕墙连接构件,包括支 撑柱、管道和调节装置,管道位于支撑柱的一侧,支撑柱和管道的表面套有连接部,连接部的内表面固 定连接有耳板;支撑柱和连接部的表面设有 ...
建瓯市筑福建设发展有限公司成立,注册资本4000万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 12:24
经营范围含许可项目:建设工程施工;住宅室内装饰装修;建设工程设计;建设工程监理;建设工程勘 察;施工专业作业;建筑劳务分包;文物保护工程设计;文物保护工程施工;输电、供电、受电电力设 施的安装、维修和试验;房地产开发经营;民用核安全设备安装;燃气燃烧器具安装、维修;建筑物拆 除作业(爆破作业除外);公路管理与养护;公路工程监理。(依法须经批准的项目,经相关部门批准 后方可开展经营活动,具体经营项目以相关部门批准文件或许可证件为准)市政设施管理;土石方工程 施工;对外承包工程;园林绿化工程施工;体育场地设施工程施工;金属门窗工程施工;建筑材料销 售;轻质建筑材料销售;工程管理服务;地质灾害治理服务;专业设计服务;消防技术服务;普通机械 设备安装服务;家具安装和维修服务;技术服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、技术转让、技术推 广;招投标代理服务;工程造价咨询业务;住房租赁;非居住房地产租赁;环境保护监测;消防器材销 售;安防设备销售;电气设备销售;建筑工程用机械销售。(除依法须经批准的项目外,凭营业执照依 法自主开展经营活动) 企业名称建瓯市筑福建设发展有限公司法定代表人张建芳注册资本4000万人民币国标行业建 ...
江西横渠建筑工程有限公司成立,注册资本4000万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 11:58
Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Hengqu Construction Engineering Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 40 million RMB, fully owned by Nanchang Ruihao Enterprise Consulting Co., Ltd. [1] Company Information - The legal representative of Jiangxi Hengqu Construction Engineering Co., Ltd. is Xu Min [1] - The registered capital of the company is 40 million RMB [1] - The company is located at No. 866, Innovation First Road, Nanchang High-tech Industrial Development Zone, Jiangxi Province, in the Qinghua East Coast Business Center [1] - The company is classified as a limited liability company (wholly owned by a natural person) [1] Business Scope - The business scope includes construction project contracting, construction labor subcontracting, construction project supervision, construction project design, water conservancy project supervision, geological disaster governance project design and construction, residential interior decoration, and intelligent building system design [1] - Additional services include engineering management, landscaping engineering, sports facility engineering, earth and stone works, engineering and technical research and experimental development, technical services, consulting, and technology transfer [1] - The company is also involved in engineering cost consulting, leasing of construction machinery and equipment, foreign contracting projects, bidding agency services, environmental consulting, machinery equipment leasing, and sales of construction materials [1]