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The Fed cut its interest rate, but long-term rates — including those on mortgages — went higher
CNBC· 2025-09-20 13:25
Group 1 - Longer-term Treasury yields increased sharply this week, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.145% and the 30-year yield at 4.76%, despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut [1][2][5] - The Fed's recent rate cut to a range of 4.00%-4.25% led to a surge in stock prices, but bond traders reacted by selling long-term bonds, resulting in higher yields [2][3] - The bond market's reaction indicates skepticism about the Fed's aggressive rate cuts amid persistent inflation above the 2% target, with inflation projected to rise slightly next year [4][5] Group 2 - Rising longer-term yields can impact mortgage rates and costs associated with major purchases, as mortgage rates increased following the Fed's rate cut [6] - Homebuilder Lennar reported disappointing revenue for Q3 and provided weak guidance for future deliveries, citing pressures from elevated interest rates in the housing market [8] - The bond market's movements are influenced by international yields and economic developments abroad, highlighting the importance of monitoring global economic conditions [10]
Wall Street Week Ahead-US housing shares shine as Fed restarts rate cuts
The Economic Times· 2025-09-20 03:50
Group 1 - The U.S. Federal Reserve has lowered its benchmark interest rate for the first time since December, indicating that more cuts may follow to support a struggling labor market [1][10] - The Fed's rate cut is expected to benefit interest-rate sensitive sectors, particularly small-cap stocks and consumer discretionary shares, with homebuilders being a notable beneficiary [2][10] - The S&P 500 reached record high levels, up over 13% year-to-date, following the Fed's decision to cut the benchmark rate by 0.25 percentage points to the 4-4.25% range [2][11] Group 2 - The PHLX Housing index has increased by 15% this quarter, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of over 7%, although it still lags behind on a year-to-date basis [5][11] - Major homebuilders such as DR Horton, KB Home, and Toll Brothers have seen significant gains, with DR Horton up over 30% and both KB Home and Toll Brothers up over 20% this quarter [5][11] - Home improvement retailers Lowe's and Home Depot have also performed well, with increases of approximately 20% and 13% respectively this quarter [5][11] Group 3 - The contract rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has fallen to 6.39%, the lowest since early October 2024, with projections suggesting it could approach 6% by year-end [6][11] - The housing market is currently facing challenges, with single-family homebuilding dropping to a near 2.5-year low in August, indicating weakness in the sector [11] - Investors are hopeful that lower mortgage rates could revitalize the housing market, with a target of bringing rates down to the 5% range being seen as crucial [7][11] Group 4 - The relationship between the Fed funds rate and mortgage rates is complex, as mortgage rates are more closely tied to the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, which was around 4.13%, down from 4.6% in May [8][11] - Upcoming economic data, including existing and new home sales, will provide further insights into the housing market, with a good housing turnover being beneficial for overall economic activity [9][11] - The Fed's approach to rate reductions remains uncertain due to persistent inflation, which could lead to volatility in economic data related to the labor market and inflation [9][11]
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-09-19 22:30
Financial Performance - Lennar's earnings missed estimates [1] Market Trends - The report points to weakness in the housing market [1] - Lennar's shares slid on Friday [1]
Why Housing Stocks Are a Buy Today
Investor Place· 2025-09-19 21:49
Core Insights - The housing sector is facing significant challenges, with new housing starts declining to an annual pace of 1.3 million, which is below economists' expectations [2][3] - The median U.S. home price is projected to reach $416,900 by 2025, while the median household income is around $83,150, resulting in a price-to-income multiple of 5X, indicating severe affordability issues [4][7] - A housing shortage has reached an all-time high of 4.7 million units, exacerbating the crisis as younger buyers are priced out and older homeowners are not selling [8] Government Response - The White House is considering measures to address the high cost of housing, with potential actions including declaring a national housing emergency, providing tariff relief, and offering incentives for first-time buyers [9][10] - These combined measures could significantly boost both supply and demand in the housing market within a year, potentially leading to a housing boom [11] Investment Opportunities - Key homebuilders identified for investment include Lennar, PulteGroup, DR Horton, KB Home, NVR, Toll Brothers, Meritage Homes, and Green Brick Partners, referred to as "blue chips" of the housing construction industry [12] - Housing technology companies like Zillow are also highlighted as potential investment opportunities, especially if more buyers enter the market [12] Interest Rate Outlook - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates four to five times over the next year, which could lower mortgage rates significantly from the current range of 6-7% [15][17] - Lower mortgage rates could improve affordability for buyers but may also lead to increased demand and higher prices in a tight market [19] Additional Investment Considerations - Companies like Opendoor, Compass, and Rocket Mortgage are positioned to benefit from a potential housing boom and falling mortgage rates, with Rocket Mortgage expected to dominate the refinancing space [21]
LGI Homes Opens New Community near Olympia, WA
Globenewswire· 2025-09-19 21:00
Core Insights - LGI Homes, Inc. has announced the Grand Opening of Shelm Meadows, a new community in Yelm, Washington, featuring upgraded homes starting from the $490s [1][2] - This marks LGI Homes' return to Thurston County since 2019, emphasizing their commitment to building high-quality homes at affordable prices [2] - Shelm Meadows will offer 90 new homes with sizes ranging from approximately 1,300 to 2,800 square feet, equipped with LGI Homes' CompleteHome™ interior package [3] Company Overview - LGI Homes is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, and operates in 36 markets across 21 states, having closed over 75,000 homes since its founding in 2003 [7] - The company has consistently delivered profitable financial results and has been recognized for its quality construction and customer service [7] - LGI Homes has received numerous workplace awards, including the Top Workplaces USA 2025 Award, reflecting its commitment to excellence [7] Community Features - Shelm Meadows will include amenities such as park space with playgrounds, gazebos, and picnic areas, set to open in Spring 2026 [5] - Residents will have direct access to the Yelm Prairie Line Trail for walking, running, and cycling, enhancing the community's appeal [5] - The community is strategically located for easy access to major cities like Olympia and Tacoma, combining small-town charm with urban convenience [5] Home Specifications - The community will feature a variety of floor plans, including homes with 3, 4, and 5 bedrooms, designed for family living [3][10] - Notable home features include luxury vinyl plank flooring, upgraded kitchen appliances, and programmable thermostats, all included at no extra cost [3] - Specific models include The Beech (1,343 sq. ft.), The Bainbridge (1,431 sq. ft.), and The Whidbey (2,776 sq. ft.), showcasing diverse options for potential homeowners [10]
LGI Homes Opens New Community near Olympia, WA
Globenewswire· 2025-09-19 21:00
Core Insights - LGI Homes has announced the Grand Opening of Shelm Meadows, a new community in Yelm, Washington, featuring upgraded homes starting from the $490s [1][2] - This marks LGI Homes' return to Thurston County for the first time since 2019, emphasizing the company's commitment to building high-quality homes at affordable prices [2] Company Overview - LGI Homes is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, and operates in 36 markets across 21 states, having closed over 75,000 homes since its founding in 2003 [7] - The company has consistently delivered profitable financial results and has been recognized for its quality construction and customer service [7][9] Community Features - Shelm Meadows will offer 90 new homes with 3-, 4-, and 5-bedroom options, ranging from approximately 1,300 to 2,800 square feet, featuring LGI Homes' CompleteHome™ interior package [3] - The community will include amenities such as park space, playgrounds, and direct access to the Yelm Prairie Line Trail for outdoor activities [5] Floor Plans - Various floor plans available at Shelm Meadows include: - The Beech: 1,343 sq. ft. | 3 bed / 2.5 bath - The Bainbridge: 1,431 sq. ft. | 3 bed / 2 bath - The Cypress: 1,623 sq. ft. | 3 bed / 2.5 bath - The Hawthorn: 1,843 sq. ft. | 4 bed / 2.5 bath - The Mercer: 2,378 sq. ft. | 4 bed / 2.5 bath - The Whidbey: 2,776 sq. ft. | 5 bed / 3 bath [8] Upcoming Events - The Grand Opening of Shelm Meadows is scheduled for September 20, 2025, with exclusive discounts and incentives available for a limited time [6]
Wall Street Extends Gains: Tech Rally Continues Amid Fed Optimism and Key Corporate Moves
Stock Market News· 2025-09-19 18:07
Market Performance - The U.S. stock market is experiencing an upward trend, with major indexes reaching record highs, driven by optimism from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and strong technology sector performance [1][2] - The Nasdaq Composite led gains, up approximately 0.5%, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both increased by about 0.3% [2] - The small-cap Russell 2000 index hit a record high, marking its seventh consecutive weekly gain, indicating renewed investor confidence in the domestic economy [2] Sector Performance - Technology stocks are leading the market, continuing their strong momentum, while consumer discretionary stocks also performed well [3] - Energy stocks saw a decline, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.14% [3] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00-4.25%, the first cut of 2025, driven by concerns over a weakening labor market [4] - Expectations for further rate cuts are high, with projections for two more 25 basis point reductions by the end of the year [4] Upcoming Economic Data - The upcoming week will feature flash PMI surveys and the release of the U.S. core PCE price index, which are critical for assessing growth, jobs, and inflation [5] - Revised U.S. GDP numbers and consumer confidence data will also be closely monitored [5] Geopolitical Developments - A scheduled phone call between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping may lead to a broader trade deal, contributing to optimism for multinational companies and exporters [6] Major Corporate News - Nvidia plans to invest $5 billion in Intel to co-develop data center and PC chips, highlighting significant commitments to AI infrastructure [7] - Apple shares rose 3.2% as new iPhone 17 models launched globally [7] - FedEx's stock advanced 2.5% after reinstating its full-year outlook and reporting stronger-than-expected profits [7][8] - Lennar's shares fell almost 4% due to quarterly revenue and profit missing expectations [12] - Cracker Barrel's shares declined 7.6% after reporting earnings that missed analyst estimates [12] - FactSet's shares plummeted 10.4% after lagging consensus estimates for earnings [12] - Darden Restaurants' stock tumbled 7.7% after missing analyst expectations for earnings [12] - Newmont's stock rose 4.1% after selling its investment in Orla Mining for $439 million [12] - Scholastic shares were down about 12% despite a nearly 30% increase in 2025 prior to the session [12] - Ricoh was recognized in TIME World's Best Companies 2025 list for employee engagement and sustainability [12] - Louis Dreyfus Company reported resilient performance with net sales of $26.2 billion for the six-month period ended June 30, 2025 [12] - Huawei launched FinAgent Booster and showcased solutions for financial institutions at HUAWEI CONNECT 2025 [12]
Crude Oil Down 1%; Lennar Earnings Miss Views - Barfresh Food Group (NASDAQ:BRFH), AGM Group Holdings (NASDAQ:AGMH)
Benzinga· 2025-09-19 18:04
Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced gains, with the Nasdaq Composite increasing by approximately 100 points on Friday. The Dow rose by 0.34% to 46,297.65, the NASDAQ increased by 0.45% to 22,572.34, and the S&P 500 gained 0.31% to 6,652.30 [1] - Consumer discretionary shares saw a rise of 0.8%, while energy stocks fell by 1% on the same day [1] Company Performance - Lennar Corp. reported weaker-than-expected third-quarter results, with adjusted earnings of $2 per share, missing the consensus estimate of $2.10. Quarterly revenue was $8.81 billion, below the Street estimate of $8.99 billion [2] Commodity Market - In commodity news, oil prices decreased by 1.2% to $62.80, while gold prices increased by 0.3% to $3,690.40. Silver rose by 1.1% to $42.575, and copper saw a slight increase of 0.2% to $4.6080 [5] Stock Movements - AGM Group Holdings Inc. saw a significant increase in shares, rising 378% to $10.67 after announcing the sale of Nanjing Lucun Semiconductor Co. Ltd. for $57.45 million [8] - Barfresh Food Group, Inc. shares surged by 10% to $4.2201 following an increase in revenue guidance for FY26 and an upward revision of FY25 sales guidance [8] - ZOOZ Power Ltd. shares increased by 33% to $3.11 after shareholder approval for a $180 million private placement [8] - Reviva Pharmaceuticals Holdings, Inc. shares dropped by 38% to $0.2615 after announcing a $9 million offering of common shares and warrants [8] - ChowChow Cloud International shares fell by 17% to $4.45 amid post-IPO volatility [8] - Hess Midstream LP shares decreased by 9% to $35.81 after the company revised its financial outlook due to a slowdown in drilling activity by Chevron Corp [8] International Markets - European shares were mostly higher, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 rising by 0.06% and Spain's IBEX 35 Index increasing by 0.64%. However, Germany's DAX 40 fell by 0.02% [6] - Asian markets closed mostly lower, with Japan's Nikkei declining by 0.57% and China's Shanghai Composite falling by 0.30% [9]
Crude Oil Down 1%; Lennar Earnings Miss Views
Benzinga· 2025-09-19 18:04
Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced gains, with the Nasdaq Composite increasing by approximately 100 points on Friday [1] - The Dow rose by 0.34% to 46,297.65, the NASDAQ increased by 0.45% to 22,572.34, and the S&P 500 gained 0.31% to 6,652.30 [1] - Consumer discretionary shares saw a rise of 0.8%, while energy stocks fell by 1% [1] Company Performance - Lennar Corp. reported weaker-than-expected third-quarter results, with adjusted earnings of $2 per share, missing the consensus estimate of $2.10 [2] - Quarterly revenue for Lennar was $8.81 billion, falling short of the Street estimate of $8.99 billion [2] Commodity Market - Oil prices decreased by 1.2% to $62.80, while gold prices increased by 0.3% to $3,690.40 [5] - Silver rose by 1.1% to $42.575, and copper saw a slight increase of 0.2% to $4.6080 [5] European Market - European shares were mostly higher, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 rising by 0.06% and Spain's IBEX 35 Index increasing by 0.64% [6] - London's FTSE 100 rose by 0.02%, while Germany's DAX 40 fell by 0.02% and France's CAC 40 climbed by 0.43% [6] Notable Stock Movements - AGM Group Holdings Inc. saw a significant increase in shares, rising by 378% to $10.67 after announcing the sale of Nanjing Lucun Semiconductor Co. Ltd. for $57.45 million [8] - Barfresh Food Group, Inc. shares surged by 10% to $4.2201 following an increase in revenue guidance [8] - ZOOZ Power Ltd. shares rose by 33% to $3.11 after shareholder approval for a $180 million private placement [8] - Reviva Pharmaceuticals Holdings, Inc. shares dropped by 38% to $0.2615 after announcing a $9 million offering [8] - Hess Midstream LP shares fell by 9% to $35.81 due to a cut in financial and operational outlook [8] Asian Market Performance - Asian markets closed mostly lower, with Japan's Nikkei declining by 0.57%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng gaining slightly by 0.0009%, China's Shanghai Composite falling by 0.30%, and India's BSE Sensex decreasing by 0.47% [9]