Industry Overview - The Zacks Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry involves retailing, distribution, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, with options for consumers to choose between DIY and DIFM services [2] - The industry is highly competitive and is undergoing significant changes due to evolving customer expectations and technological innovations [2] Key Growth Drivers - The average age of vehicles in the U.S. has reached a record high of 12.6 years, increasing demand for auto parts as older vehicles require more maintenance [3] - Modern vehicles are becoming more complex, leading consumers to prefer professional repair services, thus boosting the DIFM segment [4] - Auto parts dealers are expanding through acquisitions and digital platforms, enhancing market presence and operational efficiency [5] Electric Vehicle Market Impact - U.S. EV sales reached a record 607,089 units in the first half of 2025, marking a 1.5% year-over-year increase, which is expected to provide a boost to auto parts retailers, especially those with EV-specific components [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Auto Retail & Wholesale Parts industry ranks 63, placing it in the top 26% of 245 Zacks industries, indicating solid near-term prospects [7][8] - Over the past year, the industry has outperformed both the Auto, Tires and Truck sector and the S&P 500, with a growth of 17% compared to the S&P 500's 13% [10] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 27.27X, higher than the S&P 500's 17.7X and the sector's 21.01X [13] - The industry's EV/EBITDA ratio has fluctuated between 21.41X and 28.32X over the past five years, with a median of 24.67X [14] Company Highlights - **Advance Auto Parts (AAP)**: Focuses on selling replacement parts and has bolstered liquidity through the sale of its Worldpac business for $1.5 billion. The company aims to streamline operations and reduce costs through supply chain consolidation [18] - Advance Auto carries a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), with a projected EPS growth of 752% year-over-year for 2025 [19] - **O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY)**: A leading player in the aftermarket auto parts space, known for 32 consecutive years of revenue growth. The company plans to increase inventory levels and has committed to share repurchases totaling $2.08 billion in 2024 [22] - O'Reilly Automotive holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), with projected EPS growth of 5.4% for 2025 [23]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Auto Retail and Wholesale industry is experiencing significant changes due to evolving consumer habits, policy shifts, and strategic actions by key players [1][3] - The industry is consumer-driven, with performance closely tied to economic conditions, where increased disposable income typically leads to higher vehicle purchases [3] - The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the industry's shift towards online tools and e-commerce, a trend expected to continue [3] Factors Influencing Industry Dynamics - Car affordability has seen a modest improvement due to rising consumer incomes and dealer incentives, but tariffs on imported vehicles continue to pose challenges, potentially adding up to $5,700 to the cost of new cars [4] - The EV market is in a transitional phase, with first-half 2025 U.S. EV sales reaching 607,089 units, a 1.5% year-over-year increase, but a decline in demand is anticipated in the fourth quarter without government subsidies [5] - Auto retailers are making strategic acquisitions to enhance market share and diversify offerings, while also investing in digital platforms to meet changing customer expectations [2][6][7] Market Performance - The Zacks Auto Retail & Wholesale industry ranks 91, placing it in the top 37% of 245 Zacks industries, indicating positive near-term prospects [8][9] - Over the past year, the industry has outperformed the S&P 500, returning 16.3% compared to the S&P 500's 12.6% growth [10] Current Valuation - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.95X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 17.64X and the sector's 20.66X [13] Company Highlights - **Penske Automotive**: Completed acquisitions in 2024 representing nearly $2.1 billion in annualized revenues, with a strong order backlog and a low long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of 15.5% [17][18] - **Lithia Motors**: Expanded its footprint through acquisitions, adding $3.8 billion in 2023 and $5.9 billion in 2024 in annualized revenues, with a focus on digital platforms to enhance customer experience [22][23] - **AutoNation**: Continues to grow through strategic acquisitions and digital transformation, with a recent purchase expected to add $200 million in annual revenues [25][26] - **Group 1 Automotive**: Achieved significant revenue growth through acquisitions, adding over $1 billion in 2023 and $3.9 billion in 2024, while focusing on an omnichannel strategy [31][32]

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Auto Retail and Wholesale industry shows robust prospects despite a challenging tariff environment, driven by a diversified product mix and multiple income streams [1] Industry Overview - The automotive sector's performance is heavily reliant on retail and wholesale networks, involving operations through dealerships and retail chains, including the sale of new and used vehicles, light trucks, auto parts, and providing repair and maintenance services [2] - The industry's success is closely tied to economic conditions, with higher disposable income leading to increased investment in big-ticket items, while tighter budgets result in reduced discretionary spending [2] - The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly reshaped the industry, increasing the focus on e-commerce [2] Factors Influencing Industry Prospects - Auto retailers benefit from a diversified product mix and multiple income streams, which reduce risk and position them for long-term growth, generating income from new and used vehicle retail, finance, insurance, and automotive repair [3] - Strategic acquisitions are being utilized by auto dealers to expand into new markets, thereby increasing market share and enhancing offerings [4] - Investment in digital platforms aligns with consumer preferences for online transactions, enabling dealers to reach a broader audience and drive higher profitability [4] Tariff Impact - A 25% tariff on imported vehicles and auto parts, imposed by the U.S. government, is expected to increase manufacturing costs and disrupt supply chains, potentially raising car prices by $5,000 to $15,000 [5] - Rising vehicle prices may lead consumers to consider used vehicles, increasing demand and prices for used cars, which could negatively impact new and used vehicle retailers' top-line growth [5] Industry Ranking and Performance - The Zacks Auto Retail & Wholesale industry ranks 46, placing it in the top 19% of around 250 Zacks industries, indicating bright near-term prospects [6][7] - The industry has outperformed the S&P 500 and the Auto, Tires, and Truck sector over the past year, returning 8.8% compared to the S&P 500's growth of 5.2% and the sector's decline of 9.8% [10] Current Valuation - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.18X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 15.58X and the sector's 14.97X [13] - Over the past five years, the industry has traded between 4.78X and 10.79X, with a median of 7.13X [14] Company Highlights - **Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD)**: A leading automotive retailer with strategic acquisitions increasing market share and enhancing its portfolio. The company achieved a cost-saving plan of $200 million and expects an additional $50-$70 million in interest cost savings in 2025 [19][20] - **AutoNation, Inc. (AN)**: One of the largest automotive retailers, improving its finance division and after-sales gross profit margin by nearly 250 basis points since 2019. The company anticipates mid-single-digit growth in its after-sales business [23][24][25] - **Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI)**: A leading automotive retailer focusing on acquisitions and restructuring to improve operational efficiency. The company expects year-over-year growth of 9.91% in sales and 4.51% in EPS for 2025 [29][30]