Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Ryder will report quarterly earnings of $3.11 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.7%, while revenues are expected to be $3.17 billion, showing a decrease of 0.3% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.3% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts project 'Operating Revenue- Fleet Management Solutions' at $1.29 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +0.9% [5]. - The estimate for 'Operating Revenue- Dedicated Transportation Solutions' is $460.58 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 5% [5]. - 'Operating Revenue- Supply Chain Solutions' is expected to reach $1.02 billion, showing a change of +3.3% from the previous year [6]. - The estimate for 'Revenues- Fleet Management Solutions' is $1.47 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of -0.6% [7]. - 'Revenues- Dedicated Transportation Solutions' is projected at $604.69 million, reflecting a decrease of 4.8% from the prior year [8]. - 'Revenues- Fleet Management Solutions- ChoiceLease' is expected to reach $880.92 million, indicating a year-over-year change of +2.9% [9]. Key Metrics - 'Commercial rental - Rental Utilization - Power Units' is estimated at 68.0%, down from 69.0% a year ago [10]. - Over the past month, Ryder shares have returned +9.8%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.9% change [10].

Business Transformation and Financial Performance - Ryder's transformative actions have led to significantly higher earnings and an improved return profile, outperforming prior cycles[10] - The company expects post-transformation returns (2025F) to be well above pre-transformation peak returns (2018)[17] - A multi-year maintenance cost savings initiative aims for $50 million in savings[20] - Synergies from the Cardinal acquisition are expected to yield $40-60 million by 2026[20] Market Position and Growth Strategy - Ryder is a leader in North American logistics and transportation outsourcing, with significant growth opportunities from secular trends and large addressable markets[10] - The company's balanced growth strategy focuses on accelerating growth in higher-return Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS), with moderate growth and increased returns in Fleet Management Solutions (FMS)[14] - Ryder redeployed approximately 8,800 vehicles in 2024[29] Revenue and Cash Flow - Approximately 90% of Ryder's operating revenue is contractual, providing multi-year recurring operating cash flow[41] - The company forecasts free cash flow of $0.5 billion for 2025[48] - Ryder's total revenue for 2024 was $12.6 billion[24] Financial Targets - Ryder targets high single-digit operating revenue growth over the long term[59] - The company's long-term leverage goal is a debt-to-equity ratio between 2.5x and 3.0x[59]