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Gap Sends Mixed Signals Pre-Q2 Earnings: Time to Accumulate the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 17:40
Core Insights - The Gap, Inc. is anticipated to show growth in both revenue and earnings for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, with revenues expected to reach $3.7 billion, reflecting a 0.5% increase year-over-year [1][9] - The earnings per share estimate stands at 55 cents, indicating a 1.9% rise from the previous year [2][9] Financial Performance - The company has demonstrated consistent earnings performance, with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise average of 33.2% [3] - In the last reported quarter, Gap's earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 15.9% [3] Earnings Expectations - The current Earnings ESP for Gap is +1.52%, but it holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), indicating uncertainty regarding an earnings beat this quarter [4] - Management has guided for flat sales year-over-year, with mixed brand performance, although strength in Old Navy and Gap provides some confidence [7] Strategic Initiatives - Gap's second-quarter results are expected to benefit from strong execution, brand momentum, and financial discipline, with a focus on market share growth and brand revival [5][6] - The company is enhancing its digital commerce presence, ranking as the 1 branded apparel e-commerce business in the U.S., with nearly 1.5 billion visitors to its platforms over the past year [8] Cost Management and Supply Chain - Gap is targeting $150 million in cost savings for fiscal 2025, which will help reinvest in growth initiatives while protecting margins [10] - The company has diversified its sourcing to mitigate tariff impacts, reducing reliance on China to under 3% of total sourcing [11] Margin Outlook - For the fiscal second quarter, gross margin is expected to remain similar to the first quarter, with an implied year-over-year decline due to the absence of last year's credit card agreement benefit [10] - Adjusted gross margin is projected to increase by 20 basis points, while adjusted operating expenses as a percentage of sales are expected to decline by 30 basis points year-over-year [12] Market Position and Valuation - Gap shares have underperformed recently, losing 24.7% in the past three months compared to the industry’s 3.4% growth [13] - The stock is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.7X, significantly below the industry average of 18.22X, presenting a potentially attractive investment opportunity [16]
Cautious Optimism in Gap's Pre-Q1 Earnings: Buy or Hold for Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-26 15:50
Core Viewpoint - The Gap, Inc. is anticipated to report growth in both revenue and earnings for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, with revenues expected to reach $3.4 billion, reflecting a 0.9% increase year-over-year, and earnings estimated at 44 cents per share, indicating a 7.3% rise from the previous year [1][2]. Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter revenues is $3.4 billion, marking a 0.9% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. - The earnings estimate for the first quarter is 44 cents per share, which is a 7.3% increase compared to the prior year [2]. Performance Trends - The company has shown a positive trend in earnings surprises over the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 77.5% [2]. - The last reported quarter saw earnings exceed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 50% [2]. Strategic Initiatives - Gap is focusing on enhancing its merchandise assortment, improving customer relations through marketing, and advancing its digital commerce strategy [4]. - The company aims to achieve $150 million in cost savings for fiscal 2025, which will be partially reinvested in growth initiatives [8]. Market Position and Brand Performance - Gap's diverse brand portfolio, including Old Navy, Banana Republic, and Athleta, positions it well in the apparel industry [5]. - The company expects sales growth to be driven primarily by the Old Navy and Gap brands, with Banana Republic stabilizing and Athleta recovering [6]. Supply Chain and Cost Management - Gap has improved supply-chain efficiency and diversified sourcing to mitigate tariff impacts, with less than 10% of products sourced from China [9]. - The gross margin is expected to rise slightly from 41.2% in the prior year, with adjusted operating margins projected to increase by 30 basis points to 6.4% [10][11]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, Gap's shares have increased by 35.7%, outperforming the industry and the S&P 500 [12]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 12.01X, below the industry average of 17.68X, indicating attractive valuation [18]. Long-term Growth Outlook - The company is positioned for long-term growth through strategic marketing, digital initiatives, and operational efficiency [21]. - Despite macroeconomic challenges, Gap's disciplined cost management and brand diversification are expected to yield positive results [22].
GOOS or DECK: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 16:45
Core Insights - The article compares Canada Goose (GOOS) and Deckers (DECK) to determine which stock offers better value for investors [1] Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while Deckers has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - GOOS has a forward P/E ratio of 9.72, significantly lower than DECK's forward P/E of 17.16, suggesting GOOS may be undervalued [5] - The PEG ratio for GOOS is 0.65, compared to DECK's 1.13, indicating GOOS has a better expected EPS growth relative to its price [5] - GOOS has a P/B ratio of 2.22, while DECK's P/B ratio is 6.39, further supporting the notion that GOOS is more attractively valued [6] - GOOS has a Value grade of A, whereas DECK has a Value grade of C, highlighting the relative undervaluation of GOOS [6] Conclusion - Overall, GOOS shows stronger estimate revision activity and more attractive valuation metrics than DECK, making it a more appealing option for value investors [7]