4Q25 Earnings Supplement February 5, 2026 1 CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation may contain "forward-looking statements" made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements regarding ICE's business that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Although we believe the expectations reflected in these forward-looking ...

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Core Insights - CME Group reported revenue of $1.65 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, reflecting an 8.1% increase year-over-year and a surprise of +1.31% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.63 billion [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $2.77, up from $2.52 in the same quarter last year, with an EPS surprise of +0.91% compared to the consensus estimate of $2.75 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Average daily volume was 27.35 million, slightly below the average estimate of 27.49 million [4] - Average rate per contract for various segments: - Interest rates: $0.49, matching the estimate [4] - Equity indexes: $0.61, below the estimate of $0.64 [4] - Foreign exchange: $0.85, above the estimate of $0.83 [4] - Energy: $1.25, slightly above the estimate of $1.24 [4] - Agricultural commodities: $1.43, above the estimate of $1.42 [4] - Average daily volume for metals was 1.44 million, exceeding the estimate of 1.3 million [4] - Revenues from different segments: - Other: $112.8 million, above the estimate of $111.34 million, with a year-over-year change of +1.3% [4] - Market data and information services: $208 million, exceeding the estimate of $203.62 million, with a year-over-year change of +14.5% [4] - Clearing and transaction fees: $1.33 billion, slightly above the estimate of $1.32 billion, with a year-over-year change of +7.8% [4] Stock Performance - CME shares have returned +8.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.9% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - CME Group achieved record revenues of $6.5 billion in 2025, a 6% increase compared to 2024, with annual revenue records in five out of six asset classes [11] - Adjusted net income reached $4.1 billion, resulting in a 9% growth in adjusted earnings per share for the year [11] - In Q4 2025, revenue was $1.65 billion, an 8% increase from Q4 2024, with an adjusted operating margin of 67% [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average daily volume increased by 6% to 2,128.1 million contracts, with record volumes in interest rate, energy, metals, agricultural, and crypto complexes [5] - Market data revenue surpassed $800 million for the first time, up 13% from 2024 [11] - Micro products saw a 59% increase in Q4 to a record 4.4 million contracts per day [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International business averaged 8.4 million contracts per day, up 8% from the previous record set in 2024 [5] - Average daily margin savings for customers reached $80 billion, an increase of approximately $20 billion over the past year [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - CME Group is focused on innovation, launching Event Contracts to expand its customer base and provide greater access to markets [8] - The company plans to introduce 24/7 trading for its entire crypto suite and is evaluating whether other asset classes would benefit from 24/7 trading [10] - CME Securities Clearing is set to launch later this year, enhancing capital efficiencies for the industry [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the health of the customer base, noting that open positions are around 125 million and that retail and institutional segments are growing [18][19] - The macro landscape is complex, but CME Group remains focused on providing premier risk management tools [10] - The company is encouraged by strong activity in early 2026, continuing the momentum from a record-setting year [15] Other Important Information - CME Group repurchased $256 million in shares during Q4 and an additional $276 million in 2026 [12] - The board approved the use of OSTTRA proceeds for share repurchases over time [12] - The company expects total adjusted operating expenses to be approximately $1.695 billion in 2026 [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Health of customer base amid volatility - Management indicated that the customer base is healthy, with open positions and volume increases across all regions, despite raised margin requirements in the metals complex [18][19] Question: Engagement in prediction markets - Management noted strong interest from new individual participants and institutional market makers in prediction markets, indicating a robust pipeline for future engagement [25][26] Question: Pricing changes and market data - Management discussed a 3.5% rack rate increase for market data products and emphasized the importance of subscription revenue growth [35][37] Question: Cross-margining programs and treasury clearing - Management confirmed operational readiness for the CME FICC cross-margining program and discussed the anticipated benefits of treasury clearing for collateral balances [89][94] Question: Tokenized collateral and AI disintermediation risk - Management is exploring tokenized cash initiatives and believes AI will enhance rather than disrupt their data business [82][68]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - CME Group achieved record revenues of $6.5 billion in 2025, a 6% increase compared to 2024, with annual revenue records in five out of six asset classes [11] - Adjusted net income for 2025 was $4.1 billion, resulting in a 9% growth in adjusted earnings per share [11] - Average daily volume increased by 6% to 2,128.1 million contracts, marking the fifth consecutive year of record volume [5][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Market data revenue surpassed $800 million for the first time, up 13% from 2024 [11] - Average daily margin savings for customers reached $80 billion, an increase of approximately $20 billion over the past year [6] - Retail-focused products saw significant growth, with microproducts up 59% in Q4 to a record 4.4 million contracts per day [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International business averaged 8.4 million contracts per day, up 8% from the previous record set in 2024 [5] - Average daily volume in cryptocurrency trading reached 379,000, up 92% in Q4, representing over $13 billion in notional value traded per day [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - CME Group is focused on expanding its customer base through innovative products, including event contracts and 24/7 trading for cryptocurrency [8][10] - The company received approval for CME Securities Clearing, set to launch later this year, enhancing capital efficiencies for clients [7] - CME Group aims to continuously evolve its product offerings, requiring strategic investments for growth [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the health of the customer base, noting growth in both retail and institutional segments [18][19] - The company remains focused on providing premier risk management tools to navigate a complex macro landscape [10] - Management is encouraged by strong activity in early 2026, indicating a solid foundation for continued growth [101] Other Important Information - CME Group repurchased $256 million in shares during Q4 and an additional $276 million in 2026 [12] - The board approved the use of OSTTRA proceeds for share repurchases over time [12] - The company plans to evaluate transaction fees regularly, moving away from annual consolidated changes [13][39] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Health of customer base amid volatility - Management indicated that the customer base is healthy, with open positions around 125 million and significant growth in silver contracts despite margin changes [18][19] Question: Engagement with prediction markets - Management noted increased interest from new individual participants and institutional market makers in prediction markets since the launch [25][26] Question: Pricing changes and transparency - Management explained that pricing changes will be made based on business performance rather than a fixed schedule, allowing for more flexibility [44] Question: Progress on Google Cloud migration - The migration is on track, with $29 million spent in Q4 and around $100 million for the year related to cloud expenses [76][77] Question: Tokenized collateral and its implications - Management is exploring tokenized cash initiatives and will assess the risk associated with accepting different types of tokens for margin [82] Question: Cross-margining programs and collateral balances - CME Group's cross-margining program is operationally ready, with significant savings generated for participating firms, and the company anticipates further growth in collateral balances with new offerings [89][94]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - CME Group achieved record revenue of $6.5 billion in 2025, a 6% increase compared to 2024, with annual revenue records in five out of six asset classes [10] - Adjusted net income for 2025 was $4.1 billion, resulting in a 9% growth in adjusted earnings per share [10] - In Q4 2025, revenue reached $1.65 billion, an 8% increase from Q4 2024 [10][11] - Average daily volume increased 6% to 2,128.1 million contracts, marking the fifth consecutive year of record volume [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Market data revenue surpassed $800 million for the first time, up 13% from 2024 [10] - Average daily margin savings for customers reached $80 billion, an increase of approximately $20 billion over the past year [5] - Microproducts saw a 59% increase in Q4 to a record 4.4 million contracts per day [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International business averaged 8.4 million contracts per day, up 8% from the previous record set in 2024 [4] - Cryptocurrency trading volume in Q4 averaged 379,000 contracts, up 92%, representing over $13 billion in notional value traded per day [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - CME Group is focused on expanding its customer base through innovative products, including event contracts and 24/7 trading for cryptocurrencies [6][9] - The company received approval for CME Securities Clearing, set to launch in 2026, enhancing capital efficiencies for clients [5] - CME Group aims to continuously evolve its product offerings, requiring strategic investments for growth [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the health of the customer base, noting growth in both retail and institutional segments [18] - The macro landscape is becoming increasingly complex, but CME Group remains focused on providing premier risk management tools [9] - Strong activity in January 2026 indicates continued momentum from the record-setting year [9] Other Important Information - CME Group repurchased $256 million in shares during Q4 and an additional $276 million in 2026 [11] - The company paid dividends of approximately $3.9 billion in 2025 [12] - Transaction fee changes are expected to increase total revenue by approximately 1%-1.5% on similar activity to 2025 [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Health of customer base amid volatility - Management indicated that the customer base is healthy, with open positions around 125 million and strong performance in silver despite margin changes [17][18] Question: Engagement with prediction markets - CME Group has seen new individual participants and institutional market makers interested in prediction markets since the launch [25][26] Question: Pricing changes and transparency - Management stated that pricing changes will be made based on business performance rather than a fixed schedule, allowing for flexibility [44] Question: Google Cloud migration progress - Migration is on track, with $29 million spent in Q4 and approximately $100 million for the year related to Google Cloud [78] Question: Tokenized collateral and its implications - CME Group is exploring tokenized cash initiatives and will assess the risk associated with different types of tokens before acceptance [84][85] Question: Cross-margining programs and collateral balances - CME Group's cross-margining program is operationally ready, with significant savings generated for participating firms [90][96]

Financial Performance - CME Group reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $1.6 billion, with operating income of $1.0 billion and net income of $1.2 billion, resulting in diluted earnings per share of $3.24 [1][2] - For the full year 2025, total revenue reached $6.5 billion, with operating income of $4.2 billion and net income of $4.1 billion, leading to diluted earnings per share of $11.16 [2][3] Record Achievements - The company achieved its best year in history, marking the fourth consecutive year of record revenue, adjusted operating income, adjusted net income, and adjusted earnings per share [3] - Average daily volume (ADV) reached a record 28.1 million contracts, with commodities trading growing by 12% and financials by 5% [3][4] Revenue Breakdown - Clearing and transaction fees revenue for Q4 2025 totaled $1.3 billion, with an average rate per contract of $0.707 [5][19] - Market data revenue for Q4 2025 was $208 million, contributing to a record annual market data revenue of $803 million, up 13% from the previous year [5][8] Cash and Debt Position - As of December 31, 2025, CME Group had approximately $4.6 billion in cash and $3.4 billion in debt, with dividends paid amounting to approximately $3.9 billion in 2025 [6] Future Initiatives - The company plans to enhance average daily margin efficiencies of $80 billion provided to market users in Q4 and expand access through initiatives like U.S. Treasury clearing and 24/7 cryptocurrency trading [3]

Company Overview - Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) is a leading financial services company that operates global financial exchanges, clearing houses, and associated technology and data services, with a market cap of $99.1 billion [1] Stock Performance - The stock has underperformed the broader market over the past year but has outpaced it this year, with an increase of 8.4% over the past 52 weeks and 6.9% on a year-to-date (YTD) basis, compared to the S&P 500 Index's 15.5% gains over the past year and 1.9% returns YTD [2] - ICE has outperformed the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's (XLF) 1.4% decline in 2026 and around 5% gains over the past 52 weeks [3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, ICE reported net revenues of approximately $2.4 billion, reflecting a 3% year-over-year increase, while adjusted EPS was $1.71, about 10% higher than Q3 2024 [5] - Analysts expect ICE to deliver an EPS of $6.92 for the full fiscal 2025, which represents a 14% year-over-year increase [6] Earnings History - The company has a robust earnings surprise history, having surpassed the Street's bottom-line estimates in each of the past four quarters [6] Analyst Ratings - Among the 16 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," based on 12 "Strong Buy" ratings, one "Moderate Buy," and three "Holds" [7] - The current configuration is slightly less bullish than three months ago, when there were 13 "Strong Buy" ratings [8]

Key Takeaways Cboe is exploring an options-based product with all-or-none payouts. The push targets retail traders, and comes amid broader interest in prediction markets and event contracts. U.S. regulators are also moving on the category, with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission planning to draft new rules for “event contracts.” Cboe Global Markets is exploring a regulated options product that would deliver an “all-or-none” payout, according to a source familiar with the matter, as the excha ...

Cboe Global Markets正与零售经纪商洽谈，拟为散户重新推出"二元期权"，与预测市场展开竞争。Cboe 表示，与经纪商的谈判仍处于早期阶段。该交易所也在与将执行这些交易的做市商讨论其新合约计划， 其中可能包括经过改造的二元期权（有时也称固定回报合约）。交易员利用二元期权对某一特定事件进 行是/否押注。这些衍生品与预测市场合约非常相似，要么支付固定的现金结算金，要么分文不值。例 如，与标普500指数收于7000点挂钩的二元看涨期权到期时，若该指数的结算价达到或高于这一水平， 那么期权持有人将获得一笔固定报酬。然而，如果标普500指数收盘低于该点位，持有人将损失全部初 始押注。此举将使Cboe与预测市场展开直接竞争。过去一年，随著散户对高风险交易越来越习以为 常，并对自身预测从"超级碗"(Super Bowl)结果、股市走向到"金球奖"(Golden Globes)得主等各类新闻事 件的能力越来越有信心，Kalshi和Polymarket等平台的人气飙升。 来源：滚动播报 ...