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Crypto Capital Inflows Tank 80% as Market Awaits Clear Signals
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-30 11:20
Market Participation and Capital Flows - Capital inflows have collapsed from nearly $60 billion at the start of October to just over $10 billion by late November, indicating a brutal reset in market participation [1] - The Fear and Greed Index remains at 20, reflecting investor fear amid market uncertainty, particularly with Bitcoin briefly crashing to $80K in November [1] Market Sentiment and Conditions - Last week's market bounce appeared strong, but supporting signals vanished, leading to a shift from a "buy the dip" mentality to fear-based narratives [2] - Concerns about liquidations and high-risk positions have replaced opportunistic sentiment, with Ethereum facing heavy resistance between $3,200 and $3,250 [3] Market Dynamics and Behavior - Large Bitcoin wallets have reduced accumulation while smaller wallets have increased theirs, indicating a fragile market environment [4] - Stablecoin yields near 4% suggest low leverage demand, contributing to a sideways market with no strong bias [4] - Debt repayments earlier in the month sparked panic, marking a local bottom, but recent debt flows have turned flat, showing neither panic nor confidence [4] Market Urgency and Signals - The market currently exhibits no urgency, major risk, or strong directional signals, leading to the conclusion that stepping aside may be the best choice [5] Bitcoin's Market Position - Bitcoin has lost its leadership position after breaking through crucial support levels, with momentum shifting away from BTC as the structure weakened [6] - The market has transitioned into an alt-driven phase, with mid-cap assets showing speculative appetite while large caps are viewed as safer [6] - Bitcoin's dominance has decreased due to heavy selling, and regaining leadership will require sustained dominance growth [7]
Ethereum Price Chart Flashes a Bearish Warning — Could This Be a ‘Long-Term’ Risk?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-29 11:30
Core Insights - Ethereum price is currently around $3,000, facing significant pressure as on-chain data indicates selling from key holder groups [1][2] - Despite a recent 10% recovery, Ethereum's broader trend shows a 23% decline over the past 30 days, suggesting underlying weakness [2] - Long-term holders have significantly increased their selling activity, with a notable rise in ETH offloaded from long-term wallets [4][5] Market Dynamics - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a hidden bearish divergence, suggesting that the recent price rebound may be weak and that sellers still dominate the market [3][6] - Long-term holders have offloaded approximately 973,000 ETH in just six days, marking a 191% increase in selling pressure [4] - The Hodler Net Position Change metric has remained negative, indicating that long-term holders are sending ETH back to exchanges [4][6] Price Structure - Ethereum is approaching a critical support level at $3,016, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level [7] - If this support level fails, potential price targets could drop to $2,864 and further to $2,619, especially if selling pressure continues [7] - The current pennant structure indicates that the price could break either way, but the prevailing selling trend suggests a higher risk of a downside break unless buying interest increases [8]
11月28今日币圈:比特币、以太坊、山寨币行情分析及操作建议!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-28 06:22
Market Overview - The cryptocurrency market has seen a slight increase of 0.17% in the last 24 hours, with active trading volumes. The performance of altcoins is being closely monitored to see if they surpass Bitcoin [1] - Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded from a support level of $86,000, with a current price around $91,507, showing a 0.51% increase in the last 24 hours. The key resistance level is at $91,600 [4][8] - Ethereum (ETH) is priced at approximately $3,021, experiencing a 0.22% decline in the last 24 hours, with critical support levels at $2,980 and $2,925 [6][8] - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is about $3.12 trillion, with a total trading volume of approximately $1.15 trillion in the last 24 hours [8] Institutional Activity - There is a strong institutional demand for altcoins, with XRP ETF accumulating 8 million tokens in 24 hours, totaling over $628 million, leading to an 11% increase in XRP's price. Privacy coins like Zcash have surged by 28.86% due to significant capital inflow [1] Liquidation Events - In the last 24 hours, a total of 81,957 traders were liquidated, amounting to $130 million, with long positions suffering the most at $84.12 million [2][3] Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment is categorized as "extreme fear" with a fear and greed index score of 24. However, Bitcoin's rebound indicates potential stabilization, and the fear of panic selling has decreased significantly, with a drop of 82% in BTC liquidation volume [8] Price Movements of Other Major Coins - BNB is priced at approximately $894, showing a 0.22% increase, with key support at $888 and resistance at $905 [7][8] - Solana (SOL) is priced at around $140, experiencing a 2.07% decline, with short-term resistance at $141 and $142.4 [7][8] - Other notable price movements include Dogecoin (DOGE) down 2.13%, and Avalanche (AVAX) up 0.67% [10]
Tom Lee's Shock Call Meets BitMine's Supply Squeeze — Is ETH Set To Ignite?
Benzinga· 2025-11-26 19:47
Group 1 - Tom Lee predicts Ethereum (ETH) could drop to $2,500 before entering a supercycle that could see prices rise to $7,000–$9,000 within weeks [1][4] - Bitmine Immersion Technologies Inc has accumulated approximately 3% of the total ETH supply and aims to reach 5%, which is seen as a critical threshold for creating scarcity [2][3] - The consolidation of ETH supply by Bitmine is viewed as a potential controlled supply squeeze, which could lead to structural pressure in the market if demand increases [3][4] Group 2 - If Ethereum drops to $2,500, it presents an asymmetric buying opportunity, where forced sellers meet a strong buyer, potentially leading to a market pivot [4] - There is speculation that Bitmine's actions may be setting the stage for a liquidity shock, which could result in late-movers facing challenges in finding Ethereum to purchase [5][6] - The market dynamics may shift rapidly, with the potential for a quick rebound that outpaces traditional market adjustments [5][6]
Up To 25% Of Polymarket Trading Volume May Be Wash Trading, Columbia University Study Says
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 20:31
Core Insights - A significant portion of Polymarket's trading activity is reportedly fabricated, with nearly 25% of its volume over the past three years identified as wash trading according to Columbia University researchers [2][4]. Trading Activity Analysis - The study indicates that approximately 14% of the 1.26 million wallets that have engaged in trading on Polymarket were flagged for suspicious activity, suggesting a pattern of repeated buying and selling without actual market position changes [3]. - Wash trading volume on Polymarket reached a peak of 60% of total trading volume in December 2024, subsequently dropping to less than 5% in May, before rebounding to around 20% last month [4]. Market-Specific Findings - The research highlights that sports markets on Polymarket are particularly affected by wash trading, with 45% of historical volume flagged, peaking at 90% during the week starting October 21, 2024 [5]. - In contrast, only 17% of the total volume in Polymarket's election markets is estimated to be wash trading, although this figure spiked to 95% during the week beginning March 25 [6]. Platform Vulnerabilities - The researchers noted that Polymarket's structure, including the absence of transaction fees and the pseudonymous nature of blockchain technology, makes it especially vulnerable to wash trading activities [4]. - The motivation behind the wash trading is speculated to be users attempting to exploit the platform's planned airdrop, which was confirmed by Polymarket's Chief Marketing Officer [6][7].
Bullish(BLSH.US)Q3营收同比增长71.5% GAAP每股收益逊于预期
智通财经网· 2025-11-19 12:42
Core Insights - Bullish cryptocurrency exchange reported a 71.5% year-over-year increase in adjusted revenue for Q3 2025, reaching $76.5 million, exceeding market expectations by $5.36 million [1] - Adjusted transaction revenue for Q3 was $26.7 million, down from $32.9 million in the same period last year [2] - The company recorded a significant increase in adjusted EBITDA, reaching $28.6 million compared to $7.7 million in the previous year [1] - Adjusted net income for Q3 was $13.8 million, a turnaround from a net loss of $3.1 million in the same quarter last year [1] - GAAP earnings per share were reported at $0.10, an improvement from a loss of $0.59 per share in the previous year, but below market expectations of $1.59 [1] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 adjusted revenue: $76.5 million, up from $44.6 million in Q3 2024 [2] - Q3 2025 adjusted transaction revenue: $26.7 million, down from $32.9 million in Q3 2024 [2] - Q3 2025 adjusted EBITDA: $28.6 million, compared to $7.7 million in Q3 2024 [2] - Q3 2025 adjusted net income: $13.8 million, compared to a net loss of $3.1 million in Q3 2024 [2] Future Outlook - Bullish projects Q4 subscription, service, and other revenues to be between $47 million and $53 million [2] - Adjusted operating expenses for Q4 are expected to be between $48 million and $50 million [2]
Crypto’s New Normal: Another $1 Billion Liquidation Day Shakes the Market
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-18 11:52
Core Insights - The crypto market experienced over $1 billion in liquidations within 24 hours, affecting more than 190,000 traders, indicating a trend of significant volatility and leveraged trading losses in the crypto space [1][2]. Liquidation Data - A total of $1.03 billion in positions were liquidated, with over 70% being long positions amounting to $726.5 million, while short positions accounted for $308.2 million [2]. - The largest single liquidation was a BTC-USD position worth $96.51 million on the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid [2]. Market Performance - The broader cryptocurrency market saw a 3.7% decline, with Bitcoin dropping below $90,000 before recovering to over $91,000 [3]. - Ethereum briefly fell below the $3,000 mark, trading at $3,050, down 4.4% in the past day, and has decreased nearly 40% since October 6 [4]. Cumulative Liquidations - Cumulative liquidations over the past week exceeded $5 billion, with the cryptocurrency sector losing $1.2 trillion in market capitalization over the last 42 days, representing a 28% decline in total value [5]. - The current market cap is approximately 24% lower than levels seen during the October 10 market crash, which resulted in over $19 billion in liquidations [6]. Market Dynamics - The ongoing liquidation trend suggests a structurally fragile market, exacerbated by intensified institutional outflows from mid-to-late October [7]. - Traders are increasingly engaging in high-leverage positions (20x–100x), where even a 2% price swing can lead to complete liquidation of trades [7].
Still Hope for Bulls: Crypto Daybook Americas
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-17 12:15
Market Overview - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing mixed sentiments, with privacy-focused coins like Monero (XMR) and Zcash (ZEC) declining over 4% in the last 24 hours, while major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and XRP remain stable after bouncing back from recent lows [1] - The CoinDesk DeFi Select and Smart Contract Select Indices have shown strength, increasing approximately 5% and 4% respectively since early Asian trading hours, indicating pockets of growth amid broader market caution [2] Zcash Performance - Zcash has surged over 500% since September, but is now showing signs of a potential bearish double top pattern, raising questions about whether a decline in ZEC could lead to a bounce in BTC and ETH [3] Institutional Adoption and Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency market is still in the early stages of institutional adoption, with potential incoming inflows that could significantly boost valuations, providing hope for Bitcoin bulls [4] - Arca's CIO Jeff Dorman has dismissed rumors regarding Michael Saylor liquidating his BTC holdings, asserting that Saylor's financial position would likely prevent him from selling unless there is a drastic drop in Bitcoin's value [4] Regulatory Developments - Bitget's chief analyst Ryan Lee emphasizes the importance of monitoring U.S. regulatory developments, particularly concerning exchange-traded funds (ETFs), stablecoin payment frameworks, and exchange oversight, as these factors could quickly shift investor sentiment back to a risk-on stance [5] Traditional Market Impact - In traditional markets, Japanese longer-dated government bond yields have surged due to reports of a potential stimulus package worth approximately 17 trillion yen ($110 billion), which could flood the market with bonds and increase yields, potentially impacting risk assets including cryptocurrencies [6]
Bitget 与 Tiger.com 达成合作,为日内交易者带来高速交易工具
Globenewswire· 2025-11-16 22:42
塞舌尔维多利亚, Nov. 17, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- 全球最大的全景交易所 (UEX) Bitget 宣布与专业交易终端 Tiger.com 达成全新合作关系。Tiger.com 致力于以精准、高速和策略驱动的设计,为专业交易者营造卓越的交易体验。 得益于此次合作,交易者可在数秒内通过 Tiger 平台直连 Bitget,从而畅享无缝衔接的日内交易与高级市场分析环境。 Tiger.com 深受全球逾 30 万用户青睐,支持加密货币、股票、期货和外汇交易,为重视平台性能与灵活性的交易者打造了一体化生态体系。 其全能型界面支持多元技术工具,包括可自定义的市场深度视图、集群与交易数据、搭载 60 余种指标的高级图表,以及完善的风险管理模块。 该平台亦配备训练模拟器和策略回放工具,助力交易者在真实市场环境中测试、学习并优化自身表现。 此次合作将 Bitget 的深度流动性、快速执行能力和机构级基础设施引入 Tiger 社区,使用户能够以顶尖专业水准的效率执行其策略。 Bitget 首席执行官 Gracy Chen 表示:“此次合作旨在为交易社区提供与其雄心相匹配的工具。 Bitget ...
Solana Memecoin Popcat Sees 500% Volume Surge Amid Hyperliquid DEX Manipulation Claims
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-12 21:06
Core Insights - Solana-based memecoin Popcat experienced a 500% increase in trading volume on November 12, driven by panic and speculation related to alleged market manipulation on Hyperliquid DEX [1] - The futures market data indicated over $63 million in long positions were liquidated within four hours, with $62 million from long-side liquidations, highlighting significant losses for bullish traders [2] - A notable whale position worth $21 million was wiped out, marking the largest single liquidation outside of Bitcoin and Ethereum during this period [2] Trading Metrics - Popcat's futures volume surged by 1109.6% to $1.2 billion on November 12, while open interest increased by 11.41% to $64.04 million [3] - The long-to-short ratio fell to 0.89, indicating a predominance of short sellers capitalizing on the market chaos [3] Price Movement - The price of Popcat declined by 10% intraday to $0.21, causing it to drop from the top ten ranked Solana memecoins [4] - Following a sharp rejection at $0.2127, Popcat experienced a steep 20% decline to $0.1324, indicating distribution pressure [5] Technical Indicators - Momentum indicators suggest a cooling bullish momentum, with the MACD histogram narrowing and the Relative Volatility Index (RVI) at 56.9, indicating indecision after excessive volatility [6] - Maintaining support above $0.1029 is crucial for bulls to prevent a deeper correction towards $0.0850, while a rebound above $0.1578 could restore short-term bullish sentiment [7]