Core Insights - The dYdX Foundation, in collaboration with 21Shares, conducted an analyst call on September 18 to discuss protocol updates, a new institutional channel, and product plans extending into 2026 [1] - The call highlighted market access, technology upgrades, and changes to token economics, including the launch of a physically backed DYDX exchange-traded product in Europe by 21Shares [1][2] - The foundation announced several product additions, including spot markets, Telegram-based trading, and a $20 million "Surge" incentive program to boost trading activity [2][3] Product Developments - dYdX is working on integrating real-world asset perpetuals, starting with synthetic equity exposures linked to companies like Tesla [2] - Upcoming integrations will include support for the Crypto.com wallet, enhancing user accessibility [2] Token Economics - Rewards for users will be distributed in USDC, and a fee-funded buyback program has been confirmed as part of the token economics strategy [3] - Following the analyst call, the price of $DYDX increased, reflecting traders' consideration of the long-term roadmap against current market sentiment [3] Market Performance - The trading volume for dYdX has surpassed $1.5 trillion, indicating that the platform's infrastructure is now established rather than experimental [3] - The price of DYDX has shown a recovery, trading near $0.69 with a 5% gain, and has moved above key resistance levels [4][5] - Technical indicators suggest a bullish continuation setup, with immediate pressure at the $0.6880 level, which DYDX is currently testing [6][7]

Crypto trading firm Keyrock said it's expanding into asset and wealth management by acquiring Turing Capital, a Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager. The deal, announced on Tuesday, marks the launch of Keyrock’s Asset and Wealth Management division, a new business unit dedicated to institutional clients and private investors. Keyrock, founded in Brussels, Belgium and best known for its work in market making, options and OTC trading, said it will fold Turing Capital’s investment strat ...

Core Viewpoint - Dogecoin is experiencing a rally driven by factors such as the anticipated launch of the DOJE ETF, treasury accumulation, and speculative leverage, despite warnings from analysts about potential price resistance [1][5][10]. Price Movement - Dogecoin has traded between $0.27 and $0.30 recently, with an intraday high of $0.3070, indicating volatility but an overall increase over the week and month [2]. - The latest price level is around $0.2749, reflecting fluctuations in the market [2]. Trading Behavior - A significant number of traders are using leverage to bet on Dogecoin, with a ratio of two to three bullish bets for every bearish one on platforms like Binance and OKX [3]. - Among top traders, the bullish sentiment is even stronger, with four to five bullish bets for every bearish one [3]. Liquidation Risks - The use of leverage poses risks, as approximately $29.6 million in Dogecoin trades were liquidated in the past 24 hours, primarily from traders who over-leveraged on the expectation of price increases [4]. Institutional Interest - Companies are beginning to accumulate cryptocurrencies, inspired by MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings, with over 150 companies now holding Bitcoin [6]. - There is a shift towards Ethereum, Solana, and Worldcoin, with notable holdings reported by various firms [7]. Dogecoin Treasury Accumulation - CleanCore Solutions has disclosed acquiring 500 million DOGE as part of a strategy to build a significant Dogecoin treasury, targeting a total of 1 billion DOGE [9]. - Another firm, Bit Origin, reported holding 70.5 million DOGE, indicating growing institutional interest in Dogecoin [9]. Analyst Perspectives - Analysts are divided on Dogecoin's momentum, with some suggesting it is at a critical supply zone that could lead to a price rejection if the broader market has not stabilized [10]. - Others point to the recent price surge and potential targets of $0.32, $0.41, and even $0.70 if bullish momentum continues [11]. ETF Developments - The launch of the Rex-Osprey DOGE ETF has been delayed again, now expected to debut mid-next week, with analysts anticipating multiple DOGE ETFs to launch in the coming months [5].

Core Insights - Coinbase Global (COIN) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with a consensus revenue estimate of $1.5 billion, reflecting a 4.3% year-over-year increase [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings is 83 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 22.4% [2] Financial Performance - COIN has a history of beating earnings estimates, achieving this in three of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 32.71% [3] - The Earnings ESP for Coinbase is +12.05%, with the Most Accurate Estimate at 93 cents, higher than the consensus estimate [5] Revenue Drivers - Increased trading volume due to higher volatility is expected to benefit COIN's second-quarter performance, with trading volume estimated at 235 million, a 4% increase year-over-year [6] - Transaction revenues are projected to rise 23% year-over-year, estimated at $1.325 billion [9] - Subscription and services revenues are expected to be between $600 million and $680 million, driven by stablecoin income growth [10] Cost Management - COIN anticipates sales and marketing expenses to range from $215 million to $315 million, influenced by performance marketing variability [11] - Technology and development expenses are projected to be between $700 million and $750 million, a decline from the previous quarter [12] Market Positioning - Coinbase is positioned to benefit from increased crypto asset volatility and rising prices, with a strategic shift towards subscription and service-based income enhancing revenue stability [17][18] - The company is focusing on operational efficiency and maintaining a disciplined cost structure, with a relatively strong debt position [19] Regulatory Environment - The supportive regulatory landscape under the Trump administration is expected to benefit Coinbase, enhancing its market share in both retail and institutional segments [20]

Core Insights - Coinbase Global (COIN) is expected to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with a history of beating estimates in three of the last four quarters and matching in one [1] Trading Volume and Revenue Drivers - Trading volume in Q2 is anticipated to improve due to increased asset volatility and rising crypto asset prices, which are significant revenue drivers for Coinbase [2] - The company is likely to have gained market share in the U.S. spot and derivatives markets, aided by the acquisition of Deribit, enhancing its position as the leading crypto derivative platform globally by open interest [3] Consensus Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total trading volume is projected at 249 million, reflecting a 10.1% increase from the previous year [4] - The consensus estimate for total transaction revenues is set at $759 million, indicating a 23% rise from the year-ago figure, with consumer transaction revenues estimated at $647 million and institutional revenues at $54 million [5] Additional Revenue Contributions - Revenue growth is expected to be supported by increased volumes in custody, staking, USDC assets, and growth in Coinbase One subscriptions [6] Earnings Predictions - The quantitative model predicts an earnings beat for Coinbase, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +12.05% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [7][8]

Core Insights - Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) heavily relies on trading volumes as a primary revenue driver and a key indicator of its long-term business trajectory [1][8] - The company aims to bring over 1 billion people into the crypto ecosystem, investing significantly in infrastructure and foundational platforms to support this vision [3][4] Trading Volume Dynamics - Trading volume is influenced by market dynamics, including crypto asset prices, volatility, macroeconomic conditions, and the share of total crypto market spot trading volume [2] - In Q1 2025, Bitcoin accounted for 27% and Ethereum for 11% of trading volume, while other crypto assets made up 38% [2] Revenue Diversification - Increasing trading volumes not only enhance transaction revenues but also boost demand for complementary services such as custody, staking, and subscription-based products, aiding revenue diversification [3][8] - The cyclical nature of crypto markets presents opportunities for Coinbase to enhance global accessibility and tailor offerings to institutional and high-frequency traders, driving operational leverage [4] Competitive Landscape - Coinbase competes with Robinhood Markets and Interactive Brokers, both of which are experiencing growth in trading volumes due to increased retail investor activity and market volatility [5][6] - Robinhood has seen a recovery in trading volumes, while Interactive Brokers benefits from a growing international client base [5][6] Stock Performance and Valuation - COIN shares have gained 22.1% year-to-date, outperforming the industry [7] - The company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 57.3, significantly above the industry average of 15.5, indicating a high valuation pressure [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for COIN's EPS for Q2 and Q3 2025 has increased by 9.6% and 7.8%, respectively, over the past 30 days [11] - Full-year EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 have risen by 22.8% and 3.5%, respectively, suggesting a mixed outlook for earnings growth [11][12]

Company Overview - Circle Internet Group (NYSE:CRCL) had a successful IPO, with the stock initially priced at $31 per share, opening at $69, and currently trading at $115, marking a nearly 270% increase in a few days [2] - Circle is a stablecoin issuer known for USDC, a dollar-pegged stablecoin used in cryptocurrency trading, payments, and decentralized finance [2][3] Market Dynamics - Stablecoins are gaining traction due to their programmability, transparency, and price stability, making them suitable for various applications [3] - Circle generates revenue primarily from interest on reserves and increasing stablecoin volumes, with potential benefits from upcoming regulatory clarity in the U.S. [3] - Major companies are exploring stablecoins for remittances, B2B payments, and e-commerce due to their speed and lower costs [3] Financial Performance - Circle's revenue for the fiscal year ending March 2025 was $1.89 billion, with profits around $172 million [5] - The company's valuation surged from a $7 billion IPO target to over $27 billion, indicating potential overvaluation [4][5] Risks and Volatility - Circle's performance is closely tied to the broader cryptocurrency market, with demand for stablecoins fluctuating based on market sentiment [4] - Regulatory scrutiny on stablecoins could impact Circle's stock, especially as the market approaches a peak [3][4] - Historical volatility in the sector is evident, as seen with Coinbase's stock, which experienced a 90% drop from its all-time highs [5]

Core Insights - Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) primarily generates revenue from transaction fees, which account for over 50% of its total revenue and are closely linked to trading volumes [1][4] - Transaction revenues rose 18.2% year-over-year to $1.3 billion in Q1 2025, driven by a 26% increase in trading volume [2] - The company anticipates a decline of $30 million to $40 million in institutional transaction revenues for Q2 2025 [2][8] Revenue Growth and Market Position - The increase in crypto trading activity, fueled by the adoption of Bitcoin ETFs and tokenized assets, is enhancing COIN's transaction-based income [3] - Coinbase is investing in foundational infrastructure, such as its Layer 2 Ethereum scaling solution, Base, to support long-term growth and improve crypto utility [3] - The platform has expanded its asset offerings by launching tokenized equities on Base, contributing to its revenue growth [3] Competitive Landscape - COIN competes with Robinhood Markets and Interactive Brokers, both of which also rely heavily on transaction revenues from active trading [5][6] - Robinhood's transaction revenues, which make up over 60% of its total revenues, are sensitive to market fluctuations and retail investor behavior [5] - Interactive Brokers benefits from high-margin commission-based transaction revenues, demonstrating strong operating leverage [6] Financial Performance and Valuation - COIN's shares have gained 1.2% year-to-date, outperforming the industry [7] - The company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.5, significantly above the industry average of 18.72, indicating an expensive valuation [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for COIN's EPS has decreased by 47.1% and 37% for Q2 and Q3 2025, respectively, while estimates for full-year 2025 and 2026 have increased by 52.3% and 16.7% [11][12]

First Quarter 2025 Earnings May 12, 2025 Important notice Unless the context otherwise provides, "we," "us," "our," "Bakkt" and like terms refer to Bakkt Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation and accompanying oral presentation contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such statements include, but are not limited to, Bakkt's gu ...

Core Viewpoint - Coinbase Global (COIN) is expected to report its first-quarter 2025 results on May 8, with a history of earnings surprises in the last four quarters [1] Trading Volumes - Increased asset volatility and improved crypto asset prices are likely to have boosted trading volumes in the first quarter, which remains a major revenue driver for Coinbase [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total trading volume is 404 million, reflecting a 28.5% increase year-over-year. The estimate for Consumer trading volume is 83 million, indicating a 48.2% rise, while Institutional trading volume is pegged at 321 million, showing a 25.4% increase [3] Transaction Revenues - Transaction revenues are expected to benefit from higher fees for both Consumer and Institutional segments, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for total transaction revenues at $1.325 billion, a 23% increase from the previous year. Consumer transaction revenues are estimated at $1.2 billion, and Institutional revenues at $127 million, suggesting a 49.4% year-over-year increase [4] Market Share and Product Growth - Revenues are anticipated to be supported by market share gains in U.S. spot and derivatives trading products, as well as growth in custody, staking, USDC assets, and Coinbase One subscribers [5] Earnings Prediction - The quantitative model does not predict an earnings beat for Coinbase this quarter, with an Earnings ESP of -5.23% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6][7]