第 397 期 2025-06-18 焦点关注 沪港签署金融协同发展行动方案 38条举措深化债券通互换通机制 6月18日，沪港两地于上海陆家嘴论坛开幕之际签署《沪港国际金融中心协同发展行动方案》，旨在深化金融市场互联互通、跨境金融服务创新等合作，为 两地金融协同注入新动力。方案聚焦六方面38条举措，优先优化债券通、互换通机制，推动上海和香港成为人民币资产全球配置中心及风险管理中心。新合 作领域包括跨境清算、黄金交易互联、数字人民币支付应用及再保险业务拓展。 宏观动态 央行：设立银行间市场交易报告库 2025陆家嘴论坛今天开幕，中国人民银行行长潘功胜在论坛上宣布设立银行间市场交易报告库。高频汇集并系统分析银行间债券、货币、衍生品、黄金、票 据等各金融子市场交易数据，服务金融机构、宏观调控和金融市场监管。 中国证监会主席吴清在2025陆家嘴论坛上表示，进一步强化股债联动服务科技创新的优势。大力发展科创债，优化发行、交易制度安排，推动完善贴息、担 保等配套机制，加快推出科创债ETF，积极发展可交换债、可转债等股债结合产品。今天，我们将批复全国首批2只数据中心REITs注册，下一步将继续支持 科技企业利用知识产权、数 ...

Core Viewpoint - CICC Global Institute (CGI) serves as a new type of think tank under CICC, focusing on public policy research and decision-making in China, while also engaging in international policy discussions and providing recommendations for the development of China's financial and capital markets [1][7]. Group 1: Conference Agenda - The conference features a series of sessions including a welcome speech by Dr. Peng Wensheng, Chief Economist of CICC, and keynote speeches from various experts in rural economy and social sciences [2][3]. - The agenda includes thematic roundtables discussing urban-rural labor market changes and the equalization of basic public services in rural areas, featuring prominent scholars and practitioners [3]. Group 2: CICC Global Institute's Role - CGI aims to build capabilities and teams to research significant long-term issues in the Chinese and global economy, finance, and capital markets, addressing major topics that impact national and public welfare [7]. - The institute provides services through research consulting, thematic forums, international exchanges, and a series of lectures aimed at government, enterprises, and related institutions [7].

June 15, 2025 06:00 AM GMT Sunday Start | What's Next in Global Macro M Global Idea A Détente, Not a Deal: The State of US-China Trade While media headlines may have suggested last week's trade agreement between the US and China was a breakthrough, we think investors need to see it more as a détente than a comprehensive deal. The agreement represents a tactical pause in escalating tensions rather than a resolution of fundamental disagreements. Why view it this way? Consider: This limited deal aligns with Mo ...

Key Takeaways MC projects 42.4% y/y earnings growth for 2026, outpacing GS's 13.1%, with stable consensus estimates. Moelis has a 4.64% dividend yield versus Goldman's 1.92%, both exceeding the industry average. Moelis continues global expansion, aided by alliances in Japan, Mexico, and Moelis Australia.In the competitive landscape of the financial market, companies distinguish themselves not only by scale but also by their strategic focus and client approach. Goldman Sachs (GS) and Moelis & Company (MC) ...

June 13, 2025 05:00 AM GMT US Economics Weekly | North America Weakness still lies ahead This week's inflation data showed no clear signs of a tariff push, but we expect higher goods inflation in coming months. Slower core services may give the Fed confidence that the inflation pickup will be transitory. With higher inflation ahead, weaker consumption growth is still in front of us. | M | | | | --- | --- | --- | | | | Idea | | June 13, 2025 05:00 AM GMT | | | | US Economics Weekly North America | Morgan Sta ...

Asia Insights Economics - Asia ex-Japan China: Credit growth remained steady in May despite disappointing loan growth New aggregate financing (AF) came in slightly below the market expectations, with outstanding AF growth unchanged. The downside surprise to consensus was aqain primarily driven by much weaker-than-expected new RMB loans, with the growth rate of outstanding loans dropping again and reaching another historical low. Again, we think the sharp slowdown in loan growth was mostly driven by the ongo ...

June 13, 2025 10:41 PM GMT Agency MBS Weekly | North America Guess Who? Yes, they may own more conventionals than you think. But their demand has been muted, and it's unlikely to pick up meaningfully in the near term. This week, we take a closer look at holders of conventionals vs. Ginnies, the strength of CMO demand, and servicing transfer impact on prepays. Key Takeaways Exhibit 1: A common assumption is that overseas investors predominantly hold Ginnies for their explicit government guarantee; however, w ...

Reiterate Commitment to Fight for Liquidity and Transparency Against Entrenched Incumbents Set Record Straight on Ionic’s Most Recent Misleading Statements Urge Their Fellow Stockholders to Learn More About Their Plan for Change at www.ionicvote.com SAN FRANCISCO, June 17, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Tony Vejseli, Chris Villinger, and Brett Perry (the “Concerned Stockholders”), stockholders of Ionic Digital Inc. (“Ionic” or the “Company”), today issued a public letter to their fellow stockholders announcing th ...

June 16, 2025 11:41 AM GMT Global Macro Strategist Consensus Views Not Always Sizeable Consensus Positions Feedback from our mid-year outlook suggests our directional views are commonplace among strategists and investors alike. In response, investors have taken a cautious approach to implementing them – sowing the seeds for disappointment as USD declines and the UST curve steepens further. Key Takeaways Please add me to your distribution list. Must reads from Global Macro Strategy G10 FX Strategy: USD Weakn ...

June 16, 2025 01:13 PM GMT Morgan Stanley Research Global Morgan Stanley Global Macro Forum Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East – Our Early Thoughts on Implications for the Economy and Markets June 16, 2025 Serena Tang – Global Head of Cross-Asset Strategy | Strategist Seth Carpenter – Chief Global Economist Brian Gibbons – Head of Energy Credit Research | Credit Analyst MORGAN STANLEY & CO. LLC Martijn Rats – Global Commodities Strategist | Equity Analyst and Commodities Strategist Marina Zavolock – C ...