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PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP): Our Calculation of Intrinsic Value
Acquirersmultiple· 2025-10-16 22:54
Core Viewpoint - PepsiCo, Inc. is a leading player in the global beverages and convenient foods market, demonstrating strong revenue growth and resilience despite economic challenges [2][5]. Company Profile - PepsiCo boasts a diverse portfolio with well-known brands such as Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay's, and Quaker, supported by a vast distribution network [2]. - The company maintains strong pricing power and continues to innovate, expand internationally, and focus on premiumization [2]. - Challenges include inflationary pressures and shifting consumer preferences, but PepsiCo's scale and brand loyalty help sustain cash flow and shareholder returns [2]. DCF Analysis - Discount Rate: 10% - Terminal Growth Rate: 3% - WACC: 10% - Forecasted Free Cash Flows (in billions USD): - 2025: $7.5B → PV: $6.82B - 2026: $7.9B → PV: $6.56B - 2027: $8.3B → PV: $6.30B - 2028: $8.7B → PV: $6.06B - 2029: $9.1B → PV: $5.82B - Total Present Value of FCFs = $31.56B [3]. - Terminal Value Calculation using perpetuity growth model: - TV = (9.1 × 1.03) ÷ (0.10 − 0.03) = $134.0B - Present Value of Terminal Value = $83.89B [3]. Enterprise Value - Enterprise Value = Total Present Value of FCFs + Present Value of Terminal Value = $31.56B + $83.89B = $115.45B [3]. - Net Debt: - Cash: $9.27B - Total Debt: $44.95B - Net Debt = $35.68B [4]. - Equity Value: - Equity Value = Enterprise Value - Net Debt = $115.45B - $35.68B = $79.77B [4]. - Shares Outstanding: ~1.37B - Intrinsic Value per Share = $58 [4]. Conclusion - PepsiCo is characterized as a strong consumer-staples franchise with predictable cash flows and a competitive advantage [5]. - The stock appears to be trading above its intrinsic valuation, suggesting that the market is pricing in expectations for sustained growth and margin expansion [5]. - For value investors, PepsiCo may be viewed as a quality compounder rather than a deep value buy [5][6].
13 Best Forever Stocks to Invest In Now
Insider Monkey· 2025-10-14 17:29
Market Overview - The S&P 500 experienced a decline of approximately 2.9% on October 10, marking the largest drop in over six months after a 36% rise since April lows [2] - The VIX index spiked by 1.29%, indicating increased market volatility and investor fear, but this is viewed as a potential buying opportunity [2][3] - The market pullback is not attributed to structural changes, suggesting that the fundamentals remain intact [2][3] Economic Indicators - Forward returns for many companies are estimated to be positive, indicating a favorable outlook for the market [3] - The Federal Reserve is entering an easing cycle, which is expected to provide structural support to the market [3] Company Analysis Chubb Limited (NYSE:CB) - Chubb Limited is recognized as one of the best stocks to invest in now, with 61 hedge fund holders [9] - J.P. Morgan raised the price target for Chubb from $321 to $327 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing a review of the property and casualty insurance group [9][10] - Despite a downbeat sentiment due to recent underperformance, the fundamentals of the insurance sector remain healthy [10] PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP) - PepsiCo is also listed among the best stocks to invest in, with 68 hedge fund holders [12] - The company reported an EPS of $2.29 for Q3 2025, exceeding consensus estimates by $0.03, and revenue of $23.84 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 2.65% [12] - Following the earnings call, Wells Fargo raised PepsiCo's price target from $150 to $154 while maintaining a Hold rating [13]
PepsiCo Announces Timing and Availability of Second-Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Prnewswire· 2025-06-09 12:00
Core Insights - PepsiCo will release its second-quarter 2025 financial results on July 17, 2025 [1] - The company generated nearly $92 billion in net revenue in 2024, supported by a diverse portfolio of beverages and convenient foods [2] - PepsiCo aims to be the global leader in beverages and convenient foods through its pep+ strategy, focusing on sustainability and human capital [3] Financial Information - The second-quarter financial results will be posted on the company's investor website [1] - The press release and 10-Q will be available at approximately 6:00 a.m. EDT on the release date [5] - Prepared management remarks will be provided in PDF format at approximately 6:30 a.m. EDT [5] Company Overview - PepsiCo products are consumed over one billion times daily across more than 200 countries [2] - The product portfolio includes iconic brands such as Lay's, Doritos, Cheetos, Gatorade, and Pepsi-Cola, with many brands generating over $1 billion in estimated annual retail sales [2] Strategic Vision - PepsiCo's vision is to lead in beverages and convenient foods through the pep+ transformation, which emphasizes sustainability and creating value within planetary boundaries [3]