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Verizon Rises 9.6% YTD: Should You Add VZ Stock to Your Portfolio Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 17:15
Core Insights - Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) has gained 9.6% year-to-date, underperforming the Wireless National industry's growth of 12.7% and trailing peers like AT&T (22.8%) and T-Mobile (10.4%) [1][2][8] Group 1: Network and Broadband Expansion - Verizon is enhancing its network infrastructure to provide superior 5G experiences, holding 2,035 MHz of spectrum, including 294 MHz in Sub 6 GHz and 1,741 MHz in mmWave spectrum [3] - The company has accelerated broadband expansion, adding 339,000 broadband subscribers in the first quarter, with a goal of reaching 8-9 million fixed wireless access by 2028 [4] - The acquisition of Frontier Communications will expand Verizon's fiber footprint, integrating Frontier's 2.2 million fiber subscribers with Verizon's Fios network [5] Group 2: Customer Retention Strategies - Verizon is implementing a convergence strategy by offering bundled wireless and broadband services, which is expected to enhance customer retention and reduce churn [6] - The Verizon Value Guarantee, providing a three-year price lock for plans, is positively received by customers, alongside investments in AI-driven customer service improvements [6] Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Challenges - Verizon faces challenges with slow growth in postpaid phone net adds and high churn due to price hikes, indicating a saturated and price-sensitive market [9] - The competitive pressure from AT&T and T-Mobile, particularly in the fiber broadband market, is intensifying [9] - High capital expenditures for 5G network build-out and fiber deployment are creating margin pressures amid competitive pricing challenges [10] Group 4: Financial Metrics and Estimates - As of Q1 2025, Verizon's current ratio is 0.61, indicating potential difficulties in covering short-term obligations [11] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 remain stable at $4.69 and $4.86, respectively [12] - Verizon's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 9.2, lower than the industry average of 13.73 but above its historical mean of 8.94 [15] Group 5: Strategic Focus - The company is committed to a customer-first strategy, focusing on customer retention, broadband and 5G expansion, converged service offerings, and strategic acquisitions as growth drivers [16] - Despite healthy cash flow, elevated debt risks and fierce competition pose significant obstacles to revenue growth [17]
3 Wireless Stocks Likely to Gain Despite Industry Headwinds
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 16:10
Industry Overview - The Zacks Wireless National industry is facing high capital expenditures for infrastructure upgrades, uncertainty from tariff threats, supply-chain disruptions due to geopolitical tensions, and high customer inventory levels. However, it is expected to benefit from accelerated 5G rollout and increased fiber densification in the long run [1][4]. Current Market Dynamics - T-Mobile US, Verizon Communications, and Gogo are positioned to gain from rising demand for scalable infrastructure to support sustainable networks, driven by the proliferation of the Internet of Things (IoT), wireless traction, and solid broadband momentum [2]. Industry Description - The industry includes firms providing a wide range of communication services such as wireless, wireline, data/broadband, video, managed networking, and cloud-based services to both retail consumers and businesses. It also encompasses edge computing services for optimized application traffic routing [3]. Challenges Facing the Industry - High raw material prices and tariff impositions have disrupted supply chains and inflated equipment costs, impacting profitability. Increased competition from over-the-top service providers and price-sensitive customer retention strategies are expected to intensify challenges [4][6]. Growth Opportunities - The deployment of 4G LTE Advanced technologies and expansion of fiber optic networks are enhancing data speeds and capacity. The use of C-Band spectrum is expected to improve coverage in both rural and urban areas, leading to significant customer experience enhancements as the 5G ecosystem evolves [5]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Wireless National industry has outperformed the S&P 500 and the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector over the past year, with a growth of 27.3% compared to 10.8% for the S&P 500 and 9.2% for the sector [9]. Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a trailing 12-month enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 9.38X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 16.85X and the sector's 16.58X. Over the past five years, the industry has seen a range from 5.88X to 9.78X [12]. Notable Companies - **Gogo**: Focused on business aviation connectivity, Gogo has restructured its business model post-divestiture of its commercial in-flight connectivity division, improving liquidity and unlocking new opportunities. It has delivered an earnings surprise of 129.5% on average over the last four quarters [14]. - **T-Mobile**: A leading national wireless service provider, T-Mobile has achieved record-low churn rates and significant postpaid customer growth, supported by its Ultra Capacity 5G network. The stock has gained 37.1% over the past year with a long-term earnings growth expectation of 17.2% [17]. - **Verizon**: As a full-service wireless carrier, Verizon is expanding its fiber-optic networks and deploying advanced technologies to enhance data speeds. The stock has gained 5.5% over the past year and maintains a strong operational focus [20].
AT&T Soars 52.2% in a Year: Should You Invest in T Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-03 15:51
Core Insights - AT&T, Inc. has outperformed the Wireless National industry and broader market indices, gaining 52.2% over the past year compared to the industry's 27.6% and the S&P 500's 12.1% [1][7] - The company is focusing on broadband innovation and strategic acquisitions to drive long-term growth while managing debt and maintaining dividend payments [3][5] Company Performance - AT&T has outperformed competitors such as Verizon Communications Inc. and T-Mobile US, with Verizon gaining only 6.1% and T-Mobile 36.6% during the same period [2] - The company is experiencing a downtrend in earnings estimate revisions, with 2025 estimates declining by 3.27% to $2.07 and 2026 estimates decreasing by 0.88% to $2.24 [10] Strategic Initiatives - AT&T plans to acquire Lumen's fiber connectivity business for $5.75 billion, which will add 1 million fiber customers and 4 million fiber locations, enhancing its competitive position in the fiber broadband market [5] - The company aims to expand its fiber network to approximately 60 million locations by 2030, nearly doubling its current reach [5] Technological Advancements - AT&T is adopting prpl Foundation's Life Cycle Management (LCM) to enhance broadband innovation, with around 12 million broadband gateways currently integrated with LCM [3][4] - The prplware software optimizes application deployment on broadband gateways, improving efficiency and supporting multi-carrier application deployment [4] Financial Metrics - As of March 31, 2025, AT&T had $6.88 billion in cash and cash equivalents against long-term debt of $117.26 billion, indicating a current ratio of 0.7, which suggests potential challenges in meeting short-term obligations [8] - The company's shares trade at a price/earnings ratio of 13.04, lower than the industry average of 13.72 but above its historical mean of 10.16 [11] Market Challenges - The U.S. wireless market is saturated, leading to a spectrum crunch that complicates mobile data traffic management for carriers [9] - Intense competition from industry giants like Verizon and T-Mobile is impacting AT&T's margins and growth potential [9][14]
Lumen Surges 30% in a Month: Where Will the Stock Head From Here?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 13:16
Core Viewpoint - Lumen Technologies, Inc. is experiencing significant stock price growth driven by increasing demand for its Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) solutions amid the rise of AI, despite challenges from its legacy business and heavy debt load [1][3][12]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Lumen's shares have surged 29.6% in the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 composite's growth of 15.4% and the Diversified Communications Services sector's growth of 6.3% [1]. - The stock closed at $3.98, significantly below its 52-week high of $10.33, prompting investors to consider its growth trajectory [2]. Group 2: Demand and Growth Opportunities - There is increasing demand for Lumen's PCF solutions, with the company securing $8.5 billion in deals in 2024, driven by the urgent need for fiber capacity from large companies in various industries [3]. - Lumen's focus on "cloudifying" telecom and promoting its network-as-a-service (NaaS) solutions is expected to drive growth, with over 500 customers currently using NaaS services in 2024 [5]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Lumen anticipates adjusted EBITDA for 2025 to be between $3.2 billion and $3.4 billion, with capital expenditures expected to be between $4.1 billion and $4.3 billion [13]. - The company has a debt-heavy balance sheet, with $1.9 billion in cash and $17.334 billion in long-term debt as of March 31, 2024 [14]. Group 4: Competitive Positioning - Lumen's valuation is compelling, trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.3, significantly lower than the Technology Services industry's ratio of 1.47 [10]. - The company is facing challenges from its legacy business, which saw a 3.3% year-over-year revenue decline in Q1 2025, impacting top-line growth [12]. Group 5: Strategic Initiatives - Lumen is implementing cost-saving measures aimed at achieving $1 billion in savings by the end of 2027 through infrastructure simplification and product portfolio integration [7][9]. - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance operational efficiency and reduce its product count from thousands to nearly 300 [9].
Gogo (GOGO) Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-09 14:00
Core Insights - Gogo reported quarterly earnings of $0.18 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.05 per share, and showing an increase from $0.16 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of 260% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $230.31 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.38% and significantly up from $104.32 million year-over-year [2] Financial Performance - Over the last four quarters, Gogo has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates, achieving this four times [2] - The company has also topped consensus revenue estimates four times in the last four quarters [2] Stock Performance - Gogo shares have declined approximately 6.4% since the beginning of the year, compared to a decline of 3.7% for the S&P 500 [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Gogo is 3 (Hold), indicating that the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.09 on revenues of $217.55 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.37 on revenues of $889.42 million [7] - The outlook for the industry, specifically the Wireless National sector, is in the bottom 31% of Zacks industries, which may impact Gogo's stock performance [8]
Verizon Gains 11% in 3 Months: Should You Invest in VZ Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 15:20
Core Viewpoint - Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) has shown strong stock performance, gaining 10.5% over the past three months, outperforming the Wireless National industry's growth of 5.4% and the S&P 500 composite's decline of 7.9% [1][5]. Price Performance - VZ stock closed at $44.15, down only 6.7% from its 52-week high, indicating a relatively stable position in the market [5]. - Compared to peers, VZ outperformed Rogers Communications and T-Mobile, which declined by 5.5% and 0.8%, respectively, while AT&T gained 13.3% [4]. Key Growth Catalysts - Significant 5G adoption and fixed wireless broadband momentum are driving growth for Verizon, with plans to accelerate the availability of its 5G Ultra-Wideband network [6]. - The company recorded 137,000 retail prepaid net additions in the last quarter, the best since the TracFone acquisition [7]. - A three-year price lock guarantee for myPlan and myHome network plans aims to attract and retain customers [8]. - Verizon added 339,000 broadband net additions in Q1 2025, with expectations to achieve 8 to 9 million Fixed Wireless Access subscribers by 2028 [11]. - The enterprise and wholesale business is shifting towards growth services like cloud and security, with several private network deals closed in Q1 [12]. Challenges - The wireline division faces persistent losses due to competition from voice-over-Internet-protocol services and aggressive offerings from cable companies [13]. - The wireless market is highly competitive, with price wars and promotions impacting margins [14]. - High capital expenditures for 5G network build-out and fiber asset deployment raise concerns about achieving reasonable returns [15]. - Analysts have revised earnings estimates downwards, reflecting bearish sentiments for the stock [16]. Key Valuation Metric - VZ trades at a price/earnings ratio of 9.3, lower than the industry average of 14.10 but above its historical mean of 8.88 [18]. - Comparatively, AT&T, T-Mobile, and Rogers Communications have P/E multiples of 13.21, 22.64, and 7.28, respectively [19].
T-Mobile Surges 53.5% in a Year: Reason to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 19:10
Core Viewpoint - T-Mobile has demonstrated significant stock performance, gaining 53.5% over the past year, outperforming the Wireless National industry and the S&P 500, while facing competition from Verizon and AT&T [1] Group 1: Market Position and Performance - T-Mobile leads in the 5G market, utilizing the mid-band 2.5 GHz spectrum for deployment, which offers high speed and extensive coverage, providing a competitive advantage over AT&T and Verizon [2] - The company has outperformed Verizon, which gained 11.8%, but underperformed AT&T, which surged 63.9% during the same period [1] Group 2: Network Resilience and Technology - T-Mobile is enhancing its network infrastructure to withstand extreme weather events, employing AI through its Self-Organizing Network (SON) to identify and address outages in real-time [3] - The integration of Dataminr's AI-powered alert systems and T-Satellite connectivity allows users to maintain communication during network disruptions, showcasing T-Mobile's commitment to customer service and technological advancement [4] Group 3: Customer Growth and Engagement - The company has seen solid growth in postpaid customers, with 1.3 million net additions and 424,000 net high-speed Internet additions, driven by updated pricing plans and a focus on network modernization [5] - T-Mobile's customer-oriented approach, including low-priced service plans and promotional activities, is aimed at increasing customer engagement despite competitive pressures [8] Group 4: Financial Outlook and Valuation - Earnings estimates for T-Mobile have increased, with a 1.44% rise for 2025 to $10.56 and a 1.54% increase for 2026 to $12.54, indicating positive investor sentiment [9] - The company is trading at a premium valuation with a price/earnings ratio of 22.16, significantly higher than the industry average of 13.81 [11] Group 5: Strategic Initiatives and Future Positioning - T-Mobile's initiatives in network expansion, direct-to-cell satellite services, and support for small businesses position it well to maintain a dominant role in the telecommunications sector [14] - The company has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 10.89%, suggesting potential for further stock price appreciation [15]
AT&T Surges 24% in 6 Months: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:50
Core Viewpoint - AT&T Inc. has significantly outperformed the Wireless National industry and major competitors over the past year, indicating strong market performance and growth potential [1][4]. Price Performance - AT&T's stock has increased by 23.7% over the past year, while the Wireless National industry grew by 9.6%. In contrast, the S&P 500 composite and Zacks Computer & Technology sector declined by 3.9% and 6%, respectively [1]. - The stock closed at $27.61, reflecting a 0.1% decrease in the last trading session and is currently trading at a 5% discount to its 52-week high [5]. Major Tailwinds for AT&T - The company is enhancing its network infrastructure, focusing on 5G and fiber networks to improve coverage and capacity nationwide [6]. - AT&T reported 290,000 post-paid net additions in Q1 2025, including 324,000 postpaid wireless phone additions, with a postpaid churn rate of 0.83% [7]. - The company aims to exceed 30 million total fiber locations by mid-2025 and over 50 million by 2029, transitioning from legacy copper networks to 5G and fiber [8]. - AT&T is capitalizing on the 5G boom, utilizing millimeter-wave spectrum in dense areas and mid- and low-band spectrum in suburban and rural areas [9]. - The company is focusing on edge computing services to enhance data traffic management and improve customer experiences through partnerships with Google Cloud and Microsoft [10][12]. Financial Performance - AT&T reaffirmed its full-year free cash flow guidance of over $16 billion, with Q1 2025 generating $9.05 billion in cash from operations and $3.15 billion in free cash flow [13]. - The company plans to initiate share repurchases targeting $3 billion by year-end under a $10 billion authorization, indicating a commitment to returning capital to shareholders [14]. Challenges - Despite strong wireless growth, AT&T faces challenges from declining legacy services and competitive pressures in its wireline division [15]. - High-speed Internet revenues are contracting due to the decline of legacy Digital Subscriber Line services and increased competition from cable companies [16]. - The evolving macroeconomic environment and potential tariff impacts on costs remain concerns for the company [18]. - Analysts have revised estimates downwards for the current and next year, reflecting bearish sentiments regarding the stock's growth potential [19]. Valuation Metrics - AT&T's shares are trading at a price/earnings ratio of 12.96, which is lower than the industry average of 13.88 but above its historical mean of 9.64 [21]. Investment Strategy - By investing in infrastructure and new technologies, AT&T is positioned to enhance connectivity and drive postpaid subscriber growth [23]. - However, a saturated wireless market and competitive pricing pressures have affected profitability, leading to skepticism about future growth [24].
United States Cellular (USM) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-02 13:40
Core Viewpoint - U.S. Cellular reported quarterly earnings of $0.21 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.37 per share, representing an earnings surprise of -43.24% [1] - The company posted revenues of $891 million for the quarter, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.72% and down from $950 million a year ago [2] Financial Performance - Over the last four quarters, U.S. Cellular has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [2] - The company had a previous quarter surprise of 150%, with actual earnings of $0.05 against an expected loss of $0.10 [1] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.39 on revenues of $912.36 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.16 on revenues of $3.69 billion [7] Stock Performance - U.S. Cellular shares have increased by approximately 9.8% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of -4.7% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Outlook - The Wireless National industry, to which U.S. Cellular belongs, is currently ranked in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact stock performance [5]
ATN International (ATNI) Reports Q1 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 23:50
Company Performance - ATN International reported a quarterly loss of $0.57 per share, significantly worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.10, marking an earnings surprise of -470% [1] - The company posted revenues of $179.29 million for the quarter ended March 2025, slightly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.35%, but down from $186.79 million a year ago [2] - Over the last four quarters, ATN International has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times as well [2] Stock Outlook - The stock has increased approximately 8.9% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of -5.5% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.17 on revenues of $183.71 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.08 on revenues of $728.03 million [7] Industry Context - The Wireless National industry, to which ATN International belongs, is currently ranked in the top 31% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact ATN International's stock performance [5][6]