Market Overview - The U.S. market closed with mixed results, as the Russell 2000 gained 1% driven by hopes of a rate cut, while large-cap indexes like the Dow and S&P 500 showed minimal changes, and the Nasdaq declined by 0.22% [2] - The Russell 2000 was noted to be leading the market with a 1.84% increase, while the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow followed with gains of 0.62%, 0.55%, and 0.42% respectively [3][8] Winners - Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp saw a significant increase of 28%, leading the U.S. stocks, followed by Rivian Automotive at 27.1%, Tri Pointe Homes at 26.6%, and Magna International at 18.8% [4][5] - The market capitalization of Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp is reported at $5.79 billion, while Rivian Automotive has a market cap of $21.82 billion, and Tri Pointe Homes stands at $3.98 billion [5] Losers - Bright Horizons Family Solutions experienced the largest decline at 21.3%, with other notable decliners including Pinterest at 17.6%, Fortune Brands at 15.1%, and Callaway Golf also at 15.1% [6] - Prediction markets such as DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment saw declines of 13% and 11.6% respectively [6]

Core View - The Indian equity market is expected to recover in 2026, supported by falling inflation, Reserve Bank of India rate cuts, stable domestic liquidity, and policy support for consumption and capital expenditure [1][19] Group 1: Market Outlook - Six leading brokerages project a positive outlook for Indian equities, with index targets clustered around mid-90,000s for the Sensex and close to 29,000–30,000 for the Nifty, indicating expectations of steady, earnings-led gains rather than valuation expansion [19] - Morgan Stanley forecasts the Sensex to rise to 95,000 by December 2026, driven by policy pivots supporting nominal growth and earnings compounding at a 17% CAGR through FY2028 [19] - BofA Securities targets the Nifty at 29,000 by end-2026, emphasizing that returns will largely track earnings growth rather than valuation expansion [7][19] Group 2: Preferred Sectors and Stocks - Financials, consumer discretionary, and industrials dominate the opportunity set, while telecom, autos, and select real estate plays add depth [1][19] - Morgan Stanley highlights Maruti Suzuki India, Trent, and Titan Company in consumer discretionary, with Bajaj Finance and ICICI Bank anchoring its financials call [5][19] - HSBC names Infosys as its top IT pick, State Bank of India as its favored PSU bank, and Mahindra & Mahindra as a key beneficiary in autos [6][19] - BofA's buy-rated universe includes airlines, autos, consumption, utilities, financials, and real estate, with specific mentions of Maruti Suzuki India, Mahindra & Mahindra, and Titan Company [9][10][19] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The brokerages prefer stocks with manageable expectations, strong balance sheets, and improving earnings visibility, resulting in a concentrated universe of names across various sectors [2][19] - Nomura urges investors to focus on areas with lower expectations and improving narratives, warning against crowded trades where valuations leave little room for disappointment [11][12][19] - Jefferies emphasizes sector rotation and valuation discipline, focusing on lending financials, telecom, property, autos, cement, and utilities [14][20] Group 4: Key Stock Picks - Key stock picks include Bajaj Finserv, Indian Oil Corporation, LTIMindtree, and Pidilite Industries, reflecting a combination of technical breakouts and improving fundamentals [17][20] - ICICI Direct's top picks include Bajaj Finserv, Indian Oil Corporation, and LTIMindtree, with a focus on sectors expected to benefit from stable interest rates and a pickup in domestic demand [16][20] Group 5: Conclusion - The six brokerages collectively identify 75 carefully chosen stocks that are expected to perform well in 2026, emphasizing the importance of substance over hype in the coming year [18][19]

Group 1 - General Motors Company is focusing on electric vehicle (EV) production, aiming to increase its market share in the EV segment [1] - Intel Corporation is investing heavily in semiconductor manufacturing, with plans to expand its production capacity significantly [1] - Albemarle Corp is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for lithium, driven by the rise in EV production [1] Group 2 - Lithium Americas Corp is advancing its lithium projects, which are crucial for meeting the increasing demand for battery materials [1] - The overall market analysis indicates a strong growth trajectory for companies involved in EV and battery production [1] - The investment landscape is shifting towards sustainable technologies, with a focus on companies that are adapting to these changes [1]

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