Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the fourth quarter, consolidated pre-tax income was $1.2 billion on revenues of $9.7 billion, resulting in a pre-tax profit margin of 12.4% [5] - For the full year, consolidated pre-tax income was $4.7 billion with a pre-tax profit margin of 13.8% [5] - Net income for the quarter was $905.3 million or $3.04 per diluted share, while for the year, net income was $3.6 billion or $11.57 per diluted share on revenues of $34.3 billion [7] - The average closing sales price for the quarter was $365,600, down 1% sequentially and down 3% year over year [7] - The company generated $3.4 billion of cash from operations after making home building investments totaling $8.5 billion [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home sales revenues for the fourth quarter were $8.5 billion on 23,368 homes closed [7] - Net sales orders in the fourth quarter increased 5% year over year to 20,078 homes, with order value increasing 3% to $7.3 billion [8] - The average price of net sales orders in the fourth quarter was $364,900, flat sequentially and down 3% from the prior year [8] - Rental operations generated $81 million of pre-tax income on $805 million of revenues from the sale of 1,565 single-family rental homes and 1,815 multifamily rental units [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average number of active selling communities was up 1% sequentially and up 13% from the prior year [8] - The company’s home building lot position at year-end consisted of approximately 592,000 lots, with 25% owned and 75% controlled through purchase contracts [13] - In the Southeast region, particularly Florida, some markets like Jacksonville and Southwest Florida faced excess inventory issues [68] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on capital efficiency to generate strong operating cash flows and deliver compelling returns to shareholders [6] - The strategy includes tailoring product offerings and sales incentives based on demand in each market to maximize returns [6] - The company plans to purchase approximately $2.5 billion of its common stock during fiscal 2026, in addition to paying dividends of around $500 million [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects new home demand to reflect ongoing affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment [19] - For fiscal 2026, the company anticipates generating consolidated revenues of approximately $33.5 to $35 billion and homes closed to be in the range of 86,000 to 88,000 [19] - Management expressed a positive outlook for the housing market over the medium to long term despite current volatility and uncertainty in the economy [21] Other Important Information - The company’s return on equity was 14.6%, and return on assets was 10% [5] - The company repurchased 4.6 million shares of common stock for $689 million in the fourth quarter, totaling 30.7 million shares for $4.3 billion for the full year [17] - The company’s book value per share increased by 5% from a year ago to $82.15 [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: How to think about the walk from the 20% gross margin in Q4 to 20-20.5% in Q1? - Management indicated that the unusual impact from litigation is not expected to persist into Q1, and the guide reflects the current environment and level of incentives [24][26] Question: How quickly can the company ramp starts to meet demand? - Management acknowledged that starts were intentionally lower to align inventory and expressed confidence in their ability to respond to market demand [25][26] Question: Is the outlook for Q1 anticipating seasonal lightness in profitability? - Management expects rental operations to be softer in Q1, impacting consolidated operating margin due to lower closings volume [29][30] Question: Can you provide additional color on the Southeast region's performance? - Management noted that while some markets in Florida are struggling with inventory balance, there are still bright spots throughout the state [68] Question: What are the expectations for lot costs and stick and brick costs? - Management expects lot costs to remain sticky, but anticipates reductions in stick and brick costs as they renegotiate terms [50][51]

Core Points - Toll Brothers, Inc. has been recognized with six awards at the Colorado Springs Parade of Homes, including Best Overall Home for the Ridgway Contemporary design priced between $790,000 and $850,000 [1][5] - The Parade of Homes featured 32 homes from 16 builders, showcasing various price ranges and categories [2][3] Company Achievements - Toll Brothers received six awards for its homes in Colorado Springs, highlighting its excellence in home building [5][3] - The awards included Best Architectural Exterior for the Grace Elite Farmhouse, Best Primary Suite for both the Blodgett Farmhouse and Ridgway Contemporary, Best Interior Design for the Blodgett Farmhouse, and Best Kitchen for the Ridgway Contemporary [7] Home Features - The Grace Elite Farmhouse offers 1,842 square feet with 2 to 3 bedrooms and 2 to 3 bathrooms, located in a luxury townhome community with modern architecture and access to Cottonwood Creek Park [6] - The Blodgett Farmhouse features 1,953 square feet with 3 to 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, situated in a private, gated community [7] - The Ridgway Contemporary model provides 2,154 square feet of luxury living with 3 to 4 bedrooms and 2 to 3 bathrooms, located in a community with access to outdoor recreation and downtown [9] Company Background - Toll Brothers, Inc. is a Fortune 500 Company and the leading builder of luxury homes in the United States, founded in 1967 and publicly traded since 1986 [11] - The company operates in over 60 markets across 24 states and offers a range of services including architectural, engineering, and mortgage operations [11]

GE Aerospace - GE Aerospace's stock reached a record high of over $308 per share following strong quarterly results, driven by booming air travel demand and robust jet engine sales [2][5] - The company reported earnings of $1.66 per share, exceeding expectations, with revenue surpassing $12 billion, which was over $1 billion more than anticipated [3] - Profit increased by more than 30% year-over-year, and free cash flow also jumped 30%, indicating strong operational performance and improving margins [3][4] 3M - 3M's adjusted EPS was reported at $2.19, better than expected and up 10% year-over-year, with revenue reaching $6.3 billion, also exceeding forecasts [7] - The company experienced a 4% increase in revenue, supported by improved operating margins of over 22%, reflecting better efficiency and cost-cutting measures [7][8] - Product innovation played a significant role, with dozens of new products launched in the recent quarter [8] Housing Market (PI) - The housing market remains challenged, with high mortgage rates and inflation impacting buyer activity, leading to a 16% decline in profits for PI in the third quarter [10] - Earnings for PI were reported at $2.96 per share, which, despite being a beat, reflects a significant year-over-year drop [10] - Revenue was slightly better than expected at $4.4 billion but still down year-over-year, indicating ongoing difficulties in the housing sector [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - A pullback in the 10-year Treasury yield has positively impacted home builder stocks, providing relief to the sector [1] Group 1: Impact on Home Builder Stocks - The decline in the 10-year Treasury yield has led to an increase in home builder stock prices, indicating a favorable market environment for the industry [1]

The iShares U.S. Home Construction exchange-traded fund dropped below $100 for the first time since early August on Friday. The fund, which was 1.1% lower in midday trading, was on track for its worst week since June 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Concerns about buyer demand and housing supply are weighing on home-building stocks. The group is on track for its worst week since 2022. The group's tough week comes as investors worry about weak demand and higher-than-usual new supply. An Evercore ana ...

Core Insights - Toll Brothers, Inc. is launching a new luxury home community named Vista Oaks in Rocklin, California, on October 11, 2025, featuring 46 new construction homes in a prime location [1][4] Group 1: Community Features - Vista Oaks consists of one- and two-story luxury home designs with 4 to 5 bedrooms, 3.5 to 5.5 bathrooms, and up to 4,375 square feet of living space, with prices starting from $1.1 million [2][4] - The community is bordered by open space and mature trees, offering sophisticated architectural details and modern open floor plans [2] Group 2: Location and Accessibility - The community is situated near top-rated schools in the Rocklin Unified School District and is close to premium shopping and dining options, including Westfield Galleria at Roseville [5] - Vista Oaks has convenient access to Interstate 80, enhancing its appeal for commuters [5] Group 3: Company Background - Toll Brothers, Inc. is a Fortune 500 Company and the leading builder of luxury homes in the United States, operating in over 60 markets across 24 states [7] - The company has received multiple accolades, including being named one of Fortune magazine's World's Most Admired Companies for over 10 years and Builder of the Year by Builder magazine [8]

Core Insights - Toll Brothers, Inc. is launching a new luxury home community named Santa Rosa Valley Estates in Southern California, opening for pre-model pricing on October 4, 2025 [1][4] - The community features 18 luxury homes on equestrian home sites up to five acres, with prices starting from $2.9 million [2][1] - Homes in this community offer modern designs with sizes up to 6,000 square feet, including options for multigenerational living suites and detached casitas [2][4] Company Overview - Toll Brothers is recognized as the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, founded in 1967 and publicly traded since 1986 [9] - The company operates in over 60 markets across 24 states and the District of Columbia, serving various buyer segments including first-time and second-home buyers [9][10] - Toll Brothers has received multiple accolades, including being named one of Fortune magazine's World's Most Admired Companies for over 10 years [11]

Core Insights - Builders are sensitive to lumber pricing but are expected to manage the impact of new tariffs according to an analyst [1] Group 1: Lumber Pricing Sensitivity - The construction industry is notably affected by fluctuations in lumber prices, which can influence overall project costs and timelines [1] - Analysts suggest that despite the sensitivity, builders are likely to adapt to the new tariff environment without significant disruptions [1]

Group 1 - The anticipation of rate cuts from the Fed initially led to a rally among home builders, but the expected positive impact on the housing market has not materialized as hoped [1] - Lenar, a major home builder, reported third-quarter results that indicated continued softening in market conditions and affordability, contradicting investor expectations for improvement [2][3] - Lenar's revenue was weaker than expected, with lower deliveries and average selling prices that only met expectations, resulting in a housing gross margin of 17.5%, which is 30 basis points lower than anticipated and 500 basis points lower than the previous year [3] Group 2 - Despite delivering more units than expected, Lenar had to offer additional incentives to boost sales, which negatively impacted their gross margin [4] - The company aims to reduce promotional activities in the future, but there is uncertainty about whether this goal can be achieved [4]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenues of over $1.6 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.61, with a gross margin of 18.9% excluding inventory-related charges, exceeding guidance [5][29]. - Adjusted housing gross profit margin was 18.9%, which is 180 basis points lower than the previous year due to pricing pressure and higher land costs [30]. - The company grew its book value per share to over $60, an 11% year-over-year increase [6][36]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company delivered 3,393 homes in the quarter, exceeding the midpoint of guidance, while net orders totaled 2,950, a 4% decline [28][29]. - The average selling price decreased 1% to $475,700, with lower prices in the central and southeast regions offset by increases in the west coast and southwest regions [29]. - The company maintained SG&A expenses at 10% of housing revenues, with a slight increase from the previous year due to decreased operating leverage [30]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced stability in demand throughout the third quarter, with a cancellation rate stable at 17% [12][16]. - Mortgage interest rates declined by approximately 60 basis points, equating to about $30,000 of additional purchasing power at the average sales price [14]. - The company opened 32 new communities during the quarter, marking the highest performance in community openings in over a year [12][16]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to return to a historical range of built-to-order homes, which has averaged close to 70% over more than a decade, from around 50% currently [9][61]. - The focus is on optimizing assets to generate the highest returns while balancing pace and price based on local market conditions [8][10]. - The company plans to continue its share repurchase program and maintain a disciplined approach to land investments, having invested $514 million in land acquisition and development in the third quarter [25][26]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed a favorable long-term outlook for the housing market, driven by demographics and ongoing undersupply of homes [6][14]. - The company is cautious about the current environment, emphasizing the importance of managing costs and aligning overhead structure with delivery volume [5][30]. - Management indicated that the fourth quarter is typically a slower period, and they do not intend to aggressively pursue inventory sales [10][11]. Other Important Information - The company has returned more than $490 million in capital to shareholders this year, including approximately $440 million in share repurchases [4][26]. - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with total liquidity of $1.2 billion, including $331 million in cash [34][35]. - The company was recognized as the only home builder on Time Magazine's 2025 list of the world's best companies, highlighting employee satisfaction [27]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Order ASP decline and its implications - Management noted that the sequential decline in order ASP is largely driven by mix effects, with more deliveries coming from lower ASP regions [40][41]. Question: Demand and conversion of traffic to sales - Management indicated that while traffic remains steady, there has not been a significant uptick in orders, with buyers potentially waiting for further rate decreases [46]. Question: Gross margin expectations for the fourth quarter - Management clarified that strong construction performance contributed to the gross margin beat in the third quarter, and they are being thoughtful about fourth-quarter expectations [49][50]. Question: Built-to-order strategy and profitability - Management confirmed that they are seeing incremental improvement in the built-to-order mix and expect to return to a 70/30 ratio at higher margins over time [61][62]. Question: Inventory-related charges and land environment - Management discussed the current land environment and their ability to find new lots for future growth, emphasizing a selective approach to land investments [75].