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SMCI Projects $33B FY26 Revenues: Is the Growth Target Realistic?
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 13:36
Key Takeaways Super Micro Computer aims for $33B revenues in FY26, a 50% jump from the prior fiscal.DCBBS solutions and GPU partnerships are central to driving hyperscale and enterprise demand.Expansion across Europe, Asia and the Middle East supports SMCI's ambitious growth outlook.Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has set an ambitious target of generating revenues of at least $33 billion in fiscal 2026. This outlook represents whopping 50% year-over-year growth. In fiscal 2025, the company’s revenues soar ...
What Makes Western Digital (WDC) a Strong Momentum Stock: Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-11 17:01
Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the "long context," investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Whil ...
Pure Storage (PSTG) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors
ZACKS· 2025-08-01 22:52
Company Performance - Pure Storage (PSTG) ended the recent trading session at $54.51, demonstrating a -8.42% change from the preceding day's closing price, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.6% [1] - Shares of Pure Storage had gained 4.55% in the past month, while the Computer and Technology sector gained 4.45% and the S&P 500 gained 2.25% during the same period [1] Earnings Forecast - The upcoming earnings report for Pure Storage is anticipated to show an EPS of $0.4, reflecting a 9.09% decrease from the same quarter last year, with a forecasted quarterly revenue of $845.76 million, up 10.74% from the year-ago period [2] - For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $1.82 per share and revenue of $3.52 billion, indicating increases of +7.69% and +11.01% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates and Rankings - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Pure Storage are crucial, as upward revisions indicate analysts' positive outlook on the company's operations and profit generation capabilities [3] - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), currently places Pure Storage at 3 (Hold), with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate having moved 0.39% lower over the last 30 days [5] Valuation Metrics - Pure Storage is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 32.74, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 13.47 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.76, which is lower than the industry average PEG ratio of 2.14, indicating a more favorable valuation relative to expected earnings growth [6] Industry Context - The Computer-Storage Devices industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 42, placing it within the top 18% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1, highlighting the competitive strength of the industry [7]
Super Micro Computer's HPC Solutions Propel Server Growth: What's Next?
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 16:56
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer's (SMCI) server and storage segment has seen significant growth, primarily driven by high performance computing (HPC) and AI workloads, resulting in a 19% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 of fiscal 2025 [2][10] Group 1: Company Developments - SMCI has developed direct liquid cooling technology to optimize thermal performance and reduce power consumption in data centers supporting HPC and AI workloads [3] - The company introduced data center building block solutions (DCBBS), a modular product designed for faster data center construction [3] - SMCI began shipping Supermicro 4-Socket X14 Servers as part of DCBBS, consolidating high-performance compute, memory, and AI capabilities in a single chassis, featuring Intel Xeon 6 P-Core processors that provide up to 50% performance uplift [4] Group 2: Market Position and Financial Estimates - SMCI is crucial in transitioning global enterprises to more powerful data center operations for HPC and AI, with revenue estimates of $22.12 billion for 2025 and $30.2 billion for 2026, reflecting year-over-year growth of 48.16% and 33.54% respectively [5] - The company's shares have increased by 68.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which grew by 13.1% [8] - SMCI's forward price-to-sales ratio stands at 1.02X, lower than the industry's average of 1.49X [11] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The HPC market includes major competitors such as Dell Technologies, Atos, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, IBM, and Microsoft, which pose challenges to SMCI's growth [6] - Hewlett Packard Enterprise has developed supercomputing systems and offers storage solutions that compete with SMCI's offerings [7]
SMCI Surges 69.3% in 3 Months: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 15:46
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock has increased by 69.3% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's return of 54.8% [1][6] - The stock is currently considered overvalued, trading at a forward 12 months P/E ratio of 19.49X, compared to the industry's 18.59X [4][6] Performance and Valuation - SMCI's stock has shown high volatility, with a significant price increase recently [4] - The gross margin for SMCI has been inconsistent, with a decline of 590 basis points year-over-year and 220 basis points sequentially to 9.7% in Q3 FY25 [11][13] Competitive Landscape - SMCI faces strong competition from major players in the storage and server market, including Pure Storage, Dell Technologies, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise [7][8] - Dell Technologies reported a 16% year-over-year growth in AI-optimized servers, with orders worth $12.1 billion for AI servers in Q1 FY26 [8] Margin Pressures - The company is experiencing margin contraction due to rising competition, price cuts, and delayed transitions to AI platforms [6][9] - High inventory reserves for older-generation products and increased costs associated with new product ramp-ups are contributing to margin pressures [11][13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimates for SMCI's fiscal 2025 bottom line is projected at $2.07, indicating a year-over-year decline of 6.33% [13][14] - Year-over-year growth estimates for the next fiscal year show a potential increase of 26.33% [14] Conclusion - Given the current challenges, including delayed purchasing decisions and margin contraction, the recommendation is to avoid investing in SMCI stock at this time [15]
Super Micro Computer Rides on DLC Momentum: What Lies on the Horizon?
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:46
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer's (SMCI) direct liquid cooling (DLC) technology is experiencing high demand from hyperscalers and AI data centers due to its superior heat reduction capabilities compared to air cooling systems, along with efficient power usage that allows for higher computational densities and lower total cost of ownership [1] Group 1: Company Performance - SMCI's server and storage system segment grew by 20.5% year over year in Q3 of fiscal 2025, driven by the adoption of DLC technology [2][8] - The production volume of SMCI's direct liquid cooling products for data-center applications has surpassed 2000 DLC racks per month [2] - The introduction of DLC-2 technology has resulted in a 40% reduction in electricity consumption, along with decreased costs for water, space, and noise [3][8] Group 2: Revenue Guidance and Market Position - SMCI has announced a revenue guidance of $21.8-$22.6 billion for fiscal 2025, reflecting a projected growth of 48% year over year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues at $22.12 billion [4] - The company's forward price-to-sales ratio stands at 0.98X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.45X, indicating a potentially undervalued position in the market [9] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Vertiv (VRT) and Dell Technologies (DELL) are also enhancing their cooling solutions, with VRT focusing on a strong thermal management portfolio and DELL offering modular, customizable cooling architectures for AI server solutions [5][6]
SMCI Bets on DCBBS to Redefine Data Centers: Will it Deliver Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 16:42
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has introduced Direct Liquid-Cooled, Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) to enhance data center efficiency for AI and high-performance computing (HPC) workloads [1][8] - The DCBBS is designed to support higher-wattage CPUs and GPUs while minimizing reliance on traditional air-cooling systems [2] - The introduction of DCBBS is expected to drive revenue growth in SMCI's server and storage system segment, which has already seen a 19% year-over-year increase in Q3 of fiscal 2025 [3] Revenue Growth and Future Prospects - SMCI anticipates significant revenue contributions from DCBBS, with projected revenues of $22.12 billion in 2025 and $30.2 billion in 2026, reflecting year-over-year growth of 48% and 36.33% respectively [4] - The company is well-positioned to lead in the transition towards sustainable and high-performance data centers, capitalizing on the growing demand for AI and HPC infrastructure upgrades [4] Competitive Landscape - SMCI's DCBBS faces competition from Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Dell Technologies, both of which offer liquid cooling solutions [5][6] - HPE provides liquid-cooled HPC and AI servers, while Dell's solutions are designed to be modular and customizable, enhancing deployment efficiency [6] - Despite the competition, SMCI's fully integrated, rack-scale, plug-and-play design offers a competitive advantage [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - SMCI shares have increased by 46.7% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which grew by 2.8% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.85X, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.7X, indicating potential undervaluation [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2025 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 6.33%, while fiscal 2026 estimates indicate a growth of 35.75% [10] - Recent revisions in earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 and 2026 have been downward in the past 60 days [10]
SMCI Climbs 34.1% YTD: Should You Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:41
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have shown volatility but have returned 34.1% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's decline of 0.3% in the same period [1][6]. Financial Performance - SMCI is currently trading at a discounted valuation with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.6X, lower than the industry average of 26.82X [2]. - The company's server revenues increased by 19% year-over-year, reaching $4.5 billion in Q3 FY25, driven by strong demand for AI servers [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The enterprise data center customer vertical generated $1.9 billion in revenues, accounting for 42% of total revenues in Q3 FY25, up from 25% in the previous quarter, indicating a growing representation of AI products in sales [9]. - SMCI is expanding its global manufacturing capabilities in Malaysia, Taiwan, and Europe to enhance deployment and mitigate geopolitical risks [10]. Competitive Landscape - SMCI faces significant competition from major players like Pure Storage, Dell Technologies, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise, which are also experiencing growth in AI-optimized servers [12][13]. - The company is encountering margin pressure due to pricing competition and inventory write-downs on older-generation GPUs, affecting its near-term outlook [14]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year decline of 6.33%, with downward revisions in estimates over the past 30 days [15][16].
PSTG, TierPoint Unveil Imaging Storage-as-a-Service for Healthcare
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:36
Core Insights - Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) has partnered with TierPoint to launch an Imaging Storage-as-a-Service solution tailored for the healthcare sector, addressing challenges such as rising storage costs, performance limitations, and stringent security requirements [1][10] Group 1: Product Offering - The new solution integrates Pure Storage's high-performance infrastructure with TierPoint's HIPAA-compliant data centers, providing a scalable, cloud-enabled storage service that supports AI-driven imaging workloads and long-term data retention [2][10] - The per-study billing model enhances cost predictability for healthcare organizations while improving image retrieval speed and data protection for critical assets [2][10] Group 2: Market Impact - This service allows healthcare providers to align storage costs with patient care delivery models, enabling them to scale operations efficiently and focus on improving patient outcomes [3][4] - The collaboration aims to enhance diagnostic capabilities, boost operational efficiency, and support better patient outcomes in healthcare IT [4] Group 3: Technological Advancements - Pure Storage continues to innovate in enterprise storage, particularly for modern data workloads such as AI and high-performance computing, with the release of Portworx Enterprise 3.3 enhancing its Kubernetes-native storage capabilities [5] - The rollout of FlashBlade//EXA and the adoption of the //E family, which support AI and HPC workloads, indicate strong growth potential, with Storage-as-a-Service TCV sales increasing by 70% in the fiscal first quarter [6] Group 4: Strategic Partnerships - Pure Storage has partnered with Nutanix to provide a solution for managing virtual workloads, enhancing operational efficiency for IT teams in hybrid cloud environments [7] - The firm has also expanded its partnership with Rubrik to improve protection for unstructured data, enhancing threat detection and recovery capabilities in a ransomware-prone environment [8]
Western Digital Approves $2B Share Buyback to Boost Stockholder Value
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 14:40
Core Viewpoint - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) has announced a $2 billion share repurchase program aimed at enhancing shareholder value and reflecting its strategic capital allocation framework [1][2]. Group 1: Share Repurchase Program - The $2 billion share repurchase program is designed to maximize long-term investor returns and bolster shareholder confidence in the company's financial health [1]. - The company plans to execute the repurchase through various methods, including open market transactions and private deals, under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan [1]. - The timing and volume of repurchases will depend on market conditions and company considerations, with the right to modify or discontinue the program at any time [3]. Group 2: Capital Allocation Strategy - Western Digital emphasizes a balanced capital allocation strategy that includes growth reinvestment, debt reduction, and substantial shareholder returns through buybacks [2]. - The initiation of the repurchase program follows the introduction of a quarterly cash dividend program, indicating a proactive approach to delivering value [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, Western Digital generated $508 million in cash from operations, a significant increase from $58 million in the prior-year quarter [6]. - Free cash flow reached $436 million, reflecting a 379% year-over-year increase [6]. - As of March 28, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $3.477 billion, up from $2.291 billion as of December 27, 2024 [6]. Group 4: Stock Performance - Western Digital currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), with shares declining by 31% over the past year, slightly better than the industry decline of 31.5% [7].