6 June 2025 | 8:12PM HKT China Basic Materials China commodities: Refreshing earnings estimates Trina Chen +852-2978-2678 | trina.chen@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Joy Zhang +852-2978-6545 | joy.x.zhang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Roy Shi +852-2978-0110 | roy.shi@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Fiona Ye +852-2978-0680 | fiona.ye@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Daisy Dai +852-2978-7904 | daisy.dai@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. We refresh our earnings estimates for our China commoditie ...

Core Insights - Zoetis (ZTS) has seen a 12.5% increase in share price over the past month, indicating strong market performance in the animal health sector [1] - The company operates across seven major product categories and serves eight core species, including both livestock and companion animals [1] Product Performance - Strong growth is attributed to Zoetis' companion animal portfolio, with key products like Apoquel, Cytopoint, and newer offerings such as Simparica and ProHeart 12 driving sales [3] - Recent FDA approvals for Apoquel Chewable and expanded indications for Simparica Trio are expected to enhance demand further [3] International Expansion - Zoetis is expanding its international presence, with products like Rimadyl approved in China and strong uptake of monoclonal antibody therapies for osteoarthritis pain in pets [4] Strategic Acquisitions - The company has been actively acquiring businesses to strengthen its market position, including the acquisition of PetMedix Ltd. and adivo GmbH, which focus on antibody-based therapeutics for companion animals [6] Technological Advancements - In early 2024, Zoetis enhanced its Vetscan Imagyst diagnostics platform with AI capabilities for urine testing and lymph node screening, improving in-clinic diagnostic capabilities [7] Shareholder Value - Zoetis has consistently increased dividends, with a 16% increase in the third quarter of 2025 compared to 2024, making it an attractive option for investors [8] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Zoetis shares have gained 3.5%, underperforming the industry average of 10.4%, but still outperforming the sector and S&P 500 [9] - The stock is currently trading at a premium valuation compared to the industry, but strong fundamentals suggest potential for lucrative returns [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Zoetis' 2025 earnings per share has risen from $6.08 to $6.26, with 2026 estimates increasing from $6.65 to $6.79, indicating a positive outlook for growth [15]

Core Insights - Nearly 90% of U.S. dogs are reported as "itchy dogs" by their owners, with over 80% of owners indicating that pollen levels in their cities exacerbate their dogs' itchiness [1][4] - Pet owners spend an average of $173 more and use two additional treatments during allergy season to manage their dogs' itch [1] - There is a significant emotional toll on dog owners, with 75% feeling hopeless when their veterinarian cannot provide relief for their itchy dogs [3] Treatment and Veterinary Insights - Itching is a leading reason for veterinary visits, with owners typically waiting an average of 6 weeks before seeking help [2] - 90% of veterinarians believe that dog owners wait too long to bring in their itchy dogs, leading to more severe skin issues [2] - A majority of dog owners prefer a single daily pill for treatment rather than multiple pills [2] - 75% of dog owners expressed a need for more affordable options to manage their dogs' itch [2] Emotional and Social Impact - 53% of itchy dog owners feel judged by their community, and 75% feel hopeless when treatment is ineffective [3] - Successful treatment of itchy dogs strengthens the bond between veterinarians and pet owners, with 84% of veterinarians noting increased visits for other issues and 70% of owners referring others to their practice [3] Geographic Insights - In the highest human allergy cities, 85% of dogs experience itch during allergy season, compared to 79% of all U.S. dogs [4] - Specific cities exhibit unique trends, such as Memphis, TN, where owners spend an average of $548 year-round on treatments, significantly higher than the national average of $302 [11]

Key Takeaways URBN, PAHC and STRT meet momentum criteria with positive trends in price and strong EPS growth. Each stock has outpaced earnings estimates, with STRT posting a 195.8% average surprise over four quarters. URBN and PAHC hold Momentum Score of A and B, respectively, signaling continued price strength.Wall Street may encounter volatility as trade tensions between the United States and China reignite. The United States blamed China for breaching a temporary trade deal, while Beijing accused Washi ...

Zoetis Inc. (NYSE:ZTS) William Blair 45th Annual Growth Stock Conference June 3, 2025 11:40 AM ET Company Participants Wetteny Joseph - CFO Conference Call Participants Brandon Vazquez - William Blair Brandon Vazquez Right. Good morning, everyone. My name is Brandon Vazquez. I am the research analyst here at William Blair that covers Zoetis. I'm required to inform you that a complete list of research disclosures of potential conflicts of interest, please visit our website at williamblair.com. So we have her ...

Summary of Fibro Animal Health Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Fibro Animal Health - **Ticker Symbol**: PAHC - **Founded**: 1946 - **Employees**: Approximately 2,300 - **Manufacturing Plants**: 6 to 18 worldwide - **Product Registrations**: About 22,000 - **Global Reach**: Customers in approximately 100 countries - **Fiscal Year End**: June 30 Industry Context - **Sector**: Food Animal Health - **Market Demand**: The global population is expected to reach 10 billion in the next couple of decades, necessitating a 70% increase in animal-based protein production [4][4] - **Sustainability Focus**: The company aims to produce more with fewer natural resources, emphasizing animal health and welfare [4][4] Financial Performance - **Fiscal Year 2024 Revenue**: Achieved $1 billion before the acquisition of Zoetis' medicated feed additive business [6][6] - **Pro Forma Revenue Post-Acquisition**: Expected to reach approximately $1.4 billion [15][15] - **EBITDA Margins**: Targeted low 20% margins; currently achieving mid to high 20% margins on the acquired business [15][15] - **Sales Growth**: Legacy business sales up 8% year-over-year; EBITDA up 26% [21][21] - **Guidance for Fiscal Year**: Net sales projected between $1.26 billion and $1.29 billion, with EBITDA between $177 million and $183 million [29][29] Acquisition Insights - **Acquisition of Zoetis MFA Business**: - Completed integration process deemed successful [14][14] - Acquisition was strategic, enhancing revenue diversification and market presence [11][11] - Introduced new geographies and balanced product offerings across species [16][16] - Sales from Zoetis products in the first five months totaled $113 million, with a full-year estimate of $350 million [30][30] Product Portfolio - **Core Product Categories**: - **Medicated Feed Additives**: Includes antimicrobials, antioxidants, and anthelmintics [22][22] - **Nutritional Specialties**: Non-medicated products aimed at maintaining animal health [25][25] - **Vaccines**: Primarily poultry vaccines, including custom autogenous vaccines [27][28] Market Trends and Opportunities - **Geographic Expansion**: Increased focus on Europe, which previously represented only 8% of the Zoetis business [18][18] - **Species Focus**: Strengthened presence in beef and swine markets, particularly in the U.S. [42][42] - **Sustainability Market**: Recognized as a growing opportunity, particularly in dairy, with potential for technology solutions to address environmental concerns [59][60] Challenges and Future Outlook - **Headwinds**: Anticipated tariffs could impact EBITDA by $5 million to $10 million [34][34] - **Transformation Initiative**: "Fiber Forward" aims to enhance income growth through cost and sales strategies [34][34] - **Long-term Growth**: Positive outlook for continued growth across all business lines, with a focus on vaccines, nutritional specialties, and medicated feed additives [32][32] Conclusion Fibro Animal Health is positioned for significant growth following its acquisition of Zoetis' MFA business, with a strong focus on sustainability and expanding its market presence across various species and geographies. The company is optimistic about its financial performance and future opportunities in the animal health sector.

Summary of Elanco Animal Health Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Elanco Animal Health - **CEO**: Jeff Simmons - **Event**: Stifel Jaws and Paws Conference 2025 Key Points Leadership Transition - Elanco announced a proactive leadership change with the departure of the CFO Todd, who has been with the company for over six years, to be succeeded by Bob Ben Hinbergen from Hillenbrand, emphasizing a cultural fit and value creation focus [2][4][6] Financial Performance - Elanco reported a solid first quarter with innovation revenue reaching **$198 million** and a **4% growth** in revenue, guiding for **4% to 6% growth** for the year [7][9][12] - The company has absorbed tariff impacts and earmarked **$25 million** of FX EBITDA tailwind for future potential pharma tariffs [7][12] - Cash debt paydown was raised from **$150 million** to between **$450 million and $500 million**, indicating strong cash flow management [12] Innovation and Growth - Elanco has seen **seven consecutive quarters of growth**, driven by innovation across its product portfolio, including products like Experior, Credelio, and AdTap [8][10][11] - The company is focusing on a basket of **six blockbusters** and additional products launched in the last three years to drive growth [11] - Credelio Quattro has captured **10% market share** shortly after launch, indicating strong market acceptance [29][30] Market Dynamics - The OTC business experienced a decline in January and February due to cold weather but rebounded in March and April, continuing into May [13][16] - Elanco's distribution strategy has expanded to include retailers like Tractor Supply and Target, enhancing accessibility for pet owners [16][17] Product Development - ZENRELIA is positioned for growth with a focus on changing language on labels to enhance vet adoption, with **11,000 vet clinics** currently using the product [41][42] - The company anticipates a significant market opportunity in the derm category, projected to exceed **$2 billion** [45] Margin Expansion Strategy - Elanco is implementing a company-wide margin expansion approach, focusing on gross-to-net pricing strategies and operational efficiencies [22][58][60] - The company expects to leverage new product launches for improved pricing realization in 2026 [62] Regulatory Environment - Elanco is advocating for streamlined regulatory processes and an exemption from pharma tariffs, emphasizing the unique nature of the animal health industry compared to pharmaceuticals [76][77][78] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about the growth trajectory in both the pet and farm animal segments, with a focus on innovation and market expansion [70][72] - Elanco aims to solidify its position as a leader in the derm market and capitalize on the growing demand for animal protein [67][70] Additional Insights - The company is closely monitoring weather impacts on sales and is prepared to adjust strategies accordingly [16][17] - Elanco's approach to innovation is multi-faceted, focusing on both product differentiation and market penetration strategies [25][62] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the Elanco Animal Health conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, financial performance, and market opportunities.

Core Viewpoint - Elanco Animal Health Incorporated has appointed Robert VanHimbergen as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective July 7, 2025, following a competitive search aimed at long-term value creation [1][3] Company Leadership Transition - Robert VanHimbergen will succeed Todd Young, who will remain as an advisor until August 31, 2025, to ensure a smooth transition [1][3] - VanHimbergen has nearly three decades of experience in finance, having previously served as CFO at Hillenbrand, Inc. and held various roles at Johnson Controls [2][3] Company Growth and Strategy - Elanco has experienced seven consecutive quarters of growth and is focused on accelerating growth, globalizing operations, maximizing innovation, and improving cash generation [3] - The company aims to build on its current momentum and leverage its diverse portfolio of innovations to enhance shareholder value [3] Financial Guidance - Elanco reconfirms its second quarter and full year guidance as previously issued during the first quarter earnings call on May 7, 2025 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock market has experienced volatility, but this does not deter investment, especially in resilient companies like Zoetis and Abbott Laboratories, which are strong candidates for income stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Zoetis - Zoetis is a leading animal health company with a diverse portfolio, including over 300 product lines, with about 15 generating over $100 million in annual revenue [4]. - Despite facing increased competition, particularly with its Apoquel product, Zoetis has consistently outperformed the industry in revenue growth and maintains a strong market position [5][7]. - The companion animal segment is a significant revenue driver, benefiting from changing consumer behavior where younger generations are increasingly spending on pet care [6]. - Long-term growth is supported by rising global demand for animal protein and Zoetis' established product lineup, despite short-term market challenges [7]. - Zoetis has a solid dividend profile, having increased payouts by 502% over the past decade, with a forward yield of 1.2% and a conservative cash payout ratio of 34.2% [8]. Group 2: Abbott Laboratories - Abbott Laboratories is diversified across medical devices, nutrition, diagnostics, and pharmaceuticals, which helps stabilize revenue during segment-specific challenges [9]. - The FreeStyle Libre continuous glucose monitoring system is a key growth driver, becoming the most successful medical device in dollar sales, with significant growth potential in an underpenetrated market [10]. - Demand for products like the MitraClip is expected to rise due to an aging population, positively impacting Abbott's overall results [11]. - Abbott has a strong income profile, having raised dividends for 53 consecutive years, with a yield of 1.8% and a cash payout ratio of 60.4% [12]. - Despite facing lawsuits and competitive pressures, Abbott's robust healthcare presence and innovative capabilities position it well for long-term performance [13].

Summary of Elanco Animal Health Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Elanco Animal Health - **Industry**: Animal Health Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - Elanco reported a robust Q1 with a **4% constant currency revenue growth**, marking the **seventh consecutive quarter of growth** [4][5] - The company exceeded guidance on revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS [5] - Revenue guidance was raised to **$660 million to $740 million** for the innovation basket initiated in 2021 [6] Innovation and Product Development - The innovation basket includes six key products contributing significantly to growth, particularly **Quattro**, **Experior**, and **ZENRELIA** [7][8] - **Experior** is identified as having a **$350 million potential market** in North America [8] - ZENRELIA is gaining traction with **11,000 clinics** adopting it, indicating strong market demand in the **$1.9 billion dermatology market** [25][26] - The derm market is expected to grow **double digits**, with ZENRELIA positioned as a leading product [25] Cash Flow and Debt Management - Elanco announced monetizing royalties on the Lotta Lanner asset, bringing in nearly **$300 million** for debt reduction [9] - The company anticipates **$450 million to $500 million** for debt paydown, improving leverage ratios [9] Tariff and Regulatory Environment - Elanco is actively managing tariff impacts, estimating a **$16 million to $20 million** effect primarily from U.S.-China trade relations [10][11] - The company is engaged in discussions with the administration regarding potential tariff exemptions for the animal health industry [16][19] - Regulatory reform discussions are ongoing, with a focus on streamlining processes with the FDA and USDA [17][34] Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The farm animal segment is experiencing growth, with Elanco being a leader in beef, swine, and poultry [73] - The company is optimistic about the protein market, noting a **20% decline** in animal protein alternatives [74] - Elanco's competitive strategy includes leveraging its innovation pipeline and addressing market needs effectively [46][87] Future Outlook - Elanco is focused on expanding its product portfolio, with plans for **seven blockbuster products** in the pipeline [87] - The company is enhancing its distribution strategy, increasing physical availability across various retail channels [90][92] - The outlook for the farm animal segment remains positive, with specific growth anticipated in cattle and poultry, while the pig industry faces challenges [99] Additional Insights - Elanco emphasizes the importance of a stable core business supported by innovation, which is crucial for sustained growth [100] - The company is committed to maintaining a competitive edge through scientific rigor and addressing consumer demands for sustainability [80][81] Conclusion Elanco Animal Health is positioned for continued growth through innovation, effective management of market dynamics, and a strong focus on regulatory engagement. The company's diverse product portfolio and strategic initiatives in the animal health sector are expected to drive future performance.