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Understanding Agco (AGCO) Reliance on International Revenue
ZACKS· 2025-05-13 14:22
Core Insights - Agco's international operations are critical for understanding its financial strength and growth potential, especially in the context of a highly interconnected global economy [2][3] - The company's total revenue for the recent quarter was $2.05 billion, reflecting a significant decline of 30% year-over-year [4] International Revenue Breakdown - Europe/Middle East contributed $1.33 billion, accounting for 64.89% of total revenue, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.31 billion by +1.48%. This segment's contribution decreased from $1.88 billion (65.21%) in the previous quarter and $1.73 billion (59.04%) in the same quarter last year [5] - South America accounted for 11.21% of total revenue, translating to $229.9 million, with a surprise of +38.79% compared to the expected $165.65 million. This was a decline from $282 million (9.77%) in the previous quarter and $303.4 million (10.36%) in the same quarter last year [6] - Asia/Pacific/Africa contributed $94.5 million, or 4.61% of total revenue, which was a -27.2% surprise against the expected $129.82 million. This was a decrease from $175.7 million (6.09%) and $166.7 million (5.69%) in the previous and year-ago quarters, respectively [7] Future Revenue Projections - Analysts project total revenue for the current fiscal quarter to reach $2.49 billion, down 23.2% from the same quarter last year. The anticipated breakdown includes Europe/Middle East at 67.1% ($1.67 billion), South America at 10.1% ($251.27 million), and Asia/Pacific/Africa at 5.5% ($137.32 million) [8] - For the full year, total revenue is expected to be $9.59 billion, a decrease of 17.8% from the previous year, with contributions from Europe/Middle East (64.6% or $6.2 billion), South America (11.5% or $1.11 billion), and Asia/Pacific/Africa (5.9% or $563.15 million) [9] Market Trends and Stock Performance - Agco's reliance on international markets presents both opportunities and challenges, necessitating close monitoring of international revenue trends to project future performance [10] - Over the past four weeks, Agco's stock value increased by 22.8%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 9.1% rise. In the last three months, the stock appreciated by 7.5%, while the S&P 500 declined by 3.1% [12]
AGCO Corp Earnings Surpasses Estimates in Q1, Shares Rise 11%
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 17:40
Core Viewpoint - AGCO Corp reported a significant decline in net sales and earnings in Q1 2025, but the stock has gained 11% since the earnings announcement on May 1, indicating market optimism despite the poor performance metrics [1][2]. Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for Q1 2025 was 41 cents, down from $2.32 in the prior-year quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 3 cents [1] - Net sales decreased by 30% year over year to $2.05 billion, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.02 billion; excluding currency impacts, the decline was 27.6% [2] - Cost of sales fell 29.1% year over year to $1.53 billion, while gross profit decreased 32.4% to $521 million, resulting in a gross margin of 25.4%, down from 26.3% a year ago [2] Operating Expenses and Margins - Selling, general and administrative expenses were $326 million, down from $350 million in the prior-year quarter; adjusted income from operations fell 70.3% to $83 million, with an operating margin of 4.1% compared to 9.6% a year earlier [3] Segment Performance - North America segment sales dropped 34.2% to $396 million, resulting in an operating loss of $19.8 million [3] - South America segment sales decreased 15.8% to $230 million, with operating income falling to $2 million [4] - EME segment sales were $1.33 billion, down from $1.71 billion, but exceeded estimates; operating income was $154 million, down from $295 million [5] - Asia/Pacific segment sales fell 36% to $94.5 million, resulting in an operating loss of $2.7 million [6] Cash Flow and Guidance - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $563 million as of March 31, 2025, from $613 million at the end of 2024; net cash used in operating activities was $212 million [7] - AGCO expects net sales of $9.6 billion for 2025, projecting an EPS of $4.00-$4.50, anticipating lower sales volumes but planning to mitigate tariff impacts [8] Stock Performance - AGCO shares have lost 16% over the past year, contrasting with the industry's growth of 14.1% [10]
Is Trending Stock Deere & Company (DE) a Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 14:05
Core Viewpoint - Deere has been gaining attention in the market, with its stock performance outpacing the broader S&P 500 index and the farm equipment industry, raising questions about its future trajectory [2]. Earnings Estimates - Deere is expected to report earnings of $5.68 per share for the current quarter, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -33.4%. The consensus estimate for the current fiscal year is $18.89, indicating a -26.3% change [5][6]. - The consensus earnings estimate for the next fiscal year is $21.17, which represents a +12.1% increase compared to the previous year [6]. Revenue Projections - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $10.65 billion, showing a year-over-year decrease of -21.8%. For the current and next fiscal years, the sales estimates are $38.23 billion and $40.52 billion, indicating changes of -14.6% and +6%, respectively [11]. Recent Performance - In the last reported quarter, Deere's revenues were $6.81 billion, down -35.1% year-over-year, with an EPS of $3.19 compared to $6.23 a year ago. The reported revenues fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.7 billion by -11.51% [12]. - The company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters and has exceeded revenue estimates three times during this period [13]. Valuation Metrics - Deere's valuation metrics suggest it is trading at a premium compared to its peers, receiving a Zacks Value Style Score of D, indicating potential overvaluation [17].
Is Most-Watched Stock Deere & Company (DE) Worth Betting on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-25 14:05
Core Viewpoint - Deere's stock performance has been closely monitored, with a recent return of -3.2% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500's -4.8% and the Zacks Manufacturing - Farm Equipment industry's -4% [1] Earnings Estimate Revisions - For the current quarter, Deere is expected to report earnings of $5.68 per share, reflecting a -33.4% change year-over-year, with a consensus estimate change of -1.1% over the last 30 days [4] - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year is $18.91, indicating a -26.2% change from the previous year, with a -2% change in the estimate over the last 30 days [4] - For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimate is $21.22, showing a +12.2% change from the prior year, with a -2.7% change in the estimate over the past month [5] - Deere holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) due to the recent changes in consensus estimates and other related factors [6] Projected Revenue Growth - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $10.65 billion, indicating a -21.8% year-over-year change [10] - For the current fiscal year, the sales estimate is $38.23 billion, reflecting a -14.6% change, while the next fiscal year's estimate of $40.56 billion indicates a +6.1% change [10] Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Deere's revenues were $6.81 billion, down -35.1% year-over-year, with an EPS of $3.19 compared to $6.23 a year ago [11] - The reported revenues were -11.51% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.7 billion, while the EPS surprise was +1.92% [11] - Deere has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters and topped revenue estimates three times during this period [12] Valuation - Deere is graded D on the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at a premium compared to its peers [16]