Paul, it seems that markets of various states are thinking very hard about things around the release of the statement and the press conference yesterday. Maybe risk assets just woke up this morning and said, okay, well, we'll take that more rate cuts. What did you take away from the Fed.Well, we could probably make this a ten minute hit rather than a three minute countdown to unpack everything that went on with the Fed on it. But I'll give you a couple of my thoughts on it. A couple of takeaways.One, the Fe ...

Monetary Policy Outlook - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise interest rates in October, regardless of the outcome of the ruling party's leadership race, particularly if Sanae Takaichi becomes the next premier [1][2] - Former BOJ executive Tomoyuki Shimoda believes that Takaichi's potential victory will have a limited impact on monetary policy, despite her advocacy for increased fiscal spending [2][3] Currency and Economic Impact - A weak yen, which boosts exports, raises concerns for policymakers due to increased import costs and persistent inflation above the BOJ's 2% target [3][4] - The yen falling below 150 to the dollar could provoke complaints from the U.S. administration, which favors a weak-dollar policy to enhance U.S. exports [4] Economic Indicators - The BOJ is expected to raise rates at its meeting on October 29-30 if stock prices remain stable and the "tankan" business sentiment survey does not show significant deterioration [4][5] - Corporate profits are stable, and structural labor shortages are likely to drive wage increases, contributing to sustained inflation [5] Market Expectations - A Reuters poll indicates that a majority of economists anticipate a 25-basis-point rate hike by year-end, with opinions divided on the timing, focusing on October and January [6] - Takaichi is associated with an "Abenomics"-style approach, which combines fiscal and monetary stimulus, while her main rival, Shinjiro Koizumi, has unclear views on BOJ policy [6][7] Historical Context - The BOJ ended its extensive stimulus program last year and raised short-term rates to 0.5% in January, believing Japan was close to achieving its 2% inflation target [7]

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday explained why the three missions Congress imposed on the central bank add up to two in real-world conditions. ...

However, Mr Powell said his colleagues’ forecasts were “subject to uncertainty” and insisted monetary policy was “not on a pre-set path”.Markets are anticipating another couple of cuts from the Fed by the year’s end, with more to follow in 2026. In its statement announcing the September rate cut, the Fed said only that it would “carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks”. About half the Fed’s rate-setters expect another two or more quarter-point cuts this year, taking th ...

Summary of Federal Reserve System Update / Briefing September 17, 2025 Key Points Related to the Federal Reserve and Economic Conditions Economic Growth and Employment - The Federal Reserve noted a moderation in economic activity, with GDP growth at approximately 1.5% in the first half of the year, down from 2.5% the previous year [1][2] - Job gains have slowed significantly, averaging only 29,000 per month over the last three months, with the unemployment rate edging up to 4.3% in August [2][3] - The labor market is experiencing a decline in both supply and demand for workers, leading to increased downside risks to employment [3][6] Inflation Trends - Total Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) prices rose by 2.7% over the 12 months ending in August, with core PCE prices increasing by 2.9% [4] - Inflation expectations have increased due to tariffs, but longer-term expectations remain aligned with the Fed's 2% inflation goal [4][20] - The median projection for total PCE inflation is 3.0% for this year, decreasing to 2.6% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027 [4] Monetary Policy Adjustments - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to lower the policy interest rate by 0.25%, bringing the target range to 4% to 4.25% [5][6] - The FOMC aims to balance its dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices, adjusting policy in response to evolving economic conditions [5][6] - The median participant in the FOMC projects the federal funds rate to be 3.6% at the end of this year, down from previous projections [8] Risks and Future Outlook - The balance of risks has shifted, with increased downside risks to employment and a more neutral policy stance being adopted [6][16] - The Fed acknowledges the potential for persistent inflation but believes that the current labor market conditions warrant a cautious approach [20][25] - The Fed is committed to monitoring economic data closely and adjusting its policy as necessary to achieve its goals [29][70] Labor Market Dynamics - The Fed highlighted that the slowdown in job creation is largely due to a decline in labor force growth, influenced by lower immigration and participation rates [3][12] - Concerns were raised about the impact of a softening labor market on younger and minority job seekers, who are particularly vulnerable [26][40] Housing Market Considerations - The Fed recognizes that high interest rates have exacerbated housing affordability issues, impacting household formation and wealth accumulation [58][61] - The ongoing housing shortage is identified as a deeper, structural issue that the Fed cannot directly address through monetary policy [61] Conclusion - The Federal Reserve remains focused on its dual mandate while navigating a complex economic landscape characterized by low unemployment, moderated growth, and evolving inflation dynamics [9][70] - The Fed's actions are guided by data and the need to balance risks to both employment and inflation, with a commitment to achieving long-term economic stability [5][70]

CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Sept. 17, 2025: Dow Gains After Fed Decision Last Updated: Updated 4 hours ago Stocks Edge Higher After Fed Votes for Rate Cut By Network Connor Smith Stocks perked up after the Federal Reserve said it would cut interest rates by a quarter point for the first time since December. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 400 points, or 0.9%. The S&P 500 was up 0.1. The Nasdaq Composite was still down 0.2%. Heading into the 2 p.m. ET decision, the Dow was up while the S&P and Nas ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's liquidity facilities are expected to experience significant activity as the month closes, impacting the central bank's balance sheet reduction process [1][2]. Group 1: Liquidity Facilities - The Fed's reserve repo facility and the Standing Repo Facility (SRF) are anticipated to see major inflows due to month- and quarter-end volatility, amidst ongoing balance sheet reductions that are limiting liquidity [2][3]. - Analysts from Wrightson ICAP project that the reverse repo facility could increase from negligible usage to as high as $275 billion by the end of the month [3]. - The SRF is expected to see inflows of around $50 billion by September 30, significantly higher than the $11 billion recorded on June 30 [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Accurately assessing market liquidity at quarter-end is challenging due to transient factors affecting money flow, which are often reversed at the start of a new quarter [5]. - The performance of the Fed's tools is crucial for maintaining control over short-term interest rate targets, which is influenced by the management of its cash and asset holdings [6]. Group 3: Interest Rate Expectations - The Fed is anticipated to raise its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points following its upcoming policy meeting, with a policy statement and economic projections to be released [7]. - Since 2022, the Fed has been reducing its balance sheet, which had expanded to approximately $9 trillion during the pandemic, as part of efforts to normalize market liquidity [8].

In today’s CEO Daily: Diane Brady on the reputation of the Fed. The big story: Trump administration moves against political opponents. The markets: Global markets are mixed; U.S. futures are down. Plus: All the news and watercooler chat from Fortune. Good morning. I remember the days when a raised eyebrow from Ben Bernanke would spark hours of debate over the then Fed chair’s mindset about the state of the economy. His predecessor, Alan Greenspan, bragged about learning to “mumble with great incoheren ...

Let's start with Lisa Cook. She's involved in this Fed decision, and yet the president still seems to be trying to get her off the Fed. How is that happening and how might still some legal actions impact anything she does at this Fed meeting. Well, it doesn't look like anything's going to impact what she does at this Fed meeting because she's already there.And we have not heard that the White House has actually filed its appeal to the Supreme Court. So we're not expecting any immediate moves from the justic ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve plays a crucial role in consumer protection through rulemaking, regulation, supervision, and community initiatives, in addition to its monetary policy functions [2][11]. Group 1: Rulemaking and Regulation - The Fed sets rules impacting financial systems and consumers, including regulations under the Truth in Lending Act and the Electronic Fund Transfer Act, which mandate clear disclosure of terms, fees, and interest rates by banks [3][4]. - Regulation B, developed by the Fed, provides a framework for the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, prohibiting discrimination in credit applications and requiring lenders to explain credit denials [4]. Group 2: Supervision and Evaluation of Banks - The Fed supervises financial institutions, including bank holding companies and nonbank financial companies, ensuring compliance with laws through regular examinations and inspections [5]. - Findings from these evaluations are reported, and necessary changes are mandated to adhere to Fed guidelines [5]. Group 3: Consumer Complaint System - The Fed operates a consumer complaint system for concerns about supervised banks, reviewing complaints to ensure legal compliance and referring issues outside its jurisdiction to appropriate agencies [6][8]. - Complaint data is used to investigate misconduct patterns and is included in the Fed's annual report to Congress [8]. Group 4: Research and Analysis of Consumer Issues - The Fed conducts research and analysis on consumer issues, focusing on financially vulnerable populations through initiatives like the Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking [9]. Group 5: Community Economic Development Initiatives - The Fed's Community Advisory Council (CAC) addresses financial service needs in low- and moderate-income communities, sharing insights on affordable housing, small businesses, and employment [10]. - Data and findings related to community development are published online at Fedcommunities.org [10].