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Core Insights - The Pekin production segment is crucial for Alto Ingredients' investment thesis, driving earnings power, diversification, and long-term strategic positioning [1] Group 1: Pekin Production Segment - Pekin is Alto's largest production site, offering integrated operations that extend beyond conventional fuel ethanol, including higher-margin industrial alcohols and essential ingredients, which diversifies revenue [2] - In 2024, the Pekin Campus generated $585 million from alcohol and essential ingredient sales, selling approximately 214 million gallons of alcohol and 906,300 tons of essential ingredients [2][10] - Pekin's strategic value is enhanced by access to premium alcohol markets, which have steadier demand compared to fuel ethanol, reducing vulnerability to corn costs and energy pricing [3] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - Alto is shifting towards higher-value and lower-carbon products, expanding carbon dioxide capture and utilization at its facilities, which adds a high-margin revenue stream and supports sustainability goals [4] Group 3: Peer Comparison - Green Plains Inc. is facing sales volatility due to fluctuating ethanol prices and is diversifying towards higher-margin protein and renewable ingredients, which may improve stability in the long term [5] - Gevo, Inc. is generating modest sales as it develops renewable fuel projects, with expectations for growth as projects reach commercialization [6] Group 4: Financial Performance - Alto Ingredients' stock has increased by 65% over the past year, outperforming the industry [9] - The stock is currently overvalued with a price-to-earnings multiple of 17.94, higher than the industry average of 16.89 [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alto's fourth-quarter 2025 EPS has remained unchanged, with projections indicating year-over-year increases in revenues and earnings for 2026 [13][14]

Core Insights - Investors are encouraged to adopt an active stock selection strategy as 2026 approaches, focusing on breakout stocks within specific price ranges [1] Group 1: Identified Breakout Stocks - Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN), Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO), and Mama's Creations, Inc. (MAMA) are highlighted as breakout stocks for 2026, with significant year-to-date gains of 394%, 94%, and 70% respectively [2] - Mama's Creations is projected to achieve an earnings growth rate of 84.6% next year, contributing to its selection as a breakout stock [9] - Aris Mining has an expected earnings growth rate of 74.8% for the upcoming year, while Alto Ingredients is projected to have a remarkable earnings growth rate of 260% [10][11] Group 2: Breakout Stock Selection Criteria - The selection of breakout stocks involves calculating support and resistance levels, where support is the lower price limit and resistance is the upper price limit for stock movements [3][4] - A genuine breakout occurs when the previous resistance level becomes the new support level, validated by long-term price trend analysis [6] - Screening criteria include a percentage price change over four weeks between 10% and 20%, a current price at least 90% of the 52-week high, a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), a beta of 2 or less, and a current price of $20 or less [7][8]

Core Insights - Alto Ingredients, Inc. announced the resignation of Jeremy T. Bezdek from its Board of Directors as he accepted a new role as president and CEO at The Lifetime Group [1][2] - The resignation was effective on November 24, 2025, and the company plans to search for a new independent director with relevant expertise [2] Company Overview - Alto Ingredients, Inc. is a leading producer and distributor of specialty alcohols, renewable fuels, and essential ingredients, serving various markets including Health, Home & Beauty, Food & Beverage, Industry & Agriculture, and Renewable Fuels [3]

Core Insights - Alto Ingredients, Inc. reported significant financial improvements in Q3 2025, with gross profit of $23 million, net income of $14 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $21 million, reflecting a strong performance across all business segments [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - Gross profit increased by $18 million compared to Q3 2024, reaching $23 million [1][2]. - Net income improved by $17 million, totaling $14 million or $0.19 per share, compared to a net loss of $2.8 million in the same quarter last year [1][8]. - Adjusted EBITDA grew by $9 million to $21 million compared to Q3 2024 [1][2]. Sales and Revenue - Net sales for Q3 2025 were $241 million, down from $251.8 million in Q3 2024 [8]. - Cost of goods sold decreased to $217.5 million from $245.9 million, contributing to improved gross profit margins [8]. - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, net sales were $686 million, compared to $728.9 million in the same period of 2024 [8]. Operational Highlights - The company has focused on targeting high-return market segments and enhancing operational efficiency, which has positively impacted financial results [2][3]. - Increased renewable fuel export sales and higher demand for liquid CO2 were key drivers of growth [2][3]. - The company is expanding its CO2 utilization through the 2025 Carbonic acquisition to meet growing demand [3]. Cash and Liquidity - Cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2025, were $32.5 million, down from $35.5 million at the end of 2024 [6]. - The company had borrowing availability of $85 million, including $20 million under its operating line of credit and $65 million under its term loan facility [6]. Segment Performance - The Pekin Campus produced 31.6 million gallons of renewable fuel in Q3 2025, slightly up from 31.1 million gallons in Q3 2024 [23]. - Total renewable fuel gallons sold decreased to 66.8 million from 74.3 million year-over-year [23]. - Specialty alcohol sales remained stable, with 22.4 million gallons sold in Q3 2025 compared to 22.5 million gallons in Q3 2024 [23].

Core Insights - Alto Ingredients, Inc. is set to participate in the H.C. Wainwright 27th Annual Global Investment Conference on September 9, 2025, in New York City [1] - The company will conduct one-on-one meetings and present at 9:00 am ET, with presentation materials and webcast available on their website [2] Company Overview - Alto Ingredients, Inc. is a leading producer and distributor of specialty alcohols, renewable fuels, and essential ingredients, serving various markets including Health, Home & Beauty, Food & Beverage, Industry & Agriculture, Essential Ingredients, and Renewable Fuels [3]

Financial Performance - Western asset gross profit improved by $56 million from a loss of $(38) million in Q2 2024 to a profit of $18 million in Q2 2025[31] - Adjusted EBITDA improved by $57 million, from $(59) million to $(02) million comparing Q2 2024 to Q2 2025[32, 34] - The company's borrowing availability was $70 million as of June 30, 2025, including $5 million under the operating line and $65 million under the term loan facility[33] Regulatory and Market Opportunities - The 45Z credit is extended through the end of 2029, increasing the focus on domestic production[14] - National year-round E15 adoption could potentially increase U S ethanol demand by 50%, or 5-7 billion gallons annually[14] - California could see an increase of approximately 670 million gallons per year in ethanol demand when transitioning from E10 to E15, pending approval[14] Strategic Initiatives - The company is applying for 45Z credits for Alto Columbia and Alto Pekin Dry Mill, estimated to total approximately $18 million over the next two years[15] - The company is prioritizing projects to lower carbon intensity to capture more benefits from 45Z[7] - The company aims to increase CO2 utilization at the Pekin campus and at Columbia, building upon the successful Carbonic acquisition[7]

Core Insights - Alto Ingredients, Inc. reported a gross profit increase of $5.6 million in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024, despite facing challenges in net sales and gross loss [1][4][6]. Financial Performance - For the three months ended June 30, 2025, net sales were $218.4 million, down from $236.5 million in the same period of 2024 [6][15]. - Cost of goods sold decreased to $220.4 million from $228.9 million year-over-year [6][15]. - The company experienced a gross loss of $1.9 million, compared to a gross profit of $7.6 million in Q2 2024 [6][15]. - Selling, general and administrative expenses were reduced to $6.2 million from $9.0 million [6][15]. - Interest expense increased to $2.8 million from $1.7 million [6][15]. - The net loss attributable to common stockholders was $11.3 million, or $0.15 per share, compared to a net loss of $3.4 million, or $0.05 per share, in Q2 2024 [6][15]. - Adjusted EBITDA was negative $0.2 million, an improvement from negative $5.9 million in the prior year [6][15]. Operational Highlights - The Western assets generated gross profit due to the acquisition of a liquid CO2 facility and strategic operational adjustments, including cold-idling the Magic Valley facility [2][3]. - The marketing and distribution segment improved through the integration of bulk sales customers and the continuation of profitable third-party ethanol marketing relationships [2][3]. - The company capitalized on operational flexibility by selling higher-margin ISCC export products into Europe [2][3]. Regulatory Environment - Positive regulatory developments, such as the extension of the 45Z credit through 2029, are expected to enhance the earnings profile and intrinsic valuation of the company's facilities [3]. - The company anticipates applying for credits amounting to nearly $18 million over the next two years based on targeted carbon intensity scores [3]. Sales and Production Metrics - Total renewable fuel gallons sold decreased to 66.8 million in Q2 2025 from 74.1 million in Q2 2024 [22][23]. - Specialty alcohol gallons sold were 19.9 million, down from 21.0 million year-over-year [22][23]. - The average market price for ethanol was $1.72 per gallon, slightly lower than the previous year [23][24].

Financial Performance - Alto Ingredients reported a gross loss of $(1.8) million in Q1 2025, an improvement from $(2.4) million in Q1 2024[35] - Adjusted EBITDA improved by $2.7 million, from $(7.1) million in Q1 2024 to $(4.4) million in Q1 2025[35] - Net sales decreased from $240.629 million in Q1 2024 to $226.540 million in Q1 2025[50] - The company had $26.8 million in cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2025, compared to $35.5 million as of December 31, 2024[33] Strategic Initiatives - Alto Ingredients is targeting premium markets with high-quality products to improve profitability[7, 36] - The company is pursuing Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) to reduce carbon emissions[7, 36] - Alto Ingredients acquired a beverage-grade liquid CO2 processor to optimize carbon usage[7, 13] - The company is exploring opportunities in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), blue ethanol, and other renewable fuels[15] Market Opportunities - National year-round E15 adoption could potentially increase U S ethanol demand by 50%, or 5-7 billion gallons[20] - California could see an increase of approximately 670 million gallons per year in ethanol demand when transitioning from E10 to E15, pending approval[20]

Group 1 - Alto Ingredients, Inc. will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 7, 2025, after market close [1] - A conference call will be held at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time / 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time, featuring prepared remarks and a Q&A session [1] - The webcast will be archived for one year on the Alto Ingredients website, with a telephonic replay available from May 7 to May 14, 2025 [1] Group 2 - Alto Ingredients, Inc. is a leading producer and distributor of specialty alcohols, renewable fuels, and essential ingredients [2] - The company serves a diverse range of markets including Health, Home & Beauty; Food & Beverage; Industry & Agriculture; Essential Ingredients; and Renewable Fuels [2] - More information about the company can be found on its website [2]