Earnings Report - PepsiCo is set to release its second-quarter earnings results on July 17, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.03 per share, down from $2.28 per share in the previous year [1] - Projected quarterly revenue for PepsiCo is $22.3 billion, a slight decrease from $22.5 billion a year earlier [1] Analyst Ratings - Barclays analyst Lauren Lieberman has maintained an Equal-Weight rating on PepsiCo and lowered the price target from $135 to $132 [2] - The company currently offers an annual dividend yield of 4.31%, translating to a quarterly dividend of $1.42 per share, or $5.69 annually [2] Dividend Income Calculations - To achieve a monthly dividend income of $500, an investor would need to own approximately 1,054 shares of PepsiCo, equating to an investment of about $141,036 [3] - For a more conservative monthly income goal of $100, an investor would need 211 shares, requiring an investment of around $28,234 [3] Dividend Yield Dynamics - Dividend yield can fluctuate based on changes in stock price and dividend payments, calculated by dividing the annual dividend by the current stock price [4] - For instance, if a stock with a $2 annual dividend rises to $60, the yield drops to 3.33%, while a drop to $40 increases the yield to 5% [5] Stock Performance - PepsiCo shares fell by 1.3% to close at $133.81 on Tuesday [5]

Core Insights - Some of the best dividend stocks, including Federal Realty Investment Trust, Johnson & Johnson, and PepsiCo, are currently experiencing significant price declines, making them attractive investment opportunities due to higher dividend yields [1][12] Federal Realty Investment Trust - Shares have declined nearly 20% from their 52-week high, resulting in a dividend yield exceeding 4.5%, which is over three times higher than the S&P 500's sub-1.5% yield [2] - The company has a record of increasing dividends for 57 consecutive years, the longest in the REIT industry, qualifying it as a Dividend King [4] - Federal Realty focuses on high-quality retail properties in major metro markets, particularly open-air shopping centers and mixed-use properties, leading to high occupancy and steady rent growth [5] Johnson & Johnson - Shares have dropped more than 8% from their recent peak, raising the dividend yield to nearly 3.5% [6] - The company has increased its dividend payment by 4.8% this year, extending its growth streak to 63 consecutive years [6] - Johnson & Johnson holds a AAA credit rating, with a strong balance sheet and robust free cash flow, generating about $20 billion annually, which comfortably covers its nearly $12 billion dividend outlay [7][8] PepsiCo - The stock has fallen over 27% from its 52-week high, resulting in a dividend yield surpassing 4% [9] - PepsiCo recently increased its dividend payout by 5%, extending its growth streak to 53 consecutive years [9] - The company invests heavily in product development and capacity expansion, expecting 4% to 6% annual organic revenue growth and high single-digit earnings-per-share growth [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - PepsiCo, a Dividend King with a history of consistent dividend growth, is currently facing challenges that have led to a decline in stock price and an increase in dividend yield to all-time highs [2][10]. Group 1: Company Performance - PepsiCo's sales exceeded $91 billion last year, but growth is slowing, with food volumes dropping 1% last year and a 3% year-over-year decline in the first quarter of 2025 [4][7]. - The company has historically leveraged its iconic brands and premium shelf space for pricing power, but inflation has significantly impacted food prices, which rose approximately 25% from 2019 to 2023 [5]. - Analysts' long-term earnings growth estimates for PepsiCo have decreased from about 8% to under 4%, contributing to the stock's decline [8]. Group 2: Financial Health - PepsiCo paid $5.42 per share in dividends last year while generating only $5.28 per share in free cash flow, indicating a potential strain on dividend sustainability [10]. - Despite this, PepsiCo maintains a strong financial position with $8.5 billion in cash and an "A+" credit rating from S&P Global, suggesting that the dividend is likely secure [10]. Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The company is adapting to market changes, including the rise of weight loss drugs, by acquiring emerging brands in health and specialty categories, which may help restart growth [12]. - There is potential for PepsiCo to divest brands that do not align with its strategic direction, indicating a proactive approach to maintaining competitiveness [12][13]. - For income-focused investors, PepsiCo remains an attractive option due to its above-average yield, despite the current challenges [13][14].

Core Viewpoint - Buying quality dividend stocks near multiyear lows can be advantageous for long-term investors, especially if the dividend remains intact as the stock price declines [1] Group 1: PepsiCo - PepsiCo has seen a 25% decline in value over the past 12 months, with first-quarter sales down approximately 2% [4] - Despite challenges, PepsiCo generated over 1% organic growth in the first quarter, and the decline in sales was significantly impacted by foreign exchange [5] - The company produced $7.3 billion in free cash flow over the last 12 months, matching its dividend payments, indicating that the dividend payout is not in imminent danger [6] Group 2: UnitedHealth Group - UnitedHealth Group is trading near a four-year low due to rising costs affecting its bottom line [7] - The company experienced a 4% year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share in the first quarter, despite challenges in its Medicare Advantage business [8] - With a modest payout ratio of 35%, UnitedHealth is not at serious risk of cutting its dividend, and it trades at a P/E multiple of 17, below its five-year average of nearly 20 [9] Group 3: United Parcel Service (UPS) - UPS is trading near its 52-week low, with revenue for the first quarter totaling $21.5 billion, slightly down from $21.7 billion in the previous year [10][11] - The company plans to cut 20,000 jobs and reduce deliveries involving Amazon to improve margins amid economic challenges [11] - UPS's diluted earnings per share were $1.40, below its quarterly dividend of $1.64, but the company has a plan to improve profitability, making it a potential contrarian buy [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - Buying top dividend stocks near their 52-week lows can provide long-term investors with higher yields and potential for future capital appreciation Group 1: Target (TGT) - Target has faced challenges with declining sales due to reduced consumer discretionary spending, with a revenue drop of less than 1% to under $107 billion for the year ending Feb. 1 [4] - Despite the sales decline, Target maintains a strong profit margin, with a payout ratio around 50%, allowing for continued dividend increases; the current yield is 4.3% and the dividend has been raised by 70% over five years [5] - The stock has only increased by 2% over the past five years and is trading at 12 times trailing earnings, close to its 52-week low of $103.46, indicating potential for long-term investment despite short-term challenges [6] Group 2: PepsiCo (PEP) - PepsiCo has a 53-year streak of dividend increases, with a recent 7% hike, offering a current yield of 3.7%, which is significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of 1.4% [7] - The company reported flat sales of $91.9 billion in 2024, with concerns about the impact of GLP-1 weight loss drugs on consumer behavior; PepsiCo is adapting by acquiring healthier brands, such as Poppi for $2 billion [8] - PepsiCo shares have declined by 8% in the past year and are trading near their 52-week low of $141.51 at 22 times trailing earnings, presenting a potential buying opportunity [9] Group 3: Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) - Stanley Black & Decker has the longest dividend increase streak at 57 years, with a current yield exceeding 4%, making it attractive for income-focused investors [10] - The company has experienced sales declines over the past two years due to economic conditions affecting consumer spending on repairs and renovations; it is focusing on cost-cutting and debt reduction, with long-term debt at $5.6 billion [12] - Although the trailing earnings multiple is high at 43 due to restructuring charges, the forward price-to-earnings multiple is estimated at 15, and the stock is near its 52-week low of $77.70, suggesting it may be undervalued for long-term investors [13]