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唯品会控股有限公司:营收增长恢复正区间仍需更多耐心
Morgan Stanley· 2025-05-22 00:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Vipshop Holdings Ltd is Equal-weight [66]. Core Insights - Vipshop has seen improving consumption demand in April and May compared to Q1 2025, but it is too early to expect revenue growth to return to positive territory in Q2 2025 [1]. - The company offers a high shareholder return with a yield of 12% and a low valuation at 6.6x the estimated P/E for 2025, which limits downside risk [1]. Industry Overview - The industry view for China Internet and Other Services is considered Attractive [5].
摩根士丹利:阿里巴巴4QF25 核心要点速览
摩根· 2025-05-15 13:48
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Alibaba Group Holding, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's performance relative to its industry [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Alibaba's 4QFY25 results exceeded expectations in terms of core metrics, while cloud revenue was in line with projections [1][6]. - The overall industry view is considered "Attractive," suggesting favorable conditions for investment in the sector [3]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 4QFY25 was RMB 236.454 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.6% but a quarter-over-quarter decline of 15.6% [2]. - Income from operations was RMB 28.465 billion, showing a significant year-over-year increase of 92.8% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 30.9% [2]. - Adjusted EBITA for 4QFY25 was RMB 32.616 billion, which is a 36.1% increase year-over-year, beating Morgan Stanley's estimates by 6% [6]. - Non-GAAP net profit was RMB 29.847 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 22.2% but a quarter-over-quarter decline of 41.6% [2]. Segment Performance - The Taobao & Tmall Group generated revenue of RMB 101.369 billion in 4QFY25, a year-over-year increase of 8.7% but a quarter-over-quarter decline of 25.5% [2]. - The Cloud Intelligence Group reported revenue of RMB 30.127 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 17.7% [2]. - The Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group achieved revenue of RMB 33.579 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 22.3% [2]. Valuation Metrics - The price target for Alibaba is set at US$180.00, indicating a potential upside of 34% from the current price of US$134.05 [3]. - The report projects revenue growth to reach RMB 1,081 billion by FY26, with net income expected to rise to RMB 162 billion [3].