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CarMax: Tariffs Support Q1 But Credit Headwinds Persist (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-20 15:47
Core Viewpoint - CarMax, Inc. has experienced a decline in share value, losing approximately 10% and nearing a 52-week low due to challenges related to higher prices impacting its performance [1] Company Performance - The quarterly earnings report is anticipated amidst the company's struggles with pricing pressures [1] Market Context - The company has been identified as a poor performer in the current market environment, reflecting broader challenges within the industry [1]
CarMax's Q1 Sales Go Into Overdrive
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-20 15:46
Here's our initial take on CarMax's (KMX 5.74%) fiscal 2026 first-quarter financial report.Key MetricsMetricQ1 FY 2025Q1 FY 2026Changevs. ExpectationsTotal revenue$7.11 billion$7.55 billion+6%BeatAdjusted earnings per share$0.97$1.38+42%BeatRetail used vehicle unit sales211,132230,210+9%n/aAverage used vehicle price$26,526$26,120-1.5%n/aCarMax Stays Strong Across the BusinessThere were a lot of good things to see in CarMax's financial report for the first quarter of its 2026 fiscal year. Total vehicle unit ...
CarMax Stock Pops After Strong Q1 Results
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-20 14:44
Used-car stock CarMax Inc (NYSE:KMX) is up 3.2% at $66.41, after the company's better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and revenue results. The retailer reported its biggest jump in used vehicle sales since late 2021 with 230,000 sold this past quarter. The stock opened at $70.27 before paring gains, a level that rejected the shares in mid-May as well. Struggling to remove itself from a May 23, 52-week low of $61.34, KMX is down 18.6% in 2025. So far today, KMX has seen 7,414 calls and 3,713 puts excha ...
CarMax (KMX) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 14:31
CarMax (KMX) reported $7.55 billion in revenue for the quarter ended May 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 6.1%. EPS of $1.38 for the same period compares to $0.97 a year ago.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.52 billion, representing a surprise of +0.40%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +16.95%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.18.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expec ...
CarMax Loan Delinquencies Tick Higher In May, Signaling Renewed Credit Strain
Benzinga· 2025-06-18 19:17
Core Viewpoint - Recent data from CarMax KMX Auto Finance indicates a rise in loan delinquencies and net losses, raising concerns about credit quality in the used auto lender's portfolio [1][4]. Summary by Sections Loan Performance - After two months of stability, loan delinquency and loss rates have worsened, with May showing a sharper increase than typical seasonal trends [2][3]. - The portfolio-level delinquency rate increased by 36 basis points sequentially, exceeding the historical seasonal average of 18 basis points [7]. - Year-over-year, the portfolio-level delinquency rate rose by 16 basis points, contrasting with a trailing three-month trend of a decrease of 2 basis points [8]. Credit Quality Concerns - The cumulative net loss rate increased by 52 basis points year-over-year, consistent with a trailing three-month trend of 48 basis points [8]. - Newer securitizations are not performing better than older vintages, with the delinquency rate for the most recent prime securitization trending higher than older vintages [5][4]. Analyst Insights - Analyst Scott Devitt maintains an Outperform rating on CarMax with a price target of $90, despite the concerns raised by the recent data [1]. - Devitt projects first-quarter revenue of $7.67 billion and earnings per share of $1.23 [10]. - The company is expected to face increased loan loss provisions as it targets lower-tier borrowers to maintain interest margins [6][4]. Market Dynamics - Despite the challenges, the used auto market remains healthy, supported by strong gross profit margins for scaled retailers [9][10]. - CarMax has sustained robust sourcing methods and integrated credit capabilities, which have helped maintain performance amid macroeconomic uncertainties [10].
Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp CarMax Expectations Ahead Of Q1 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-06-18 15:53
Financial Performance - CarMax is set to release its first-quarter financial results on June 20, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.17 per share, an increase from $0.97 per share in the same period last year [1] - The company projects quarterly revenue of $7.53 billion, compared to $7.11 billion a year earlier [1] - CarMax reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter on April 10 [1] Stock Performance - CarMax shares fell by 2.2%, closing at $64.43 on Tuesday [2] Analyst Ratings - Wedbush analyst Scott Devitt reiterated an Outperform rating with a price target of $90 [4] - RBC Capital analyst Steven Shemesh maintained an Outperform rating but reduced the price target from $103 to $80 [4] - JP Morgan analyst Rajat Gupta maintained an Underweight rating and lowered the price target from $72 to $65 [4] - Truist Securities analyst Scot Ciccarelli maintained a Hold rating and increased the price target from $72 to $88 [4] - Oppenheimer analyst Brian Nagel maintained an Outperform rating with a price target of $105 [4]
Exploring Analyst Estimates for CarMax (KMX) Q1 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 14:16
Core Viewpoint - CarMax (KMX) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.22 per share, a 25.8% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $7.56 billion, reflecting a 6.3% year-over-year growth [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised upward by 0.9% over the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their projections [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are linked to short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue and Sales Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net sales - Wholesale vehicles' to reach $1.31 billion, a 4.7% increase from the prior year [5]. - 'Net sales - Other' is projected at $189.91 million, indicating a 5.8% year-over-year change [5]. - 'Net sales - Used vehicles' is expected to be $6.05 billion, reflecting a 6.6% increase year-over-year [5]. - The consensus for 'Other sales and revenues - Extended protection plan revenues' stands at $129.56 million, a 9.1% increase from the previous year [6]. Store and Unit Sales Estimates - Analysts project a total of 251 stores, up from 245 in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Unit sales - Total vehicles' are expected to reach 378,575, compared to 358,817 a year ago [9]. - 'Unit sales - Used vehicles' is estimated at 224,745, up from 211,132 in the previous year [9]. Profitability Metrics - 'Revenue per vehicle retailed (ASP) - Used vehicles' is forecasted to be $26.84 thousand, compared to $26.53 thousand last year [7]. - 'Gross Profit per Unit - Used vehicles gross profit' is expected to be $2,384.83, up from $2,347 last year [7]. - 'Gross Profit per Unit - Wholesale vehicles gross profit' is projected at $1,070.91, compared to $1,064 last year [8]. - 'Revenue per vehicle retailed (ASP) - Wholesale vehicles' is expected to be $8.29 thousand, compared to $8.09 thousand last year [10]. Market Performance - CarMax shares have decreased by 3.5% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of 1.7% [10]. - CarMax holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [11].
Car-Mart(CRMT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-12 14:02
America’s Car-Mart (CRMT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call June 12, 2025 09:00 AM ET Company Participants Vickie Judy - Chief Accounting OfficerDouglas Campbell - CEO & PresidentJonathan Collins - CFOJamie Fischer - COOKyle Joseph - Managing DirectorJohn Murphy - Managing Director Conference Call Participants Vincent Caintic - MD & Finance Analyst Vickie Judy I'm Vicky Judy, the company's chief accounting officer. Welcome to America's Car Mart's Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year twenty twenty five Earnings Call for the perio ...
Car-Mart(CRMT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-12 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a net income of $17.9 million for the fiscal year 2025, a significant improvement of over $49 million from a net loss of $31.4 million in the previous year [11] - Gross margin for Q4 increased to 36.4%, up from 35.5% in the prior year, with a full-year gross margin of 36.7%, reflecting a 200 basis point improvement [24][25] - Net charge-offs as a percentage of average finance receivables improved to 6.9% in Q4 from 7.3% in the prior year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company sold 57,022 units for the full year, a decrease of 1.7% year-over-year, but Q4 saw a 2.6% increase in unit sales volume [21] - Interest income increased by 4.2% in Q4, contributing to incremental revenue growth despite a decrease in vehicle sales price [21] - The average time to repossession improved by 14% compared to the same period in the prior year, indicating better customer retention [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average selling price of vehicles decreased by $316 to $17,240 in Q4, yet the company managed to drive a 1.5% increase in revenue compared to the prior year [21] - The company experienced a tighter supply environment, with procurement costs increasing by approximately $300 per unit due to tariffs [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing its collections infrastructure and has relaunched the "Pay Your Way" platform to provide more flexible payment options for customers [12][13] - A new seven by seven underwriting scorecard has been implemented to improve risk assessment and pricing strategies, which is expected to enhance credit performance [15][19] - The company aims to leverage its balance sheet and integrated sales and financing model to capture additional market share and drive future growth [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the dynamic used car market and emphasized the importance of diversifying underwriting to expand the asset base [34][35] - The leadership team acknowledged the ongoing challenges posed by a tighter supply environment but remains optimistic about the company's strategic initiatives and growth opportunities [36] Other Important Information - The company successfully closed a term securitization, issuing $216 million in asset-backed notes with a weighted average coupon of 6.27%, reflecting improved investor confidence [9] - SG&A expenses increased by 8.6% due to investments in technology and talent, but the company achieved a 6.1% increase in SG&A per customer, indicating improved cost efficiency [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of macroeconomic factors on business - Management noted that the speculative nature of the wholesale environment began affecting pricing towards the end of the quarter, but overall sales growth is seen as sustainable rather than a pull forward from tax season [40][41] Question: Updates on operational upgrades and partnerships - Management highlighted that gross profit margins have improved, and they are optimistic about the ongoing partnership with Cox Automotive to enhance operational efficiency [46][47] Question: Effects of risk-based pricing on P&L - The rollout of risk-based pricing is expected to improve returns on lower-ranked customers while also driving volume growth among higher-quality customers [53][54] Question: Condition of low-end consumers - Management indicated that while there are signs of strain on consumers, there are no significant cracks in the foundation yet, and the company remains a competitive option for financing [70][73] Question: Future direction of underwriting changes - Management is exploring opportunities to move upmarket while ensuring that core customers continue to have access to financing options [75][78] Question: Capital markets success and its impact - The company is focused on maturing its capital structure and has successfully securitized over $2 billion in receivables, which is expected to lower interest rates and fuel growth [82][84]
America's Car-Mart Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Results
Globenewswire· 2025-06-12 11:30
Core Insights - America's Car-Mart, Inc. reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended April 30, 2025, highlighting a period of transformation and groundwork for future growth [1][4]. Fourth Quarter Key Highlights - Total revenue increased by 1.5% to $370.2 million, driven by a 2.6% increase in sales volumes to 15,649 units and a 4.2% increase in interest income [6][11]. - Gross margin percentage improved by 90 basis points to 36.4%, attributed to optimization in vehicle pricing and procurement strategies [12][21]. - Net charge-offs as a percentage of average finance receivables improved to 6.9% from 7.3% [13][21]. - Diluted earnings per share rose to $1.26 compared to $0.06 in the previous year [6][31]. Full Year Key Highlights - Total revenue for the fiscal year was $1.4 billion, a slight decrease of 0.2% or $3.0 million from the previous year [6][33]. - Sales volumes decreased by 1.7% to 57,022 units, while interest income increased by 5.0% to $244.7 million [6][33]. - Gross margin percentage increased by 200 basis points to 36.7% [6][33]. - Net charge-offs as a percentage of average finance receivables improved to 25.9% from 27.2% [6][33]. - Active customer count increased by 2.4% to 104,682 [6][33]. Management Commentary - The President and CEO emphasized the company's agility and focus on long-term success, highlighting key accomplishments such as the expansion of the loan origination system and improvements in gross margins [4][19]. Financial Metrics - Interest expense decreased by 2.2%, while total collections increased by 3.7% to $714.1 million for the fiscal year [6][33]. - The allowance for credit losses improved to 23.25% from 25.32% year-over-year, reflecting favorable performance in contracts under enhanced underwriting standards [14][34]. - The company completed a term securitization transaction on May 29, 2025, issuing $216 million of asset-backed notes [19].